- The Yankees (78-50) are -175 favorites vs the Angels (55-73)
- Yankees starting pitcher: Francelis Montas (4-10), 3.83 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: José Suarez (4-6), 4.19 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The New York Yankees (-175) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+145) on Monday, August 29, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Yankees vs Angels Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Yankees are 77-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 60-65 ATS.
Yankees vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 -105 | O 8 -110 | -175 |
| Angels | +1.5 -115 | U 8 -110 | +145 |
Yankees vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Monday‘s matchup with 56.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+12.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+12.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Josh Donaldson has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+11.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+11.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 away games (+10.55 Units / 98% ROI)
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 48 of his last 56 games (+31.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 40 of his last 61 games (+19.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 38 of his last 51 games (+17.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+13.05 Units / 48% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Singles Over in 36 of his last 56 games (+12.25 Units / 18% ROI)
Angels vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Velazquez | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| David Fletcher | 0.5 +1250 | 0.5 |
| Jo Adell | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Luis Rengifo | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Max Stassi | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Angels vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Velazquez | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -130 |
| David Fletcher | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jo Adell | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
| Luis Rengifo | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Max Stassi | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -115 |
Angels vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Velazquez | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| David Fletcher | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jo Adell | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Luis Rengifo | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Max Stassi | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
Angels vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Frankie Montas | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +110 |
| Jose Suarez | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +120 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+6.70 Units / 44% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+1.40 Units / 12% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 34 of their last 62 games at home (+11.70 Units / 17% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 55-70 against the Run Line (-17.4 Units / -11.98% ROI).
- 77-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -0.7% ROI
- 57-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.7 Units / -9.2% ROI
- 63-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 0.25% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 60-65 against the Run Line (-10 Units / -6.45% ROI).
- 55-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.05 Units / -16.18% ROI
- 56-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.05 Units / -7.29% ROI
- 60-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.85 Units / -0.63% ROI
Francelis Montas: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 24% (62/262) against Frankie Montas this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Frankie Montas has thrown fastballs 67% of the time (633/939) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 54% — 94th Percentile.
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 22% (136/619) against Frankie Montas since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: 16% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 44% (209/474) against Frankie Montas on sliders this season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 50% — eighth Percentile.
José Suarez: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 30% (50/168) against Jose Suarez this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 24% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .362 (47-for-130) against Jose Suarez on inside fastballs since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 173 total IP; League Avg: .257 — 0 Percentile.
Jose Suarez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .232 (19 Total Bases / 82 ABs) versus the bottom of the order this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: .355 — 96th Percentile.
Jose Suarez has not allowed a walk in his last 54 PAs against a RHH dating back to August 8th — Chris Martin has the longest active streak at 157.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Yankees are 9-32 (.220) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Yankees are 33-30 (.524) on the road this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .471.
The Yankees are 14-10 (.583) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Yankees are 11-6 (.647) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Angels are just 6-31 (.162) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Angels are just 2-10 (.167) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 6-32 (.158) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.
The Angels are just 6-35 (.146) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.05 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Yankees hitters are slugging .535 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .443.
Yankees hitters have drawn 795 walks in 7,782 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees are batting just .303 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .334.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .299 (1,343 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .639 (1,443 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .288 (1,443 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Angels have a winning percentage of just 42% at home this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 392.3 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.5
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 9 of 62 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (7 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Angels pitchers have walked 1,023 of 10,980 batters (9%) since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 99 of 1,137 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Angels have won just 14% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Michael Lorenzen (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- McKenzie Moniak (Angels): Finger, D10
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
- Matthew Duffy (Angels): Back, D60
- Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Jared Walsh (Angels): Rib, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Albert Abreu (Yankees): Elbow, D15
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Groin, D15
- Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Harrison Bader (Yankees): Foot, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Undisclosed, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D60
- Matthew Carpenter (Yankees): Foot, D10
- Albertin Chapman (Yankees): Leg, D15
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
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