- The Twins (57-53) are -130 favorites vs the Angels (49-63)
- Twins starting pitcher: Tyler Mahle (5-7), 4.48 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Patrick Sandoval (3-7), 3.41 ERA
- Watch the game on BSW
The Minnesota Twins (-130) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+105) on Friday, August 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Twins vs Angels Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Twins are 57-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 53-59 ATS.
Twins vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +125 | O 8 -115 | -130 |
| Angels | +1.5 -155 | U 8 -105 | +105 |
Twins vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Friday‘s matchup with 67.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+16.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 23 away games (+14.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Over in 16 of his last 28 games (+13.10 Units / 47% ROI)
- Gilberto Celestino has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 24 away games (+12.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+12.30 Units / 27% ROI)
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 41 games (+23.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 46 games (+15.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 38 games (+13.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+13.05 Units / 48% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 46 games (+11.35 Units / 17% ROI)
Angels vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Fletcher | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
| Jared Walsh | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jo Adell | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jose Rojas | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Luis Rengifo | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
Angels vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Fletcher | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jared Walsh | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Jo Adell | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Jose Rojas | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
| Luis Rengifo | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
Angels vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Fletcher | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jared Walsh | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jo Adell | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jose Rojas | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Luis Rengifo | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
Angels vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Sandoval | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 -110 |
| Tyler Mahle | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -145 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 46 away games (+13.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 62 of their last 108 games (+11.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 49 of their last 93 games (+6.45 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 98 games (+2.50 Units / 2% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 31 of their last 56 games at home (+10.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 51 games (+8.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.20 Units / 55% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 51-59 against the Run Line (-11 Units / -8.22% ROI).
- 57-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -1.57% ROI
- 54-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.95 Units / 1.61% ROI
- 48-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.25 Units / -9.25% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 53-59 against the Run Line (-9.75 Units / -7.04% ROI).
- 49-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -27.3 Units / -18.51% ROI
- 50-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.65 Units / -9.36% ROI
- 56-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.65 Units / 1.35% ROI
Tyler Mahle: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Mahle has a strikeout rate of 41% (63 SO in 152 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Mahle has a strikeout rate of 31% (27 SO in 88 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .429 (18 GB hits out of 42 GBs) against Tyler Mahle with runners on base this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .235 — 0 Percentile.
Tyler Mahle has walked 40 of 462 batters (9%) this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 10th Percentile.
Patrick Sandoval: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Patrick Sandoval has a strikeout rate of just 1% (1 SO in 71 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 14% — first Percentile.
Patrick Sandoval has walked 69 of 593 right-handed batters (12%) since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Patrick Sandoval has not allowed a HR in any of his last five starts dating back to July 9th — Collin McHugh has the longest active streak at 8.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 9% (10/107) against Patrick Sandoval on elevated fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Twins are just 3-9 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 50-15 (.769) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Twins are just 8-22 (.267) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .334.
The Twins are just 14-25 (.359) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Angels are just 4-30 (.118) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .334.
The Angels are just 2-8 (.200) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 6-28 (.176) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.
The Angels are just 43-5 (.896) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OPS of .763 (1,406 PA’s) in the first 3 innings this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Twins hitters have 52 extra-base hits out of 106 total hits (49%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Twins hitters have just 31 strikeouts in 215 PA’s (14%) against RHP this month (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins hitters are slugging .419 on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .642 (3,115 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .695.
Angels hitters have 768 strikeouts in 2,859 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Angels are batting just .221 against LHP this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Angels are batting just .233 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Twins pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 38% of their games this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 43% of their games this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of 2020 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have won only 11% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Angels pitchers have walked 961 of 10,370 batters (9%) since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 55 of 487 batters (11%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Angels have won just 17% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Michael Lorenzen (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- McKenzie Moniak (Angels): Finger, D10
- Michael Trout (Angels): Back, D10
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
- Matthew Duffy (Angels): Back, D60
- Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Kyle Garlick (Twins): Ribcage, D10
- Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
- Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
- Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
- Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D10
- Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D10
- John Ober (Twins): Groin, D60
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Jeffers (Twins): Thumb, D10
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