White Sox vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 17

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 17, 2022, 9:05 AM
  • The Astros (39-24) are -165 favorites vs the White Sox (30-31)
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Lucas Giolito (4-2), 3.88 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez (6-3), 2.64 ERA
  • Watch the game on Apple TV+

The Chicago White Sox (+140) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-165) on Friday, June 17, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The White Sox vs Astros Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the White Sox are 30-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 30-33 ATS.

White Sox vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox+1.5 -145O 8 -115+140
Astros -1.5 +120U 8 -105-165

White Sox vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s matchup with 64.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Astros vs White Sox and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+11.00 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • AJ Pollock has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+10.25 Units / 101% ROI)
  • Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in his last 6 games (+10.05 Units / 167% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 away games (+9.25 Units / 108% ROI)
  • Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Alex Bregman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+10.80 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+9.35 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.30 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Astros vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Aledmys Diaz 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
    Alex Bregman 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
    Jose Altuve 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
    Jose Siri 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
    Kyle Tucker 0.5 +400 0.5 -800

    Astros vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Aledmys Diaz 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
    Alex Bregman 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
    Jose Altuve 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
    Jose Siri 0.5 -130 0.5 -110
    Kyle Tucker 0.5 -190 0.5 +135

    Astros vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Aledmys Diaz 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
    Alex Bregman 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
    Jose Altuve 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
    Jose Siri 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
    Kyle Tucker 0.5 +170 0.5 -250

    Astros vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Framber Valdez 5.5 -135 5.5 -105
    Lucas Giolito 5.5 -105 5.5 -135
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 35 of their last 61 games (+11.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.95 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in their last 5 away games (+5.05 Units / 81% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.25 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.20 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 61 games (+19.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 47 games (+8.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.95 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+3.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 28-33 against the Run Line (-4.95 Units / -6.79% ROI).

    • 30-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.6 Units / -7.29% ROI
    • 30-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.8 Units / -1.21% ROI
    • 29-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.75 Units / -5.51% ROI

    Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 30-33 against the Run Line (-1.85 Units / -2.57% ROI).

    • 39-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 4.28% ROI
    • 20-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.1 Units / -35.03% ROI
    • 41-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.05 Units / 27.23% ROI

    Lucas Giolito has allowed a slugging percentage of .845 (71 Total Bases / 84 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: .538 — first Percentile.

    Lucas Giolito has allowed a slugging percentage of .761 (35 Total Bases / 46 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: .430 — second Percentile.

    Lucas Giolito has struck out 40% (38/96) of left-handed batters he faced this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

    Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of 41% (71/172) against Lucas Giolito this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

    Framber Valdez: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (143/213) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (52/77) against Framber Valdez in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.

    Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 70% (355/507) against Framber Valdez since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

    Framber Valdez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .176 (23 Total Bases / 131 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .349 — 98th Percentile.

    White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

    The White Sox are 28-4 (.875) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

    The White Sox are just 2-27 (.069) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.

    The White Sox are just 24-5 (.828) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.

    The White Sox are just 3-14 (.176) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.

    Astros Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

    The Astros are 22-1 (.957) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

    The Astros are 31-1 (.969) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .925.

    The Astros are 36-7 (.837) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

    The Astros are 3-20 (.130) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .075.

    White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .236 (40 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .663.

    The White Sox are batting .274 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .239.

    The White Sox are batting .296 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

    White Sox hitters have an OBP of .354 (506 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .317.

    Astros hitters have just 506 strikeouts in 2,794 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Astros hitters have a groundball batting average of just .186 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.

    The Astros are batting .189 with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .167.

    Astros hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

    Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

    White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

    White Sox pitchers have walked 239 of 2,372 batters (10%) this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

    The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers since the start of last season is 394.1 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.9

    Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.43 (971.1 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.

    Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 22% in close and late situations this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

    The Astros pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 39% of their games since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

    Astros vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jeremy Peña (Astros): Thumb, D10
  • Taylor Jones (Astros): Back, D60
  • Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D15
  • Jacob Odorizzi (Astros): Leg, D15
  • Jacob Meyers (Astros): Shoulder, D60
  • Parker Mushinski (Astros): Left elbow, D15
  • Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Arm, D15
  • Yasmani Grandal (White Sox): Back, D10
  • Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D15
  • Jacob Burger (White Sox): Hand, Day-to-Day
  • Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Hamstring, D10
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
  • Michael Kopech (White Sox): Knee, Day-to-Day
  • Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Groin, D10

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.