- The Ravens are -6.5 point favorites vs the Commanders
- Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Washington Commanders (4-1-0) visit M&T Bank Stadium to take on the Baltimore Ravens (3-2-0) on Oct. 13. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
The Ravens are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Commanders vs. Ravens Over/Under is 51.5 total points for the game.
Bet now on Ravens vs Commanders & all NFL games with BetMGM
Commanders vs. Ravens Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
Commanders | +6.5 -110 | 51.5 -110 | +240 |
Ravens | -6.5 -110 | 51.5 -110 | -300 |
Commanders vs. Ravens Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Ravens will win this game with 78.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Commanders vs Ravens Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Ravens will cover the spread with 59.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Ravens vs Commanders and all NFL games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Commanders players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Commanders Player Prop Bets Today
- Austin Ekeler has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Austin Ekeler has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.30 Units / 48% ROI)
- Brian Robinson has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Terry McLaurin has hit the Longest Reception Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.80 Units / 57% ROI)
- Noah Brown has hit the Receptions Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+4.70 Units / 71% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Ravens players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Ravens Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Justice Hill has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.85 Units / 42% ROI)
- Derrick Henry has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.80 Units / 63% ROI)
- Justice Hill has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Rashod Bateman has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- Rashod Bateman has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+5.10 Units / 28% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Ravens vs Commanders
Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
---|---|
Derrick Henry (BAL) | +300 |
Lamar Jackson (Bal) | +850 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Ravens vs Commanders
Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
---|---|
Derrick Henry (BAL) | -300 |
Brian Robinson Jr (Was) | +130 |
Zay Flowers (Bal) | +130 |
Jayden Daniels (WAS) | +135 |
Lamar Jackson (Bal) | +135 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Ravens vs Commanders
Player Name | Over | Under |
---|---|---|
Derrick Henry (BAL) | 7.5 -120 | 7.5 -110 |
Isaiah Likely (BAL) | 22.5 -115 | 22.5 -115 |
Zay Flowers (BAL) | 54.5 -115 | 54.5 -115 |
Terry McLaurin (WAS) | 60.5 -115 | 60.5 -120 |
Mark Andrews (BAL) | 26.5 -115 | 26.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Ravens vs Commanders
Player Name | Over | Under |
---|---|---|
Derrick Henry (BAL) | 81.5 -115 | 81.5 -115 |
Lamar Jackson (BAL) | 56.5 -110 | 56.5 -120 |
Commanders Best Bets:
- The Washington Commanders have covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.15 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+5.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+5.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.90 Units / 36% ROI)
Ravens Best Bets:
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 2H Spread in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.95 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have scored last in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.15 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.25 Units / 23% ROI)
Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Commanders art 4-1 (+2.9 Units / 51.79% ROI).
- Commanders are 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.35 Units / 93.04% ROI
- Commanders are 4-1 when betting the Over for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI
- Commanders are 1-4 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / ROI
Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens are 3-2 (+0.85 Units / 15.18% ROI).
- Ravens are 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -25.13% ROI
- Ravens are 4-1 when betting the Over for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI
- Ravens are 1-4 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI
Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens
The Commanders were 2-12 (.143) when committing 1 or more turnovers last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .406.
The Commanders were winless (0-8) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .426.
The Commanders were 2-6 (.250) when within 7 points at the two minute warning last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Commanders are undefeated (4-0) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2023 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .603.
Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders
The Ravens were undefeated (4-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .363.
The Ravens are 6-1 (.857) when passing for 250 or more yards since the 2023 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Commanders have allowed 247.6 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Ravens are undefeated (5-0) vs top 10 run offenses since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .431.
The Ravens are undefeated (6-0) vs bottom 10 pass defenses since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .486.
Additional Matchup Notes for Washington Commanders vs. Baltimore Ravens
The Ravens have been successful on 51.1% of plays they have ran this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Commanders have allowed their opponents to be successful on 48.8% of plays this season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Ravens have run successful plays on 53.5% of pass attempts against a base rush this season — T-2nd-best in NFL. The Commanders have allowed successful plays on 52.3% of pass attempts with a base rush this season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Ravens have run successful plays on 54.6% of rush attempts against a base front this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Commanders have allowed successful plays on 52.3% of rush attempts with a base front this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Commanders have scored on 63.6% of their drives in the fourth quarter this season — best in NFL. The Ravens defense has allowed scores on 52.9% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Commanders have been successful on 50.0% of plays they have ran against a light front this season — T-3rd-best in NFL. The Ravens have allowed their opponents to be successful on 50.0% of plays with a light front this season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Commanders have scored on 68.2% of their drives in the second half this season — best in NFL. The Ravens defense has allowed scores on 52% of opponent drives in the second half this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
Washington Commanders Offense: Important Stats
The Commanders have run 64% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
The Commanders have scored on 68% of their drives in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 35%.
The Commanders had 4 rushes of 20+ yards in Week 5 — most in NFL.
The Commanders have rushed for 13 TDs this season — most in NFL.
Baltimore Ravens Offense: Important Stats
The Ravens have thrown the ball 12% of the time (2 Pass Attempts/17 plays) on 3rd and short this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Ravens have scored 14 TDs in the red zone this season — most in NFL.
The Ravens have thrown the ball 21% of the time (16 Pass Attempts/75 plays) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Ravens threw the ball 24% of the time (14 Pass Attempts/58 plays) on 3rd and short last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
Washington Commanders Defense: Important Stats
The Commanders defense has allowed a passer rating of 109.4 with a base rush (675 Pass Attempts) since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 89.6.
The Commanders defense has allowed 50 TD passes since the 2023 season — most in NFL.
The Commanders defense has allowed a passer rating of 107.5 (745 Pass Attempts) since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 89.3.
The Commanders defense allowed 2.3 TD passes per game (39/17) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.4.
Baltimore Ravens Defense: Important Stats
The Ravens defense allowed successful plays on 27% of plays with a light front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Ravens defense has allowed 15 of 87 (17%) first downs on the ground this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Ravens defense has allowed successful plays on 26% of rush attempts with a light front since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Ravens defense allowed -0.34 epa per play with a light front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.05.
Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Ravens vs Commanders and all NFL games with BetMGM
More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
More NFL Odds at BetMGM
Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting at the online sportsbook.
From futures like Chiefs Super Bowl odds, Lions odds to win the division, or Ravens playoff odds, to weekly odds like spreads, moneylines, and over/under totals, thereโs something for everyone.
And with the best sportsbook promotions, you could land a welcome offer, sports betting Odds Boost, or a Parlay Boost! You can also check out NFL picks and predictions and updated Super Bowl predictions throughout the year.
Log in to your BetMGM account today โ or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM iOS app or BetMGM Android app โ to start betting!