- The 49ers are -7 point favorites vs the Lions
- Total (Over/Under): 51 points
- Watch this NFC Playoff game on FOX
The Detroit Lions visit Levi’s Stadium to take on the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday, Jan. 28. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in Santa Clara, CA.
The 49ers are betting favorites in this playoff matchup, with the spread sitting at -7 (-120).
The Lions vs. 49ers Over/Under is 52 total points for the game.
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Lions vs. 49ers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Lions | +7 +100 | 52 -110 | +275 |
| 49ers | -7 -120 | 52 -110 | -350 |
Lions vs. 49ers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the 49ers will win the NFC Championship game with 75.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Lions vs 49ers Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the 49ers will cover the spread with 82.4% confidence.
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Best Lions Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Lions players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Jared Goff has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jared Goff has hit the Passing Yards Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.75 Units / 50% ROI)
- Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.60 Units / 52% ROI)
Best 49ers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for 49ers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- George Kittle has hit the Longest Reception Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.90 Units / 66% ROI)
- George Kittle has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.75 Units / 63% ROI)
- Christian McCaffrey has hit the Longest Rush Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+5.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- Christian McCaffrey has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+5.75 Units / 55% ROI)
- Christian McCaffrey has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+5.70 Units / 25% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for 49ers vs Lions
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Christian McCaffrey | +325 |
| Brandon Aiyuk | +800 |
| George Kittle | +800 |
| Deebo Samuel | +900 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | +900 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for 49ers vs Lions
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Christian McCaffrey | -300 |
| Brandon Aiyuk | -110 |
| Deebo Samuel | +105 |
| George Kittle | +115 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | +125 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for 49ers vs Lions
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Reynolds | 36.5 -115 | 36.5 -115 |
| Christian Mccaffrey | 36.5 -110 | 36.5 -120 |
| Sam LaPorta | 47.5 -115 | 47.5 -115 |
| Jameson Williams | 28.5 -115 | 28.5 -115 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 22.5 -120 | 22.5 -110 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for 49ers vs Lions
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Mccaffrey | 84.5 -120 | 84.5 -110 |
| Jared Goff | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -105 |
| David Montgomery | 44.5 -115 | 44.5 -115 |
| Brock Purdy | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -125 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 49.5 -115 | 49.5 -115 |
Lions Best Bets:
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.45 Units / 34% ROI)
49ers Best Bets:
- The San Francisco 49ers have covered the 4Q Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- The San Francisco 49ers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+6.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Francisco 49ers have covered the 2H Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- The San Francisco 49ers have scored first in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+4.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- The San Francisco 49ers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.65 Units / 16% ROI)
Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Lions went 13-5 (+7.5 Units / 37.69% ROI).
- Lions are 13-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.9 Units / 10.01% ROI
- Lions are 12-6 when betting the Over for +5.4 Units / 27.2% ROI
- Lions are 6-12 when betting the Under for -7.15 Units / ROI
49ers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the 49ers went 9-8 (+0.3 Units / 1.53% ROI).
- 49ers are 13-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -2.48% ROI
- 49ers are 9-8 when betting the Over for +0.2 Units / 1.01% ROI
- 49ers are 8-9 when betting the Under for -1.9 Units / -9.6% ROI
Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the San Francisco 49ers
The Lions are undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .577.
The Lions are 3-2 (.600) when rushing less than 25 times this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .276.
The Lions are undefeated (5-0) after a loss this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .488.
The Lions are undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 30% of third down conversion opportunities this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .652.
San Francisco 49ers: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions
The 49ers are winless (0-5) when scoring less than 22 points this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .253.
The 49ers are winless (0-3) when within 7 points at the two minute warning this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The 49ers are undefeated (4-0) vs bottom 10 pass offenses this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .641.
The 49ers are 12-5 (.706) when passing for 250 or more yards since the 2022 season — 6th-best in NFL. The Lions have allowed 246.3 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
Additional Matchup Notes for Detroit Lions vs. San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers have run successful plays on 55.2% of pass attempts this season — best in NFL. Lions have allowed successful plays on 48.1% of pass attempts this season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The 49ers have gone three and out on 17.9% of their drives this season — 5th-best in NFL. Lions have forced three and outs on 16.9% of opponent drives this season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The 49ers have 63 touchdown passes since the 2022 season — 4th-most in NFL. The Lions have allowed 54 passing TDs since the 2022 season — T-4th-most in NFL.
Lions RBs averaged 8.5 targets per game in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-3rd-highest in NFL. The 49ers allowed 5.5 receptions per game to RBs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Lions threw the ball 10 yards or less 77.5% of pass attempts in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 4th-highest in NFL. The 49ers allowed 7.2 yards per dropback on pass attempts between 1 and 10 yards in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
Lions TEs had 6 receiving touchdowns in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 2nd-most in NFL. The 49ers allowed 8 receiving touchdowns in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-4th-most in NFL.
Detroit Lions Offense: Important Stats
The Lions ran 37% of their plays in the red zone in the 4th quarter in Week 18 — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Lions have run successful plays on 56% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Lions have run successful plays on 48% of plays in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Lions have started 8 drives inside their own 10 yard line this season — fewest in NFL.
San Francisco 49ers Offense: Important Stats
The 49ers ran successful plays on 75% of pass attempts in Week 18 — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The 49ers have run successful plays on 51% of plays this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The 49ers have scored 10 TDs on first drive of the game this season — most in NFL.
The 49ers started 5 drives inside opposing territory in Week 18 — most in NFL.
Detroit Lions Defense: Important Stats
The Lions defense has allowed 91 of 300 (30%) first downs on the ground this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 37%.
The Lions defense has allowed 8.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (13,006 yards / 1,609 touches) since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7.3.
The Lions defense has allowed 5 TD passes when the opposing QB has scrambled this season — T-2nd-most in NFL.
Offenses facing the Lions targeted RBs 12% of the time (142 Pass Attempts/1,147 plays) since the 2022 season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 18%.
San Francisco 49ers Defense: Important Stats
Only 40% of the plays run against the 49ers have been in their own territory since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The 49ers defense allowed scores on 26% of opponent drives in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 36%.
The 49ers defense allowed successful plays on 27% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The 49ers defense has allowed successful plays on 32% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
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