- The Yankees (65-31) are -190 favorites vs the Orioles (47-47)
- Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes (7-3), 2.63 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer (3-1), 2.59 ERA
- Watch the game on MASN
The New York Yankees (-190) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+155) on Sunday, July 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Yankees vs Orioles Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Yankees are 65-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 61-33 ATS.
Yankees vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 -115 | O 9 +100 | -190 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -105 | U 9 -120 | +155 |
Yankees vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s matchup with 52.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 32 away games (+12.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 31 away games (+9.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Matt Carpenter has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Marwin Gonzalez has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+6.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- Miguel Andujar has hit the Runs Over in his last 5 games (+6.35 Units / 127% ROI)
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 38 games at home (+15.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 39 games (+13.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+12.25 Units / 45% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+12.15 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+12.15 Units / 38% ROI)
Orioles vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jorge Mateo | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Orioles vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Austin Hays | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jorge Mateo | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
Orioles vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jorge Mateo | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dean Kremer | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -140 |
| Nestor Cortes | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -150 |
| Dean Kremer | 2.5 -175 | 2.5 +125 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 86 games (+16.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 25 of their last 42 games (+6.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.40 Units / 18% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 74 games (+23.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 74 games (+21.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 32 games (+11.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 41 of their last 71 games (+11.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 56 games (+8.90 Units / 15% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 46-50 against the Run Line (-5.7 Units / -5.08% ROI).
- 65-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.8 Units / 7.18% ROI
- 47-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.6 Units / -3.4% ROI
- 46-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.4 Units / -5.1% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 61-33 against the Run Line (+22 Units / 17.95% ROI).
- 47-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +17 Units / 17.46% ROI
- 43-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.1 Units / -6.94% ROI
- 47-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.35 Units / -0.33% ROI
Nestor Cortes: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 60% of the time (230/380) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total SL; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 54% of the time (410/754) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 127 total SL; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 58% of the time (579/1,006) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 63% of the time (159/253) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Dean Kremer: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dean Kremer has allowed an OBP of .421 (38 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .236 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (12/43) against Dean Kremer this month (3 games) — tied for 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 43% — sixth Percentile.
Dean Kremer has allowed an OPS of .845 (38 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .491 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .333 (11-for-33) against Dean Kremer with two-strikes this month (3 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .163 — 0 Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Yankees are 7-18 (.280) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Yankees are 37-12 (.755) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Yankees are 39-7 (.848) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .709.
The Yankees are 5-25 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Orioles are 26-18 (.591) at home this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Orioles are 5-39 (.114) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Orioles are 12-3 (.800) when scoring in the first inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .660.
The Orioles are just 4-6 (.400) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have an OBP of .418 (154 PA’s) against LHP this month (14 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of 1.281 (696 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.064.
Yankees hitters are slugging .579 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .442.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .976 (154 PA’s) against LHP this month (14 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .299 (6,349 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
The Orioles are batting just .138 on pitches out of the zone this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .158.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .668 (4,910 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .708.
The Orioles have won just 58% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 54% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 60% of the time at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 391.5 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.7
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Yankees pitchers since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.05 (1012.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 145 of 2,241 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Travis Lakins Sr. (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- Kyle Bradish (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Oblique, D60
- Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D15
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