- The Eagles are -2.5 point favorites vs the Buccaneers
- Total (Over/Under): 44 points
- Watch this NFC Wild Card Playoff game on ESPN | ABC | ESPN+ | ESPN2
The Philadelphia Eagles (11-6) visit Raymond James Stadium to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-8) on Jan. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Tampa, FL.
The Eagles are betting favorites in this playoff matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-120).
The Eagles vs. Buccaneers Over/Under is 44 total points for the game.
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Eagles vs. Buccaneers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Eagles | -2.5 -120 | 44 -110 | -145 |
| Buccaneers | +2.5 +100 | 44 -110 | +120 |
Eagles vs. Buccaneers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this playoff game game with 57.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Eagles vs Buccaneers Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Buccaneers will cover the spread with 73.0% confidence.
Best Eagles Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Eagles players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Dallas Goedert has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.05 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jalen Hurts has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+6.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- D’Andre Swift has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Jalen Hurts has hit the TD Passes Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- DeVonta Smith has hit the Receptions Over in his last 5 away games (+5.10 Units / 81% ROI)
Best Buccaneers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rachaad White has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- Baker Mayfield has hit the TD Passes Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+7.15 Units / 65% ROI)
- Rachaad White has hit the Carries Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- Mike Evans has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+5.25 Units / 54% ROI)
- Baker Mayfield has hit the Interceptions Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.75 Units / 55% ROI)
Eagles Best Bets:
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.95 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have scored first in 16 of their last 22 games (+6.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.85 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.05 Units / 61% ROI)
Buccaneers Best Bets:
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have scored last in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games (+5.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+3.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+3.25 Units / 15% ROI)
Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles went 7-8 (-1.95 Units / -10.29% ROI).
- Eagles are 11-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.1 Units / -11% ROI
- Eagles are 9-8 when betting the Over for +0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI
- Eagles are 8-9 when betting the Under for -1.9 Units / ROI
Buccaneers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Buccaneers went 11-6 (+4.5 Units / 24.32% ROI).
- Buccaneers are 9-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.45 Units / 11.64% ROI
- Buccaneers are 6-11 when betting the Over for -6.1 Units / -32.62% ROI
- Buccaneers are 11-6 when betting the Under for +4.4 Units / 23.53% ROI
Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Eagles are 6-2 (.750) when passing for 250 or more yards this season — T-8th-best in NFL. The Buccaneers have allowed 248.9 passing yards per game this season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Eagles are undefeated (11-0) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Eagles are undefeated (3-0) vs bottom 10 pass defenses this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .506.
The Eagles are 12-4 (.750) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .388.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles
The Buccaneers are 8-1 (.889) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .583.
The Buccaneers are 1-6 (.143) when losing at least one fumble this season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .376.
The Buccaneers are winless (0-7) when trailing at the end of the third quarter this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .148.
The Buccaneers are 2-6 (.250) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards this season — T-7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .379.
Additional Matchup Notes for Philadelphia Eagles vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Buccaneers WRs have averaged 22.1 targets per game this season — 5th-highest in NFL. The Eagles have allowed 15.1 receptions per game to WRs this season — worst in NFL.
The Buccaneers have a third down conversion rate of 56.8% against the blitz this season — best in NFL. The Eagles defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 50.0% when blitzing this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL.
Buccaneers WRs have been targeted 375 times this season — 5th-most in NFL. The Eagles have allowed an average of 29.0 fantasy points per game to WRs this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Eagles have scored on 42.5% of their drives in the first quarter this season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Buccaneers defense has allowed scores on 35.9% of opponent drives in the first quarter this season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Eagles are 6-2 (.750) when passing for 250 or more yards this season — T-8th-best in NFL. The Buccaneers have allowed 248.9 passing yards per game this season — 4th-worst in NFL.
Eagles RBs have just 21.1 receiving yards per game since the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Buccaneers have averaged just 23.9 receiving yards per game allowed to RBs since the 2022 season — T-2nd-best in NFL.
Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats
The Eagles have run the ball on 37% of plays (83 carries/225 plays) on 3rd down this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 23%.
The Eagles have run the ball on 39% of plays (174 carries/447 plays) on 3rd down since the 2022 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 24%.
The Eagles have run successful plays on 49% of plays in the 2nd half this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Eagles rushed for 32 TDs in the 2022 season — most in NFL.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Offense: Important Stats
The Buccaneers have faced a blitz just 4% of the time on 3rd and short this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 13%.
The Buccaneers have run successful plays on 30% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Buccaneers have run successful plays on 33% of rush attempts this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Buccaneers have run successful plays on 26% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats
The Eagles defense has allowed 2.1 TD passes per game (35/17) this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.4.
The Eagles defense has allowed 35 TD passes this season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Eagles defense has allowed 3.9 TDs per interception (35 TDs allowed, and 9 INT) this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.8.
The Eagles defense has allowed 25 touchdown receptions in the red zone this season — T-most in NFL.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense: Important Stats
The Buccaneers defense has not allowed a successful play on any rush attempt in close and late situations since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
The Buccaneers’ opponents have attempted two-point conversions on 23% of PATs this season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 10%.
The Buccaneers defense has allowed scores on 36% of opponent drives in the 1st quarter this season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.
Offenses facing the Buccaneers targeted RBs 13% of the time (80 Pass Attempts/611 plays) this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
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