Yankees vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 16

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 16, 2022, 3:31 PM
  • The Yankees (87-56) are -125 favorites vs the Brewers (76-67)
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Francelis Montas (5-12), 3.89 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Adrian Houser (6-9), 4.61 ERA
  • Watch the game on Prime Video

The New York Yankees (-125) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+105) on Friday, September 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.

The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Yankees vs Brewers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Yankees are against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are ATS.

Yankees vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees-1.5 +135O 8 -110-125
Brewers +1.5 -160U 8 -110+105

Yankees vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the will win Friday‘s matchup with confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Brewers vs Yankees and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in his last 13 away games (+17.55 Units / 71% ROI)
  • DJ LeMahieu has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+13.80 Units / 69% ROI)
  • DJ LeMahieu has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 13 away games (+13.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Josh Donaldson has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 19 away games (+12.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Josh Donaldson has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 27 away games (+11.70 Units / 26% ROI)

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Hunter Renfroe has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 37 games (+9.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Rowdy Tellez has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.90 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Eric Lauer has hit the Strikeouts Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.35 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Freddy Peralta has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 8 games (+8.05 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Tyrone Taylor has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 47% ROI)

Brewers vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Christian Yelich 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Jace Peterson 0.5 +875 0.5 -5000
Kolten Wong 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000

Brewers vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Christian Yelich 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Jace Peterson 0.5 -130 0.5 -110
Kolten Wong 0.5 -155 0.5 +110

Brewers vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Christian Yelich 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Jace Peterson 0.5 +275 0.5 -450
Kolten Wong 0.5 +260 0.5 -400

Brewers vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adrian Houser 3.5 -105 3.5 -135
Frankie Montas 4.5 -145 4.5 +100
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 away games (+8.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 15 of their last 22 away games (+7.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.35 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 66 of their last 123 games (+11.20 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 63 games at home (+8.27 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 26% (80/309) against Frankie Montas this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 34% (142/414) against Frankie Montas when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 151 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 99th Percentile.

Frankie Montas has thrown low pitches 51% of the time (506/992) when behind in the count since the start of last season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 87th Percentile.

Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 23% (154/666) against Frankie Montas since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 151 total IP; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Adrian Houser: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters have swung at 39% of Adrian Houser’s non-fastballs (512/1,323) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 151 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 60% (243/404) against Adrian Houser since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 151 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 92 of Adrian Houser’s 418 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 22%) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 151 total IP; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.

Adrian Houser has allowed an OPS of just .403 (76 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: .753 — 99th Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Yankees are 10-37 (.213) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .117.

The Yankees are 50-22 (.694) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .526.

The Yankees are 8-44 (.154) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Yankees are 12-7 (.632) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Brewers are 8-50 (.138) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .117.

The Brewers are just 8-31 (.205) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.

The Brewers are 8-52 (.133) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Brewers are 39-27 (.591) at home this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .526.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.04 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.04 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

The Yankees have a winning percentage of 69% at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

The Yankees are batting just .156 against LHP this month (9 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

The Brewers are batting just .223 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Brewers hitters are slugging just .373 against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.

Brewers hitters are averaging 4.08 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

The Brewers are batting just .217 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Yankees pitchers have won 52% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Trevor Gott (Brewers): Forearm, D15
  • Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Wrist, D60
  • Matthew Bush (Brewers): Groin, Day-to-Day
  • Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
  • Trevor Rosenthal (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
  • Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
  • Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Eric Lauer (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Forearm, D15
  • Jonathan Davis (Brewers): Elbow, D10
  • Albert Abreu (Yankees): Elbow, D15
  • Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Andrew Benintendi (Yankees): Wrist, D10
  • Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • David LeMahieu (Yankees): Toe, D10
  • Harrison Bader (Yankees): Foot, D60
  • Anthony Rizzo (Yankees): Back, D10
  • Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D60
  • Matthew Carpenter (Yankees): Foot, D10
  • Albertin Chapman (Yankees): Leg, D15
  • Scott Effross (Yankees): Shoulder, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.