- The Tigers are -115 favorites vs the Yankees
- Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Severino, 13.50 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Spencer Turnbull, 4.50 ERA
- Watch the game on BSDET
The New York Yankees (-105) visit Publix Field at Joker Marchant Stadium to take on the Detroit Tigers (-115) on Friday, March 10, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in Lakeland.
The Tigers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Yankees vs Tigers Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Yankees are 4-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 3-6 ATS.
Yankees vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | +1.5 -185 | O 10.5 -110 | -105 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +150 | U 10.5 -110 | -115 |
Yankees vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s Spring Training matchup with 63.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Yankees vs Tigers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 7 away games (+4.00 Units / 30% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 36 away games (+11.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 24 of their last 36 games (+11.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games (+10.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 37 away games (+9.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.75 Units / 21% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 159 games (+18.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 59 of their last 108 games (+12.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+10.70 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 62 games (+9.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.70 Units / 15% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 4-4 against the Run Line (-0.6 Units / -6.03% ROI).
- 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -16.85% ROI
- 6-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.8 Units / 42.46% ROI
- 2-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.45 Units / -51.45% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 3-6 against the Run Line (-2.6 Units / -25.62% ROI).
- 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 7.14% ROI
- 7-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.8 Units / 48.98% ROI
- 2-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.8 Units / -58% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Luwas Severino last season was 380.5 feet — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 397.8
The last hit on a Luis Severino changeup was September 21st, 2022. Hitters are 0 for their last 18 in ABs ending on his changeup. — Bryan Baker has the longest active streak at 28.
Opponents batted just .171 (30-for-175) against Luis Severino on the road last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .248 — 97th Percentile.
Hitters batting in the top of the order batted just .180 against Luis Severino last season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .256 — 96th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Turnbull has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last five games dating back to May 13rd, 2021 — Nick Lodolo has the longest active streak at 8.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Yankees are 11-41 (.212) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Yankees are 10-49 (.169) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Yankees are 57-24 (.704) at home last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Yankees are 28-4 (.875) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits last season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Tigers are 13-1 (.929) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Tigers are just 6-68 (.081) when allowing 5 or more runs last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Tigers are just 64-86 (.427) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Tigers are just 35-46 (.432) at home last season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Yankees hitters have drawn 890 walks in 8,783 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees batted just .214 with two outs last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of 1.176 (2,320 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.083.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters slugged just .331 against RHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (8,569 PA’s) against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Tigers hitters had an OPS of just .608 (4,338 PA’s) against RHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .277 (4,338 PA’s) against RHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 56% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of the 2021 season is 392.2 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.3
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 47% of the time last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of the 2021 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers walked 129 of 1,425 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Tigers pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 62% of their games last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Tigers vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported
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