Jaguars vs Titans Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 14

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Tennessee Titans wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins makes a catch during NFL football practice Tuesday, June 4, 2024, in Nashville, Tenn. (AP Photo/George Walker IV)

(AP Photo/George Walker IV)

BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 04, 2024, 2:06 PM

The Titans are -3.5 point favorites vs the Jaguars
Total (Over/Under): 39.5 points
Watch this game on CBS

The Jacksonville Jaguars (2-10-0) visit Nissan Stadium to take on the Tennessee Titans (3-9-0) on Dec. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Nashville, TN.

The Titans are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Jaguars vs. Titans Over/Under is 39.5 total points for the game.

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Jaguars vs. Titans Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Jaguars	+3.5 -110	39.5 -110	+165
Titans	-3.5 -110	39.5 -110	-200

Jaguars vs. Titans Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Titans will win this game with 64.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Jaguars vs Titans Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Titans will cover the spread with 62.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Jaguars Player Prop Bets Today

Travis Etienne has hit the Carries Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.80 Units / 51% ROI)
Brian Thomas Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 40% ROI)
D’Ernest Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 58% ROI)
Travis Etienne has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+4.70 Units / 24% ROI)
Travis Etienne has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.65 Units / 44% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Titans players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Titans Player Prop Best Bets Today

Nick Westbrook has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 86% ROI)
Mason Rudolph has hit the TD Passes Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.90 Units / 50% ROI)
Chigoziem Okonkwo has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
Will Levis has hit the Interceptions Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 75% ROI)
Josh Whyle has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)

Jaguars Best Bets:

The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.90 Units / 55% ROI)
The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.90 Units / 49% ROI)
The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 games (+3.45 Units / 15% ROI)
The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.20 Units / 15% ROI)
The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.15 Units / 15% ROI)

Titans Best Bets:

The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+11.25 Units / 45% ROI)
The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 20 games (+4.65 Units / 19% ROI)
The Tennessee Titans have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 20 games (+2.95 Units / 12% ROI)
The Tennessee Titans have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games (+1.85 Units / 9% ROI)
The Tennessee Titans have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+1.50 Units / 13% ROI)

Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars art 6-5 (+0.45 Units / 3.4% ROI).

Jaguars are 2-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.9 Units / -55.28% ROI
Jaguars are 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
Jaguars are 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / ROI

Titans Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Titans are 2-10 (-8.95 Units / -68.58% ROI).

Titans are 3-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.45 Units / -32.48% ROI
Titans are 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 19.7% ROI
Titans are 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -28.03% ROI

Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans

The Jaguars are winless (0-3) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Jaguars are 2-15 (.118) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .410.

The Jaguars are winless (0-9) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .401.

The Jaguars are winless (0-6) when throwing 2 or more interceptions since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .199.

Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars

The Titans were 1-2 (.333) when forcing 2 or more turnovers last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .707.

The Titans are winless (0-4) when throwing 2 or more interceptions since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .199.

The Titans are 2-10 (.167) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .381.

The Titans are 2-13 (.133) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .443.

Additional Matchup Notes for Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Tennessee Titans

The Titans have run successful plays on 59.3% of pass attempts against a stacked front since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed successful plays on 60.0% of pass attempts with a stacked front since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL.

The Titans have run successful plays on 56.2% of pass attempts against a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed successful plays on 58.8% of pass attempts with a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Jaguars have averaged 0.20 epa per play against a light rush since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL. The Titans have allowed 0.29 epa per play with a light rush since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.

The Jaguars have run successful plays on just 37.0% of rush attempts with motion this season — T-5th-worst in NFL. The Titans have allowed successful plays on just 36.3% of rush attempts against motion this season — 4th-best in NFL.

The Jaguars have run successful plays on just 36.9% of rush attempts against a base front since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Titans have allowed successful plays on just 38.8% of rush attempts with a base front since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL.

Jacksonville Jaguars Offense: Important Stats

The Jaguars have converted first downs on just 14 of 37 plays (38%) on 3rd and short this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 58%.

The Jaguars ran successful plays on 0% of pass attempts on motion plays in Week 13 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 50%.

The Jaguars have run successful plays on 19% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 31%.

The Jaguars have averaged just 14.4 offensive penalty yards per game (173/12) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 24.8.

Tennessee Titans Offense: Important Stats

The Titans have run 35% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

The Titans have converted first downs on just 39 of 190 plays (20%) in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 28%.

The Titans have run 32% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Titans allowed a QB hit on 29% of pass attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

Jacksonville Jaguars Defense: Important Stats

The Jaguars defense has allowed 56 receptions for 20+ yards this season — most in NFL.

The Jaguars defense has allowed 1.8 TD passes per game (51/29) since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.4.

The Jaguars defense allowed 3 TD passes in close and late situations last season — T-most in NFL.

The Jaguars defense has allowed a passer rating of 110.2 (409 Pass Attempts) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 91.9.

Tennessee Titans Defense: Important Stats

The Titans defense allowed 6 TDs in Week 13 — most in NFL.

The Titans defense allowed 9 rushing TDs on 89 carries (9.9 Carries Per TD) in the red zone last season — best Carries Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.

The Titans defense intercepted 6 of 571 attempts (95.2 pass attempts per int.) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42.6.

The Titans defense has allowed a Completion Pct of just 27% (11 completions/41 attempts) when they have pressured the QB this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

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