Raiders vs Bengals Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 9

Bengals player in an orange and black uniform is pointing.
(AP Photo/Jeff Dean)
  • The Bengals are -7 point favorites vs the Raiders
  • Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
  • Watch this game on FOX

The Las Vegas Raiders (2-6-0) visit Paycor Stadium to take on the Cincinnati Bengals (3-5-0) on Nov. 3. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.

The Bengals are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -7 (-115).

The Raiders vs. Bengals Over/Under is 45.5 total points for the game.

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Raiders vs. Bengals Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Raiders+7 -10545.5 -110+280
Bengals -7 -11545.5 -110-350

Raiders vs. Bengals Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Bengals will win this game with 70.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Raiders vs Bengals Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Raiders will cover the spread with 65.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Raiders players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Raiders Player Prop Bets Today

  • Aidan O’Connell has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Gardner Minshew has hit the Interceptions Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+3.95 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Aidan O’Connell has hit the Interceptions Under in 7 of his last 11 games (+3.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Jalen Guyton has hit the Receptions Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Desmond Ridder has hit the TD Passes Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bengals players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Bengals Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Zack Moss has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.20 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Zack Moss has hit the Carries Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.70 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Ja’Marr Chase has hit the Receptions Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.45 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Zack Moss has hit the Receptions Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.25 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Zack Moss has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Bengals vs Raiders

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Jaโ€™Marr Chase (Cin) +450
Chase Brown (Cin) +475

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Bengals vs Raiders

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Jaโ€™Marr Chase (Cin) -140
Chase Brown (Cin) -125
Alexander Mattison (LV) +140

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Bengals vs Raiders

Player Name Over Under
Brock Bowers (LV) 65.5 -115 65.5 -115
Jakobi Meyers (LV) 51.5 -120 51.5 -115
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 21 games (+7.15 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have scored first in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 21 games (+3.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.05 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have scored first in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.95 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+2.15 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.90 Units / 24% ROI)

Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Raiders art 4-4 (-0.55 Units / -6.11% ROI).

  • Raiders are 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.6 Units / -27.37% ROI
  • Raiders are 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
  • Raiders are 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / ROI

Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bengals are 4-4 (-0.2 Units / -2.33% ROI).

  • Bengals are 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.65 Units / -43.84% ROI
  • Bengals are 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.65 Units / 18.64% ROI
  • Bengals are 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.57% ROI

Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals

The Raiders are winless (0-7) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Raiders were winless (0-7) when allowing 22 or more points last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .223.

The Raiders are 5-14 (.263) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .494.

The Raiders are 2-6 (.250) this season — T-3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders

The Bengals were 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 22 points last season — T-6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .747.

The Bengals are 1-6 (.143) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Bengals were 2-1 (.667) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. last season — T-8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .513.

The Bengals are winless (0-4) when committing 2 or more turnovers since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .286.

Additional Matchup Notes for Las Vegas Raiders vs. Cincinnati Bengals

The Bengals had a third down conversion rate of 76.9% last week — best in NFL. The Raiders defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 75.0% last week — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Bengals have run successful plays on just 33.3% of rush attempts against a stacked front since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst in NFL. The Raiders have allowed successful plays on just 37.4% of rush attempts with a stacked front since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL.

The Bengals have thrown the ball 52.2% of the time in the red zone since the 2023 season — T-3rd-highest in NFL. The Raiders have allowed a completion rate of 64.9% when defending in the red zone since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL.

The Raiders have run successful plays on just 15.0% of rush attempts against a light front this season — worst in NFL. The Bengals have allowed successful plays on just 30.0% of rush attempts with a light front this season — 4th-best in NFL.

The Raiders ran 58.2% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field last week — 3rd-best in NFL. The Bengals allowed their opponents to run59.3% of plays in their territory last week — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Raiders have thrown the ball 56.3% of the time since the 2023 season — 5th-highest in NFL. The Bengals have allowed 7.3 yards per dropback since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL.

Las Vegas Raiders Offense: Important Stats

The Raiders have run successful plays on 24% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Raiders have run successful plays on 17% of rush attempts against a light front since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Raiders have run successful plays on 29% of rush attempts this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Raiders have run successful plays on 27% of rush attempts on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Cincinnati Bengals Offense: Important Stats

The Bengals have averaged -0.76 epa per play against tight coverage since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.48.

The Bengals averaged -0.85 epa per play against tight coverage last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.52.

The Bengals have thrown the ball 36% of the time (10 Pass Attempts/28 plays) in close and late situations since the 2023 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 55%.

The Bengals ran successful plays on 0% of rush attempts in the 1st half in Week 8 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Las Vegas Raiders Defense: Important Stats

The Raiders defense have allowed 39 broken tackles this season — most in NFL.

The Raiders defense has missed 76 tackles this season — most in NFL.

The Raiders defense has allowed a passer rating of just 21.5 on contested throws (23 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 76.0.

The Raiders defense has allowed successful plays on 13% of pass attempts on contested throws this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 36%.

Cincinnati Bengals Defense: Important Stats

The Bengals defense has allowed successful plays on 50% of plays on motion plays since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Bengals defense allowed 3 rushing TDs in Week 8 — T-most in NFL.

The Bengals defense has tackled opponents for a loss on just 59 of 695 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) since the 2023 season. — worst in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

The Bengals defense allowed scores on 88% of opponent drives in Week 8 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.

Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.