- The Tigers are -110 favorites vs the Twins
- Tigers vs Twins Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Tigers / Twins TV Channel: BSNO | BSDT
The Detroit Tigers (+105) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-125) on Tuesday, July 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Tigers are 38-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 40-44 ATS.
Tigers vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 9-3, 2.32 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson 3-1, 3.43 ERA
Tigers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -200 | O 7.5 -115 | +105 |
| Twins | -1.5 +165 | U 7.5 -105 | -125 |
Tigers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 26 games (+22.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+14.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.95 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Royce Lewis has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+18.15 Units / 202% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 24 games (+15.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+11.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 35 games (+11.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+9.85 Units / 19% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 20 away games (+10.70 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 20 away games (+9.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 67 games (+8.05 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.15 Units / 2% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 67 games (+12.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 64 games (+9.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.85 Units / 86% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.50 Units / 28% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 37-47 against the Run Line (-14.8 Units / -13.17% ROI).
- 38-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.15 Units / -12.42% ROI
- 43-35 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.15 Units / 4.63% ROI
- 35-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.15 Units / -13.68% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 40-44 against the Run Line (-5.85 Units / -5.47% ROI).
- 47-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 0.04% ROI
- 40-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.9 Units / -4.26% ROI
- 40-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -4 Units / -4.38% ROI
Twins vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Twins vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manuel Margot (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Wenceel Perez (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Twins vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Twins vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tarik Skubal (DET) | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +120 |
| Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tarik Skubal has a first-pitch strike rate of 72% (279/386) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 21% (19/89) against Tarik Skubal when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .194 (144 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .279 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .118 (10-for-85) against Tarik Skubal’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .210 — 98th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .419 (13 GB hits out of 31 GBs) against Simeon Woods Richardson with runners on base this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .258 — third Percentile.
Simeon Woods Richardson has allowed an OBP of just .206 (63 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .315 — 99th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (6/18) against Simeon Woods Richardson over the last 14 days — tied for 9th lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 23rd Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .133 (2-for-15) against Simeon Woods Richardson when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for 8th best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .237 — 87th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Tigers are just 25-58 (.301) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Tigers are just 6-12 (.333) after a home win this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Tigers are just 28-157 (.151) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.
The Tigers are just 30-4 (.882) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .944.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Twins are 109-1 (.991) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Twins are 22-78 (.220) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Twins are 14-8 (.636) after a road win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .444.
The Twins are 14-25 (.359) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .199.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers are batting just .308 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (11,450 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Tigers are batting just .270 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .334.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .504 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters are slugging .461 against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
The Twins are batting .283 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Twins hitters have 46 extra-base hits out of 95 total hits (48%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Twins hitters have 1,790 strikeouts in 7,102 PA’s (25%) against RHP since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 215 of 3,113 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 14% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% versus the bottom of the order this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Twins pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Twins pitchers have walked 660 of 9,137 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
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