- The Yankees are -150 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins starting pitcher: Joseph Ryan
- Yankees starting pitcher: Jhony Brito
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Minnesota Twins (+125) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-150) on Thursday, April 13, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Twins vs Yankees Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Twins are 8-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 8-4 ATS.
Twins vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -160 | O 8.5 -110 | +125 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +135 | U 8.5 -110 | -150 |
Twins vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+7.65 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+7.25 Units / 42% ROI)
- Nick Gordon has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games (+6.95 Units / 80% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+6.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 70% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+5.90 Units / 66% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+5.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.25 Units / 44% ROI)
Yankees vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Oswaldo Cabrera | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -800 |
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
Yankees vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Oswaldo Cabrera | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Yankees vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Oswaldo Cabrera | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Yankees vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jhony Brito | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games (+3.90 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.55 Units / 47% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.60 Units / 52% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.95 Units / 47% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 58% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.15 Units / 22% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 8-4 against the Run Line (+5.8 Units / 44.11% ROI).
- 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.75 Units / 23.81% ROI
- 3-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.9 Units / -36.16% ROI
- 7-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.75 Units / 29.18% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 8-4 against the Run Line (+5.95 Units / 46.85% ROI).
- 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.75 Units / 15.9% ROI
- 5-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -3 Units / -22.06% ROI
- 7-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.6 Units / 12.5% ROI
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Ryan has allowed an OBP of just .196 (46 PA’s) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .298 — 96th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has a strike rate of just 38% (16/42) on sliders this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 34% (28/83) against Joe Ryan this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 89th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (8/27) against Joe Ryan this season — tied for 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 10th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jhony Brito has allowed a slugging percentage of just .152 (5 Total Bases / 33 ABs) this season — 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .424 — 95th Percentile.
Jhony Brito has thrown his changeup 55% of the time (30/55) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total CH; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Jhony Brito has allowed an OBP of just .216 (37 PA’s) this season — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .327 — 94th Percentile.
Jhony Brito has thrown his changeup 35% of the time (59/168) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 97th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Twins were just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 12-28 (.300) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 5-14 (.263) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 9-37 (.196) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are 20-26 (.435) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .198.
The Yankees are 11-43 (.204) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .118.
The Yankees are 21-19 (.525) when underdogs since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins were just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Twins hitters have an OPS of just .652 (2,023 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .686.
The Twins are batting just .107 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Twins hitters are slugging just .121 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 273 walks in 2,152 PA’s (13%) in close and late situations since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are batting just .213 with two outs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Yankees hitters have drawn 171 walks in 1,632 PA’s (10%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 56% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have walked 5 of 99 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have still managed to win 47% of the time in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees pitchers won 56% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers in 2022 — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Thomas Kahnle (Yankees): Bicep, D60
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D15
- Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Shoulder, D10
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D15
- David LeMahieu (Yankees): Quad, Day-to-Day
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D15
- Harrison Bader (Yankees): Oblique, D10
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D15
- Jorge Polanco (Twins): Knee, D10
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Gilberto Celestino (Twins): Thumb, D60
- Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D10
- Maximilian Kepler (Twins): Knee, D10
- Ronny Henriquez (Twins): Elbow, D15
- James Farmer (Twins): Face, D10
- Carlos Correa (Twins): Back, Day-to-Day
- Joseph Gallo (Twins): Side, D10
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Josh Winder (Twins): Shoulder, D15
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