Yankees vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 24

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 24, 2022, 3:36 PM
  • The Yankees (65-31) are -190 favorites vs the Orioles (47-47)
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes (7-3), 2.63 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer (3-1), 2.59 ERA
  • Watch the game on MASN

The New York Yankees (-190) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+155) on Sunday, July 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Yankees vs Orioles Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Yankees are 65-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 61-33 ATS.

Yankees vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees-1.5 -115O 9 +100-190
Orioles +1.5 -105U 9 -120+155

Yankees vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s matchup with 52.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Orioles vs Yankees and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Josh Donaldson has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 32 away games (+12.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Josh Donaldson has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 31 away games (+9.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Matt Carpenter has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.65 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Marwin Gonzalez has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+6.35 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Miguel Andujar has hit the Runs Over in his last 5 games (+6.35 Units / 127% ROI)

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 38 games at home (+15.65 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 39 games (+13.65 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Jorge Mateo has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+12.25 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+12.15 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Jorge Mateo has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+12.15 Units / 38% ROI)

Orioles vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Austin Hays 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Jorge Mateo 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
Ramon Urias 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600

Orioles vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Austin Hays 1.5 +180 1.5 -275
Cedric Mullins 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Jorge Mateo 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
Ramon Urias 0.5 -275 0.5 +180

Orioles vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Austin Hays 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Jorge Mateo 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
Ramon Urias 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Orioles vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dean Kremer 3.5 -105 3.5 -140
Nestor Cortes 5.5 +105 5.5 -150
Dean Kremer 2.5 -175 2.5 +125
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 86 games (+16.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.00 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 25 of their last 42 games (+6.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 74 games (+23.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 74 games (+21.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 32 games (+11.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 41 of their last 71 games (+11.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 56 games (+8.90 Units / 15% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 46-50 against the Run Line (-5.7 Units / -5.08% ROI).

  • 65-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.8 Units / 7.18% ROI
  • 47-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.6 Units / -3.4% ROI
  • 46-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.4 Units / -5.1% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 61-33 against the Run Line (+22 Units / 17.95% ROI).

  • 47-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +17 Units / 17.46% ROI
  • 43-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.1 Units / -6.94% ROI
  • 47-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.35 Units / -0.33% ROI

Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 60% of the time (230/380) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total SL; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 54% of the time (410/754) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 127 total SL; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.

Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 58% of the time (579/1,006) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 63% of the time (159/253) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Dean Kremer: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Dean Kremer has allowed an OBP of .421 (38 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .236 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (12/43) against Dean Kremer this month (3 games) — tied for 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 43% — sixth Percentile.

Dean Kremer has allowed an OPS of .845 (38 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .491 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .333 (11-for-33) against Dean Kremer with two-strikes this month (3 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .163 — 0 Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Yankees are 7-18 (.280) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Yankees are 37-12 (.755) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .521.

The Yankees are 39-7 (.848) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .709.

The Yankees are 5-25 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Orioles are 26-18 (.591) at home this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.

The Orioles are 5-39 (.114) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Orioles are 12-3 (.800) when scoring in the first inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .660.

The Orioles are just 4-6 (.400) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Yankees hitters have an OBP of .418 (154 PA’s) against LHP this month (14 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of 1.281 (696 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.064.

Yankees hitters are slugging .579 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .442.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .976 (154 PA’s) against LHP this month (14 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .713.

Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .299 (6,349 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

The Orioles are batting just .138 on pitches out of the zone this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .158.

Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .668 (4,910 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .708.

The Orioles have won just 58% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 54% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 60% of the time at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 391.5 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.7

Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Yankees pitchers since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.05 (1012.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Orioles pitchers have walked 145 of 2,241 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Orioles vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Travis Lakins Sr. (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • Kyle Bradish (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Oblique, D60
  • Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
  • Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.