- The Patriots are -2.5 point favorites vs the Jets
- Total (Over/Under): 30.5 points
- Watch the game on FOX
The New York Jets (5-10) visit Gillette Stadium to take on the New England Patriots (5-10) on Jan. 7. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Foxborough, MA.
The Patriots are betting favorites in this Week 18 matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Jets vs. Patriots Over/Under is 30.5 total points for the game.
Bet now on Patriots vs Jets & all NFL games with BetMGM
Jets vs. Patriots Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Jets | +2.5 -110 | 30.5 -110 | +120 |
| Patriots | -2.5 -110 | 30.5 -110 | -145 |
Jets vs. Patriots Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Patriots will win this Week 18 game with 56.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Jets vs Patriots Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jets will cover the spread with 52.4% confidence.
Bet now on Patriots vs Jets and all NFL games with BetMGM
Best Jets Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jets players this Week 18 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Breece Hall has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Corey Davis has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- Zach Wilson has hit the Completions Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 58% ROI)
- Breece Hall has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 88% ROI)
- Garrett Wilson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.90 Units / 48% ROI)
Best Patriots Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Patriots players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Mac Jones has hit the Completions Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.15 Units / 62% ROI)
- Rhamondre Stevenson has hit the Carries Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Rhamondre Stevenson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Mac Jones has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.75 Units / 57% ROI)
- Mac Jones has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.05 Units / 84% ROI)
Jets Best Bets:
- The New York Jets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Jets have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 11 away games (+0.35 Units / 2% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 17 games (+0.35 Units / 2% ROI)
Patriots Best Bets:
- The New England Patriots have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have covered the 4Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have covered the 2Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 50% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+1.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.50 Units / 16% ROI)
Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jets went 5-10 (-5.8 Units / -33.53% ROI).
- Jets are 6-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -10.37% ROI
- Jets are 7-9 when betting the Over for -2.9 Units / -16.48% ROI
- Jets are 9-7 when betting the Under for +1.3 Units / ROI
Patriots Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Patriots went 5-10 (-5.95 Units / -34% ROI).
- Patriots are 4-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.05 Units / -27.45% ROI
- Patriots are 7-9 when betting the Over for -2.9 Units / -16.48% ROI
- Patriots are 9-7 when betting the Under for +1.3 Units / 7.39% ROI
New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the New England Patriots
The Jets are winless (0-6) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .422.
The Jets are 1-7 (.125) vs top 10 pass defenses this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .444.
The Jets are 1-8 (.111) vs top 10 defenses this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .469.
The Jets are undefeated (3-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .670.
New England Patriots: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets
The Patriots are winless (0-5) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .378.
The Patriots are winless (0-4) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .368.
The Patriots are winless (0-7) when allowing 3 or more sacks this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .350.
The Patriots are winless (0-6) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .421.
Additional Matchup Notes for New York Jets vs. New England Patriots
The Patriots have run successful plays on just 40.3% of pass attempts this season — T-4th-worst in NFL. Jets have allowed successful plays on just 40.0% of pass attempts this season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Patriots have run just 8.2% offensive plays in the red zone this season — worst in NFL. Jets has allowed their opponent to run just 12.4% of plays in the red zone this season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Patriots have gone three and out on 29.5% of their drives this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. Jets have forced three and outs on 26% of opponent drives this season — 2nd-best in NFL.
The Jets ran successful plays on 57.1% of rush attempts last week — T-2nd-best in NFL. Patriots allowed successful plays on 61.1% of rush attempts last week — worst in NFL.
The Jets have run successful plays on just 35.6% of rush attempts since the 2022 season — worst in NFL. Patriots have allowed successful plays on just 39.3% of rush attempts since the 2022 season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Jets have scored on 25.3% of their drives this season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Patriots defense has allowed scores on 31.1% of opponent drives this season — 4th-best in NFL.
New York Jets Offense: Important Stats
The Jets have converted first downs on just 17 of 46 plays (37%) on 3rd and short this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 59%.
The Jets are averaging 11.6 drives per TD this season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.0.
The Jets have run successful plays on 28% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Jets have run successful plays on 29% of plays in the 1st quarter since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
New England Patriots Offense: Important Stats
The Patriots have started 62 drives inside their own 20 yard line this season — most in NFL.
The Patriots have started 19 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 4th quarter this season — most in NFL.
The Patriots have run 8% of their plays in the red zone this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
The Patriots have gone three and out on 29% of their drives this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
New York Jets Defense: Important Stats
The Jets defense has allowed an average of 12.5 fantasy points per game as a unit to WRs this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 21.2.
The Jets defense has allowed just 106.5 receiving yards per game (3,516/33) to WRs since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 152.2.
Offenses facing the Jets targeted WRs 49% of the time (518 Pass Attempts/1,048 plays) since the 2022 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.
The Jets defense has allowed successful plays on 37% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
New England Patriots Defense: Important Stats
The Patriots defense has allowed rushes of 10+ yards on just 28 of 411 carries (7%) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 11%.
36% of the plays run against the Patriots have been in the red zone in the 1st quarter since Week 14 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 13%.
21% of the plays run against the Patriots have been in the red zone in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 13%.
The Patriots defense has allowed 3 TDs on first drive of the game since the 2022 season — T-fewest in NFL.
Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Patriots vs Jets and all NFL games with BetMGM
Bet on NFL Odds at BetMGM
Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting.
From future like AFC Championship odds and NFC Championship odds to weekly betting on spreads, moneylines and parlays, there are thousands of opportunities for all fans.
And with the best sportsbook promos, you can get bigger potential payouts, Bonus Bets and more.
Log in to your BetMGM account today — or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM Sportsbook iOS app or BetMGM Google Play app — to start betting!
