White Sox vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 16, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Twins (49-43) are -130 favorites vs the White Sox (45-45)
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Lynn (1-2), 6.96 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Dylan Bundy (5-4), 4.68 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSN

The Chicago White Sox (+105) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-130) on Saturday, July 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.

The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The White Sox vs Twins Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the White Sox are 45-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 41-51 ATS.

White Sox vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox+1.5 -175O 9 -115+105
Twins -1.5 +145U 9 -105-130

White Sox vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s matchup with 58.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 47 games (+21.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 39 of his last 49 games (+21.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
  • Danny Mendick has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.45 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 49 games (+12.35 Units / 23% ROI)

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 33 games at home (+19.30 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Miguel Sano has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.80 Units / 33% ROI)

Twins vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Kirilloff 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Byron Buxton 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Carlos Correa 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Gio Urshela 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Jorge Polanco 0.5 +310 0.5 -550

Twins vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Byron Buxton 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Carlos Correa 1.5 +185 1.5 -275
Gio Urshela 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Jorge Polanco 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Luis Arraez 1.5 +135 1.5 -200

Twins vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Kirilloff 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Byron Buxton 0.5 +110 0.5 -155
Carlos Correa 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Gio Urshela 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Jorge Polanco 0.5 +130 0.5 -185

Twins vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dylan Bundy 3.5 -125 3.5 -110
Lance Lynn 4.5 -135 4.5 -105
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 47 of their last 90 games (+7.75 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 23 games (+5.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 42 of their last 75 games (+9.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 90 games (+5.95 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 80 games (+5.05 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 60 games (+0.25 Units / 0% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 42-48 against the Run Line (-7.4 Units / -6.74% ROI).

  • 45-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.45 Units / -7.28% ROI
  • 42-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.15 Units / -5.23% ROI
  • 44-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.75 Units / -1.75% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 41-51 against the Run Line (-11.85 Units / -10.7% ROI).

  • 49-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.25 Units / 0.2% ROI
  • 42-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.4 Units / -5.36% ROI
  • 44-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -2.25% ROI

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (43/253) against Lance Lynn since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.

Lance Lynn has allowed a slugging percentage of just .311 (112 Total Bases / 360 ABs) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — tied for 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: .412 — 94th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% (59/320) against Lance Lynn on fastballs since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.

Lance Lynn has thrown fastballs 65% of the time (408/627) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 97th Percentile.

Dylan Bundy: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Dylan Bundy has a strike rate of 71% (510/715) in two strike counts since the start of last season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.

Dylan Bundy has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 91.6 MPH on changeups since the start of last season (101 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 86.3

Hitters have swung at 37% of Dylan Bundy’s breaking pitches (323/870) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 47% — first Percentile.

Dylan Bundy has a strike rate of 73% (222/303) in two strike counts this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 99th Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The White Sox are 7-2 (.778) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The White Sox are just 5-34 (.128) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.

The White Sox are 26-20 (.565) on the road this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .479.

The White Sox are 13-3 (.812) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Twins are just 3-8 (.273) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 41-6 (.872) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Twins are 43-13 (.768) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .703.

The Twins are just 8-19 (.296) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.

White Sox hitters have 85 extra-base hits out of 340 total hits (just 25%) versus relief pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .437 (250 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .653.

The White Sox are batting .286 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

White Sox hitters are slugging just .209 in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .352.

Twins hitters are slugging .562 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .441.

Twins hitters have an OPS of .756 (2,531 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .703.

Twins hitters are slugging .493 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .448.

Twins hitters have 48 extra-base hits out of 96 total hits (50%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against White Sox pitchers since the start of 2020 — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% versus the heart of the order since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games on the road since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

The Twins have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Twins vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D15
  • Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
  • Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
  • Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D10
  • John Ober (Twins): Groin, D15
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Archer (Twins): Hip, D15
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Jeffers (Twins): Thumb, D10
  • Yasmani Grandal (White Sox): Back, D10
  • Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D15
  • Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Vincent Velasquez (White Sox): Finger, D15
  • Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Leg, Day-to-Day
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
  • Jacob Burger (White Sox): Hand, D10
  • Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
  • Luis Robert (White Sox): Illness, Day-to-Day

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.