- The Yankees are -160 favorites vs the Royals
- Yankees vs Royals Over / Under today: 10.5 Runs
- Yankees / Royals TV Channel: AMZP | BSKC
The New York Yankees (-160) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+135) on Wednesday, June 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Yankees are 48-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 41-27 ATS.
Yankees vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Cody Poteet 2-0, 1.72 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Dan Altavilla 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Yankees vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 -105 | O 10.5 -105 | -160 |
| Royals | +1.5 -115 | U 10.5 -115 | +135 |
Yankees vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 58.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Home Runs Over in 17 of his last 33 games (+21.95 Units / 67% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 29 of his last 35 games (+20.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 35 games (+20.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 35 games (+19.25 Units / 48% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+14.15 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 31 games (+17.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 31 games (+14.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 31 games (+11.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Freddy Fermin has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 9 games at home (+9.75 Units / 63% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 35 games (+23.95 Units / 56% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 35 games (+23.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 38 games (+22.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 46 games (+19.09 Units / 34% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 69 games (+18.90 Units / 19% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+12.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 64 games (+12.04 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 35 games at home (+6.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.75 Units / 32% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 42-27 against the Run Line (+20.2 Units / 24.34% ROI).
- 48-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.9 Units / 18.68% ROI
- 32-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.45 Units / -8.49% ROI
- 35-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 41-27 against the Run Line (+8.44 Units / 8.85% ROI).
- 39-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.1 Units / 13.98% ROI
- 31-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.35 Units / -8.6% ROI
- 34-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -0.14% ROI
Royals vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Nelson Velazquez (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -550 |
Royals vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Drew Waters (KC) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Nick Loftin (KC) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Royals vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -140 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
Royals vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Poteet (NYY) | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 +100 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cody Poteet has allowed an OPS of just .259 (16 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this month (2 games) — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .755 — 94th Percentile.
Cody Poteet has walked 4 of 38 batters (10%) this month (2 games) — 8th highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 6% — 13th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .152 (5-for-33) against Cody Poteet this month (2 games) — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .249 — 95th Percentile.
Cody Poteet has allowed an OBP of just .188 (16 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this month (2 games) — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .322 — 88th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dan Altavilla has not allowed a hit to any of the last 28 batters he’s faced after reaching two strikes. — Josh Hader has the longest active streak at 36.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Yankees are 8-5 (.615) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
The Yankees are 6-13 (.316) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .156.
The Yankees are 17-6 (.739) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Yankees are 3-16 (.158) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .061.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Royals are just 18-93 (.162) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .364.
The Royals are 16-4 (.800) after a home win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Royals are just 23-51 (.311) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .489.
The Royals are just 25-42 (.373) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are slugging .458 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .387.
Yankees hitters are slugging .757 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .551.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .794 (1,977 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .696.
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 1,976 of their 8,594 plate appearances (23%) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of .395 (312 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .333.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .284 (4,127 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Royals have won just 48% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
The Royals won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 78% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Yankees have won 67% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Yankees pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 25% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Yankees have won 60% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in late innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
The Royals won just 17% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Royals have won just 23% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
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