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White Sox vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 17

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 17, 2022, 12:00 PM
  • The Astros (39-24) are -165 favorites vs the White Sox (30-31)
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Lucas Giolito (4-2), 3.88 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez (6-3), 2.64 ERA
  • Watch the game on Apple TV+

The Chicago White Sox (+140) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-165) on Friday, June 17, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The White Sox vs Astros Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the White Sox are 30-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 30-33 ATS.

White Sox vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox+1.5 -145O 8 -115+140
Astros -1.5 +120U 8 -105-165

White Sox vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s matchup with 64.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+11.00 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • AJ Pollock has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+10.25 Units / 101% ROI)
  • Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in his last 6 games (+10.05 Units / 167% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 away games (+9.25 Units / 108% ROI)
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    Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Alex Bregman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+10.80 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+9.35 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.30 Units / 45% ROI)
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    Astros vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Aledmys Diaz 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
    Alex Bregman 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
    Jose Altuve 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
    Jose Siri 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
    Kyle Tucker 0.5 +400 0.5 -800

    Astros vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Aledmys Diaz 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
    Alex Bregman 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
    Jose Altuve 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
    Jose Siri 0.5 -130 0.5 -110
    Kyle Tucker 0.5 -190 0.5 +135

    Astros vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Aledmys Diaz 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
    Alex Bregman 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
    Jose Altuve 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
    Jose Siri 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
    Kyle Tucker 0.5 +170 0.5 -250

    Astros vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Framber Valdez 5.5 -135 5.5 -105
    Lucas Giolito 5.5 -105 5.5 -135
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 35 of their last 61 games (+11.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.95 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in their last 5 away games (+5.05 Units / 81% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.25 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.20 Units / 57% ROI)
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  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 61 games (+19.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 47 games (+8.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.95 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+3.10 Units / 8% ROI)
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    White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 28-33 against the Run Line (-4.95 Units / -6.79% ROI).

    • 30-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.6 Units / -7.29% ROI
    • 30-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.8 Units / -1.21% ROI
    • 29-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.75 Units / -5.51% ROI

    Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 30-33 against the Run Line (-1.85 Units / -2.57% ROI).

    • 39-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 4.28% ROI
    • 20-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.1 Units / -35.03% ROI
    • 41-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.05 Units / 27.23% ROI

    Lucas Giolito has allowed a slugging percentage of .845 (71 Total Bases / 84 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: .538 — first Percentile.

    Lucas Giolito has allowed a slugging percentage of .761 (35 Total Bases / 46 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: .430 — second Percentile.

    Lucas Giolito has struck out 40% (38/96) of left-handed batters he faced this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

    Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of 41% (71/172) against Lucas Giolito this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

    Framber Valdez: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (143/213) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (52/77) against Framber Valdez in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.

    Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 70% (355/507) against Framber Valdez since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

    Framber Valdez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .176 (23 Total Bases / 131 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .349 — 98th Percentile.

    White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

    The White Sox are 28-4 (.875) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

    The White Sox are just 2-27 (.069) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.

    The White Sox are just 24-5 (.828) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.

    The White Sox are just 3-14 (.176) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.

    Astros Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

    The Astros are 22-1 (.957) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

    The Astros are 31-1 (.969) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .925.

    The Astros are 36-7 (.837) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

    The Astros are 3-20 (.130) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .075.

    White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .236 (40 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .663.

    The White Sox are batting .274 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .239.

    The White Sox are batting .296 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

    White Sox hitters have an OBP of .354 (506 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .317.

    Astros hitters have just 506 strikeouts in 2,794 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Astros hitters have a groundball batting average of just .186 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.

    The Astros are batting .189 with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .167.

    Astros hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

    Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

    White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

    White Sox pitchers have walked 239 of 2,372 batters (10%) this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

    The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers since the start of last season is 394.1 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.9

    Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.43 (971.1 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.

    Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 22% in close and late situations this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

    The Astros pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 39% of their games since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

    Astros vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jeremy Peña (Astros): Thumb, D10
  • Taylor Jones (Astros): Back, D60
  • Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D15
  • Jacob Odorizzi (Astros): Leg, D15
  • Jacob Meyers (Astros): Shoulder, D60
  • Parker Mushinski (Astros): Left elbow, D15
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  • Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Arm, D15
  • Yasmani Grandal (White Sox): Back, D10
  • Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D15
  • Jacob Burger (White Sox): Hand, Day-to-Day
  • Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Hamstring, D10
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
  • Michael Kopech (White Sox): Knee, Day-to-Day
  • Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Groin, D10
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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

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