Raiders vs Bengals Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 9

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Bengals player in an orange and black uniform is pointing.
(AP Photo/Jeff Dean)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 01, 2024, 3:30 PM
  • The Bengals are -7 point favorites vs the Raiders
  • Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
  • Watch this game on FOX

The Las Vegas Raiders (2-6-0) visit Paycor Stadium to take on the Cincinnati Bengals (3-5-0) on Nov. 3. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.

The Bengals are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -7 (-115).

The Raiders vs. Bengals Over/Under is 45.5 total points for the game.

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Raiders vs. Bengals Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Raiders+7 -10545.5 -110+280
Bengals -7 -11545.5 -110-350

Raiders vs. Bengals Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Bengals will win this game with 70.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Raiders vs Bengals Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Raiders will cover the spread with 65.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Raiders players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Raiders Player Prop Bets Today

  • Aidan O’Connell has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Gardner Minshew has hit the Interceptions Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+3.95 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Aidan O’Connell has hit the Interceptions Under in 7 of his last 11 games (+3.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Jalen Guyton has hit the Receptions Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Desmond Ridder has hit the TD Passes Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bengals players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Bengals Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Zack Moss has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.20 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Zack Moss has hit the Carries Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.70 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Ja’Marr Chase has hit the Receptions Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.45 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Zack Moss has hit the Receptions Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.25 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Zack Moss has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Bengals vs Raiders

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Jaโ€™Marr Chase (Cin) +450
Chase Brown (Cin) +475

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Bengals vs Raiders

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Jaโ€™Marr Chase (Cin) -140
Chase Brown (Cin) -125
Alexander Mattison (LV) +140

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Bengals vs Raiders

Player Name Over Under
Brock Bowers (LV) 65.5 -115 65.5 -115
Jakobi Meyers (LV) 51.5 -120 51.5 -115
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 21 games (+7.15 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have scored first in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 21 games (+3.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.05 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have scored first in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.95 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+2.15 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.90 Units / 24% ROI)

Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Raiders art 4-4 (-0.55 Units / -6.11% ROI).

  • Raiders are 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.6 Units / -27.37% ROI
  • Raiders are 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
  • Raiders are 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / ROI

Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bengals are 4-4 (-0.2 Units / -2.33% ROI).

  • Bengals are 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.65 Units / -43.84% ROI
  • Bengals are 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.65 Units / 18.64% ROI
  • Bengals are 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.57% ROI

Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals

The Raiders are winless (0-7) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Raiders were winless (0-7) when allowing 22 or more points last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .223.

The Raiders are 5-14 (.263) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .494.

The Raiders are 2-6 (.250) this season — T-3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders

The Bengals were 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 22 points last season — T-6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .747.

The Bengals are 1-6 (.143) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Bengals were 2-1 (.667) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. last season — T-8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .513.

The Bengals are winless (0-4) when committing 2 or more turnovers since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .286.

Additional Matchup Notes for Las Vegas Raiders vs. Cincinnati Bengals

The Bengals had a third down conversion rate of 76.9% last week — best in NFL. The Raiders defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 75.0% last week — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Bengals have run successful plays on just 33.3% of rush attempts against a stacked front since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst in NFL. The Raiders have allowed successful plays on just 37.4% of rush attempts with a stacked front since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL.

The Bengals have thrown the ball 52.2% of the time in the red zone since the 2023 season — T-3rd-highest in NFL. The Raiders have allowed a completion rate of 64.9% when defending in the red zone since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL.

The Raiders have run successful plays on just 15.0% of rush attempts against a light front this season — worst in NFL. The Bengals have allowed successful plays on just 30.0% of rush attempts with a light front this season — 4th-best in NFL.

The Raiders ran 58.2% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field last week — 3rd-best in NFL. The Bengals allowed their opponents to run59.3% of plays in their territory last week — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Raiders have thrown the ball 56.3% of the time since the 2023 season — 5th-highest in NFL. The Bengals have allowed 7.3 yards per dropback since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL.

Las Vegas Raiders Offense: Important Stats

The Raiders have run successful plays on 24% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Raiders have run successful plays on 17% of rush attempts against a light front since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Raiders have run successful plays on 29% of rush attempts this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Raiders have run successful plays on 27% of rush attempts on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Cincinnati Bengals Offense: Important Stats

The Bengals have averaged -0.76 epa per play against tight coverage since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.48.

The Bengals averaged -0.85 epa per play against tight coverage last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.52.

The Bengals have thrown the ball 36% of the time (10 Pass Attempts/28 plays) in close and late situations since the 2023 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 55%.

The Bengals ran successful plays on 0% of rush attempts in the 1st half in Week 8 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Las Vegas Raiders Defense: Important Stats

The Raiders defense have allowed 39 broken tackles this season — most in NFL.

The Raiders defense has missed 76 tackles this season — most in NFL.

The Raiders defense has allowed a passer rating of just 21.5 on contested throws (23 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 76.0.

The Raiders defense has allowed successful plays on 13% of pass attempts on contested throws this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 36%.

Cincinnati Bengals Defense: Important Stats

The Bengals defense has allowed successful plays on 50% of plays on motion plays since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Bengals defense allowed 3 rushing TDs in Week 8 — T-most in NFL.

The Bengals defense has tackled opponents for a loss on just 59 of 695 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) since the 2023 season. — worst in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

The Bengals defense allowed scores on 88% of opponent drives in Week 8 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.