- The White Sox are -125 favorites vs the Rockies
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Lynn, 3.00 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Noah Davis, 5.40 ERA
The Chicago White Sox (-125) visit Salt River Fields at Talking Stick to take on the Colorado Rockies (+105) on Thursday, March 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EST in Scottsdale.
The White Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+130).
The White Sox vs Rockies Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the White Sox are 2-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 1-2 ATS.
White Sox vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | -1.5 +130 | O 11.5 -110 | -125 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -155 | U 11.5 -110 | +105 |
White Sox vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rockies will win Thursday‘s Spring Training matchup with 58.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- AJ Pollock has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- AJ Pollock has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 away games (+4.00 Units / 71% ROI)
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Singles Under in 2 of his last 3 away games (+0.10 Units / 2% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Wynton Bernard has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+2.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- C.J. Cron has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+1.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Runs Over in 1 of his last 3 games (+0.05 Units / 2% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 84 of their last 162 games (+13.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 72 away games (+12.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 95 games (+7.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 1 of their last 3 away games (+1.70 Units / 53% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 62 of their last 109 games (+13.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 46 games at home (+9.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 59 of their last 111 games (+8.15 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 39 of their last 71 games (+7.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 41 games at home (+5.55 Units / 12% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 2-3 against the Run Line (-0.8 Units / -15.24% ROI).
- 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -32.14% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -22.94% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.8 Units / 14.41% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 1-2 against the Run Line (-2.15 Units / -43.43% ROI).
- 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -33.33% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of 41% (134/328) against Lance Lynn on elevated fastballs last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Lance Lynn walked 19 of 512 batters (4%) last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 19% (67/353) against Lance Lynn since the start of the 2021 season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.
Lance Lynn walked 8 of 289 left-handed batters (3%) last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Noah Davis has limited playing time.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The White Sox are 12-5 (.706) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The White Sox are just 7-58 (.108) when allowing 5 or more runs last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The White Sox are 27-6 (.818) when hitting 2 or more home runs last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The White Sox are just 7-41 (.146) when allowing 10 or more hits last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Rockies are just 27-54 (.333) on the road last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Rockies are just 11-15 (.423) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are 53-4 (.930) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Rockies are just 15-33 (.312) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .444 (277 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .652.
White Sox hitters pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
White Sox hitters drew 39 walks in 771 PA’s (5%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .476 (312 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .655.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Rockies hitters are slugging just .344 on the road since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
The Rockies have won just 42% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of the 2021 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.72 (1388.0 IP) on the road since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of the 2021 season is 407.8 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.3
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Rockies pitchers last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of 2020 is 408.0 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.5
Rockies pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 8% of innings played last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Rockies vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Colorado Rockies – No Injuries Reported
- Chicago White Sox – No Injuries Reported
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