- The Yankees are -160 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes (9-3), 2.53 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson (6-6), 4.09 ERA
- Watch the game on Prime Video
The New York Yankees (-160) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+135) on Friday, August 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Yankees vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Yankees are 70-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 57-48 ATS.
Yankees vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +105 | O 8.5 -105 | -160 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -125 | U 8.5 -115 | +135 |
Yankees vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s matchup with 61.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 34 away games (+11.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+9.90 Units / 63% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.75 Units / 49% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 42 of his last 63 games (+9.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+9.10 Units / 15% ROI)
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 37 games at home (+12.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 35 games at home (+12.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 35 games at home (+11.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 37 games (+11.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+10.95 Units / 36% ROI)
Cardinals vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Albert Pujols | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -375 |
| Paul DeJong | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Cardinals vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Albert Pujols | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -125 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Paul DeJong | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +100 |
Cardinals vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Albert Pujols | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -150 |
| Paul DeJong | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
Cardinals vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dakota Hudson | 3.5 +125 | 3.5 -175 |
| Nestor Cortes | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +100 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 25 games (+13.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 65 of their last 96 games (+13.00 Units / 7% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 32 of their last 52 games (+10.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.90 Units / 12% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 36 games at home (+11.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 37 games (+10.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 36 games at home (+9.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 36 games at home (+9.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 45 of their last 82 games (+8.85 Units / 10% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 51-55 against the Run Line (-6.3 Units / -5.06% ROI).
- 70-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.6 Units / 4.82% ROI
- 53-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.05 Units / -0.9% ROI
- 49-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.2 Units / -7.88% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 57-48 against the Run Line (+6.3 Units / 4.77% ROI).
- 57-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.65 Units / 1.94% ROI
- 48-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -11 Units / -9.47% ROI
- 53-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.4 Units / 0.35% ROI
Nestor Cortes: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 60% of the time (254/425) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 52% of the time (1,130/2,177) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
17 of Nestor Cortes’ 49 breaking pitch strikeouts (35%) have been backdoor this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 97th Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 56% of the time (627/1,124) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Dakota Hudson: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 57% (476/841) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 18% (84/453) against Dakota Hudson this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 28% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 22% (189/856) against Dakota Hudson this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 29% — first Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 54% (299/554) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Yankees are 8-22 (.267) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Yankees are 48-8 (.857) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Yankees are 41-15 (.732) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Yankees are 6-29 (.171) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Cardinals are 28-7 (.800) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
The Cardinals are 32-20 (.615) at home this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Cardinals are just 1-42 (.023) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Cardinals are 47-2 (.959) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .914.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .764 (3,149 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .694.
The Yankees have scored 1.89 runs per game (200/106) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.39.
Yankees hitters have drawn 747 walks in 7,142 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees have scored 186 runs in innings 7-9 this season — most in MLB.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .795 (2,059 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .461 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Cardinals hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 62% against LHP over the last 14 days (5 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Cardinals hitters have 204 extra-base hits out of 477 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Yankees pitchers since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Yankees pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 56% of the time at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 101 double plays in 767 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Juan Yepez (Cardinals): Forearm, D10
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D60
- Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Achilles, D10
- Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Harrison Bader (Yankees): Foot, D10
- Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D60
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