Cardinals vs Panthers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 16

Carolina Panthers quarterback Bryce Young passes against the New Orleans Saints during the first half of an NFL football game Monday, Sept. 18, 2023, in Charlotte, N.C.
(Rusty Jones/AP Photo)
  • The Cardinals are -4.5 point favorites vs the Panthers
  • Total (Over/Under): 47 points
  • Watch this game on FOX

The Arizona Cardinals (7-7-0) visit Bank of America Stadium to take on the Carolina Panthers (3-11-0) on Dec. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Charlotte, NC.

The Cardinals are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Cardinals vs. Panthers Over/Under is 47 total points for the game.

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Cardinals vs. Panthers Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Cardinals-4.5 -11047 -110-225
Panthers +4.5 -11047 -110+185

Cardinals vs. Panthers Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Cardinals will win this game with 57.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Cardinals vs Panthers Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Panthers will cover the spread with 56.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Cardinals players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today

  • Marvin Harrison Jr. has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.30 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Kyler Murray has hit the Carries Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+7.00 Units / 34% ROI)
  • James Conner has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+6.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Chad Ryland has hit the Field Goals Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+5.95 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Marvin Harrison Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Panthers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Panthers Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Miles Sanders has hit the Carries Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.10 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Chuba Hubbard has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Chuba Hubbard has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+3.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Miles Sanders has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • David Moore has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.35 Units / 27% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Panthers vs Cardinals

Player Name 1st TD Odds
James Conner (Ari) +280
Chuba Hubbard (Car) +360
Marvin Harrison Jr. (ARI) +800
  • The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+6.45 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have covered the 2H Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.23 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 2H Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+6.08 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+5.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.90 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Cardinals art 9-5 (+3.3 Units / 21.02% ROI).

  • Cardinals are 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 6.76% ROI
  • Cardinals are 6-7 when betting the Over for -1.7 Units / -11.04% ROI
  • Cardinals are 7-6 when betting the Under for +0.4 Units / ROI

Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Panthers are 6-8 (-2.8 Units / -18.3% ROI).

  • Panthers are 3-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.05 Units / -28.13% ROI
  • Panthers are 10-4 when betting the Over for +5.6 Units / 36.36% ROI
  • Panthers are 4-10 when betting the Under for -7 Units / -45.45% ROI

Arizona Cardinals: Keys to the Game vs. the Carolina Panthers

The Cardinals were winless (0-3) when forcing 2 or more turnovers last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .707.

The Cardinals were winless (0-5) when allowing 250 or more passing yards last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .414.

The Cardinals were 1-6 (.143) when sacking the QB 3 or more times last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .650.

The Cardinals were winless (0-10) when scoring less than 22 points last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .253.

Carolina Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. the Arizona Cardinals

The Panthers were winless (0-4) when sacking the QB 3 or more times last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .650.

The Panthers were 1-13 (.071) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .495.

The Panthers are 2-6 (.250) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .752.

The Panthers are 1-7 (.125) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .655.

Additional Matchup Notes for Arizona Cardinals vs. Carolina Panthers

The Panthers have been successful on just 28.6% of plays they have run against a stacked front this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Cardinals have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 33.3% of plays with a stacked front this season — T-4th-best in NFL.

The Panthers have been successful on just 37.9% of plays they have run against a stacked front since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Cardinals have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 37.6% of plays with a stacked front since the 2023 season — best in NFL.

Panthers TEs have 108 receptions in 31 games (just 3.5 per game) since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Cardinals have allowed just 4.4 receptions per game to TEs since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL.

The Cardinals have a third down conversion rate of just 11.7% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Panthers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 13.0% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL.

The Cardinals have gone three and out on 16.2% of their drives this season — 5th-best in NFL. The Panthers have forced three and outs on 16.8% of opponent drives this season — 5th-worst in NFL.

The Cardinals have run successful plays on just 34.4% of pass attempts against a heavy rush this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Panthers have allowed successful plays on just 20.0% of pass attempts with a heavy rush this season — best in NFL.

Arizona Cardinals Offense: Important Stats

The Cardinals had 23 rushes of 20+ yards last season — most in NFL.

The Cardinals went for two on 36% of PATs last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 10%.

The Cardinals have run successful plays on 32% of pass attempts against a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Cardinals ran successful plays on 75% of rush attempts against a base rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

Carolina Panthers Offense: Important Stats

The Panthers have averaged -0.32 epa per play on play action passes this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.08.

The Panthers have averaged -0.27 epa per play on play action passes since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.08.

The Panthers scored on 50% of their drives in close and late situations last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Panthers have averaged 0.17 epa per play against open coverage since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.38.

Arizona Cardinals Defense: Important Stats

The Cardinals defense has allowed successful plays on 59% of pass attempts from their own territory this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

19% of the plays ran against the Cardinals were in the red zone last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Cardinals defense allowed successful plays on 49% of plays with a base front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Cardinals defense has allowed successful plays on 63% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

Carolina Panthers Defense: Important Stats

The Panthers defense has allowed an average of 2.4 yards after contact per carry (939 carries) since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.9.

The Panthers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 33.3 with a heavy rush (20 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 105.0.

The Panthers defense has allowed 174.6 rushing yards per game (2,445/14) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 119.9.

The Panthers defense has allowed successful plays on 20% of pass attempts with a heavy rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.