Tigers vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 2

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 02, 2023, 3:31 PM
  • The are favorites vs the
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Joseph Wentz
  • Rays starting pitcher: Jeffrey Springs
  • Watch the game on BSSUN

The Detroit Tigers () visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays () on Sunday, April 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.

The are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().

The Tigers vs Rays Over/Under is total runs for the game.

This season, the Tigers are 0-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 2-0 ATS.

Tigers vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers O
Rays U

Tigers vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Austin Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Eric Haase has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Jeimer Candelario has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.30 Units / 77% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in his last 4 games at home (+6.05 Units / 86% ROI)
  • David Peralta has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Francisco Mejia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.95 Units / 198% ROI)

Rays vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jonathan Schoop 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Javier Baez 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Austin Meadows 0.5 +475 0.5 -1100
Riley Greene 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Christian Bethancourt 0.5 +450 0.5 -900

Rays vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jonathan Schoop 0.5 -150 0.5 +110
Javier Baez 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Austin Meadows 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Riley Greene 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Christian Bethancourt 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Rays vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jonathan Schoop 0.5 +260 0.5 -375
Javier Baez 0.5 +195 0.5 -250
Austin Meadows 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Riley Greene 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Christian Bethancourt 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Rays vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jeffrey Springs 5.5 -140 5.5 +105
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 164 games (+16.75 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 25 away games (+14.80 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 37 away games (+11.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 57 away games (+11.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 95% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 53 games (+11.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 83 games at home (+10.45 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 65 games at home (+6.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 61 games at home (+6.80 Units / 9% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 0-2 against the Run Line (-2.5 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -100% ROI
  • 1-1 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -9.09% ROI
  • 1-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.2 Units / -9.09% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 2-0 against the Run Line (+2.15 Units / 104.88% ROI).

  • 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 47.62% ROI
  • 1-1 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -9.09% ROI
  • 1-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.2 Units / -9.09% ROI

Joey Wentz allowed an OPS of just .236 (53 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .483 — 96th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters had a groundball rate of just 24% (12/49) against Joey Wentz over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 42% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents batted just .095 (4-for-42) against Joey Wentz on the road over the last 30 days of the regular season (2 games) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .248 — 99th Percentile.

Opponents batted just .064 (3-for-47) against Joey Wentz with two-strikes over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .163 — 98th Percentile.

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jeffrey Springs threw his changeup 44% of the time (725/1,656) against right-handed batters in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 13% — 100th Percentile.

Jeffrey Springs has thrown his changeup 43% of the time (927/2,148) against right-handed batters since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total CH; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.

Jeffrey Springs threw his changeup 38% of the time (159/415) when behind in the count in 2022 — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 97th Percentile.

Jeffrey Springs threw his changeup 35% of the time (745/2,149) in 2022 — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 98th Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Tigers were just 5-24 (.172) vs top 10 scoring offenses in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.

The Tigers were just 7-34 (.171) when allowing 2 or more home runs in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.

The Tigers were just 6-68 (.081) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.

The Tigers were just 32-88 (.267) when scoring 4 or fewer runs in 2022 — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Rays are 10-105 (.087) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .046.

The Rays are 35-55 (.389) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2021 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.

The Rays were 36-10 (.783) when scoring in the first inning in 2022 — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.

The Rays were 37-23 (.617) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in 2022 — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .576.

Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .277 (4,338 PA’s) against RHP in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Tigers hitters had an OPS of just .608 (4,338 PA’s) against RHP in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Tigers hitters slugged just .331 against RHP in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .651 (8,569 PA’s) against RHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.

Rays hitters have grounded into 167 double plays in 2,182 opportunities (8%) since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

The Rays are batting just .159 with two-strikes since the 2021 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.

Rays hitters struck out just 29 times in 177 PA’s (16%) against LHP over the last 30 days of the regular season (17 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rays hitters drew 40 walks in 705 PA’s (6%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2022 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

The Tigers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in 62% of their games in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Tigers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers in 2022 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Tigers pitchers walked 129 of 1,425 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rays pitchers have walked 168 of 2,905 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 820 of 11,928 batters (7%) since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 206 of 3,433 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers walked 75 of 1,443 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rays vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D15
  • Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D15
  • Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Oblique, D15
  • Brandon Lowe (Rays): Toe, Day-to-Day
  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Lorenzen (Tigers): Groin, D15
  • Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D15
  • Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Nevin (Tigers): Oblique, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.