- The Lions are -3 point favorites vs the Rams
- Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
- Watch this NFC Wild Card Playoff game on NBC | PEAC | UNIV
The Los Angeles Rams (10-7) visit Ford Field to take on the Detroit Lions (12-5) on Jan. 14. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Detroit, MI.
The Lions are betting favorites in this playoff matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-120).
The Rams vs. Lions Over/Under is 51.5 total points for the game.
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Rams vs. Lions Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Rams | +3 +100 | 51.5 -110 | +155 |
| Lions | -3 -120 | 51.5 -110 | -190 |
Rams vs. Lions Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Lions will win this playoff game game with 59.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Rams vs Lions Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Rams will cover the spread with 62.0% confidence.
Best Rams Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Rams players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Kyren Williams has hit the Carries Over in his last 7 games (+7.05 Units / 89% ROI)
- Kyren Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 64% ROI)
- Matthew Stafford has hit the Completions Over in his last 6 games (+6.20 Units / 94% ROI)
- Cooper Kupp has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 48% ROI)
- Tutu Atwell has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 46% ROI)
Best Lions Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Lions players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jared Goff has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.65 Units / 44% ROI)
Rams Best Bets:
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+5.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 away games (+3.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+2.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have scored first in 6 of their last 10 away games (+2.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
Lions Best Bets:
- The Detroit Lions have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+6.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+6.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 2H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+6.00 Units / 44% ROI)
Rams Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Rams went 9-6 (+2.4 Units / 12.83% ROI).
- Rams are 10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.1 Units / 15.19% ROI
- Rams are 9-8 when betting the Over for +0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI
- Rams are 8-9 when betting the Under for -1.9 Units / ROI
Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Lions went 12-5 (+6.5 Units / 34.67% ROI).
- Lions are 12-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.9 Units / 8.01% ROI
- Lions are 11-6 when betting the Over for +4.4 Units / 23.53% ROI
- Lions are 6-11 when betting the Under for -6.1 Units / -32.62% ROI
Los Angeles Rams: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions
The Rams are 8-5 (.615) when passing for 250 or more yards since the 2022 season — 10th-best in NFL. The Lions have allowed 246.3 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Rams are 5-2 (.714) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. this season — T-6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .517.
The Rams are 3-2 (.600) when sacking the QB 3 or more times this season — T-10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .650.
The Rams are 9-4 (.692) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season — T-8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .537.
Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Rams
The Lions are 3-2 (.600) when rushing less than 25 times this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .276.
The Lions are 12-2 (.857) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .594.
The Lions are undefeated (5-0) after a loss this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .488.
The Lions are undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .577.
Additional Matchup Notes for Los Angeles Rams vs. Detroit Lions
The Lions have run 50.2% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field since the 2022 season — 3rd-best in NFL. Rams have allowed their opponents to run 46.1% of plays in their territory since the 2022 season — T-4th-worst in NFL.
The Lions have run successful plays on 47.7% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field since the 2022 season — 4th-best in NFL. Rams have allowed successful plays on 50.5% of pass attempts on their own side of the field since the 2022 season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Lions are averaging 5.1 yards per carry on rushes to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — 4th-best in NFL. The Rams have allowed 5.2 yards per carry when defending on rushes to the left since the 2022 season — 4th-worst in NFL.
Rams WRs have been targeted 397 times this season — most in NFL. The Lions have allowed an average of 26.5 fantasy points per game to WRs this season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Rams have thrown for 20+ yards on 64 of 582 attempts this season — 5th-best in NFL. The Lions allowed 20+ yards on 11.7% of attempts this season — T-worst in NFL.
Rams WRs have 193.2 receiving yards per game this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Lions have averaged 181.2 receiving yards per game allowed to WRs this season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
Los Angeles Rams Offense: Important Stats
The Rams have targeted RBs 12% of the time (69 Pass Attempts/582 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Rams have started 6 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 1st quarter this season — T-2nd-fewest in NFL.
The Rams have gone three and out on 6% of their drives in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
The Rams have run 8% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in close and late situations this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 50%.
Detroit Lions Offense: Important Stats
The Lions have converted first downs on 103 of 320 plays (32%) in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 26%.
The Lions have 16 TDs that were 20+ yards this season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Lions have started 8 drives inside their own 10 yard line this season — fewest in NFL.
The Lions have started 14 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 4th quarter since the 2022 season — T-fewest in NFL.
Los Angeles Rams Defense: Important Stats
The Rams defense has allowed successful plays on 59% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Rams defense has allowed 6.0 yards after the catch (438 RAC / 73 receptions) to RBs this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7.9.
The Rams defense has allowed successful plays on 52% of plays in the 1st quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Rams defense has allowed an average of 12.2 fantasy points per game as a unit to RBs this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 16.7.
Detroit Lions Defense: Important Stats
The Lions defense has allowed first downs on 50% of rush attempts on 3rd and short this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 66%.
The Lions defense has allowed 5 TD passes when the opposing QB has scrambled this season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Lions defense have forced three and outs on 17% of opponent drives since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
The Lions defense has allowed 8.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (13,006 yards / 1,609 touches) since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7.3.
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