- The – are favorites vs the –
- White Sox starting pitcher: Lucas Giolito
- Twins starting pitcher: Sonny Gray
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Chicago White Sox () visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins () on Wednesday, April 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The White Sox vs Twins Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the White Sox are 5-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 7-4 ATS.
White Sox vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | O | ||
| Twins | U |
White Sox vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.55 Units / 95% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+8.65 Units / 108% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+6.15 Units / 54% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+5.85 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+6.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- Nick Gordon has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games (+5.95 Units / 78% ROI)
Twins vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Gordon | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
Twins vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Yasmani Grandal | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Twins vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Gordon | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
Twins vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sonny Gray | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.55 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 4 games (+2.35 Units / 45% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games (+2.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games (+2.15 Units / 46% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 6-6 against the Run Line (-0.2 Units / -1.27% ROI).
- 5-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -17.56% ROI
- 8-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.9 Units / 37.98% ROI
- 3-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.95 Units / -44.07% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 7-4 against the Run Line (+4.4 Units / 36.21% ROI).
- 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.75 Units / 19.37% ROI
- 3-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.7 Units / -29.96% ROI
- 6-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.75 Units / 23.21% ROI
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lucas Giolito allowed a slugging percentage of .542 (198 Total Bases / 365 ABs) against right-handed batters in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 — second Percentile.
Right-handed batters batted .312 (114-for-365) against Lucas Giolito in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — second Percentile.
Lucas Giolito walked 61 of 698 batters (9%) in 2022 — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — eighth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a line drive rate of 32% (88/278) against Lucas Giolito in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 51% of Sonny Gray’s pitches (625/1,238) with two-strikes since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 50% of Sonny Gray’s pitches (294/588) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.
Sonny Gray has a strike rate of just 53% (31/59) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 44% of Sonny Gray’s pitches (26/59) with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 60% — first Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The White Sox are 71-14 (.835) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The White Sox are just 8-45 (.151) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The White Sox are just 8-63 (.113) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .198.
The White Sox were 12-5 (.706) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Twins were just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 12-28 (.300) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 5-14 (.263) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 9-37 (.196) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The White Sox batted .271 against LHP in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .447 (292 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .654.
The White Sox batted just .153 in lefty-lefty matchups in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .226.
The White Sox are batting just .162 in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .228.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .279 (61 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.
Twins hitters are slugging just .166 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Twins hitters are slugging just .228 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Twins are batting just .175 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 10.33 (27.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.26.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against White Sox pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the 2021 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 56% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .250 (380 PA’s) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 43% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Twins vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jorge Polanco (Twins): Knee, D10
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Gilberto Celestino (Twins): Thumb, D10
- Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D10
- Maximilian Kepler (Twins): Knee, D10
- Ronny Henriquez (Twins): Elbow, D15
- James Farmer (Twins): Face, Day-to-Day
- Carlos Correa (Twins): Back, Day-to-Day
- Joseph Gallo (Twins): Side, D10
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Josh Winder (Twins): Shoulder, D15
- Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Hamstring, D10
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Illness, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D15
- Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Back, Day-to-Day
- Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Knee, D10
- Joseph Kelly (White Sox): Groin, D15
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