- The Texans are -2.5 point favorites vs the Colts
- Total (Over/Under): 49 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Houston Texans (0-0-0) visit Lucas Oil Stadium to take on the Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0) on Sep. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Indianapolis, IN.
The Texans are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Texans vs. Colts Over/Under is 49 total points for the game.
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Texans vs. Colts Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Texans | -2.5 -110 | 49 -110 | -140 |
| Colts | +2.5 -110 | 49 -110 | +115 |
Texans vs. Colts Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Texans will win this game with 55.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Texans vs Colts Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Texans will cover the spread with 58.9% confidence.
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Best Texans Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Texans players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- C.J. Stroud has hit the Interceptions Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Stefon Diggs has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.65 Units / 53% ROI)
- Stefon Diggs has hit the Longest Reception Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.45 Units / 51% ROI)
- Robert Woods has hit the Longest Reception Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.60 Units / 49% ROI)
- C.J. Stroud has hit the Pass Attempts Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 76% ROI)
Best Colts Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Colts players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joe Flacco has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 90% ROI)
- Joe Flacco has hit the Interceptions Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Kylen Granson has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Michael Pittman has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jonathan Taylor has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.25 Units / 68% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Colts vs Texans
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor (Ind) | +700 |
| Joe Mixon (HOU) | +750 |
| Anthony Richardson (Ind) | +750 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Colts vs Texans
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Dalton Schultz (HOU) | 34.5 -110 | 34.5 -120 |
| Joe Mixon (HOU) | 13.5 -115 | 13.5 -115 |
| Jonathan Taylor (IND) | 13.5 -110 | 13.5 -120 |
| Nico Collins (HOU) | 66.5 -115 | 66.5 -120 |
| Tank Dell (HOU) | 51.5 -115 | 51.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Colts vs Texans
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Richardson (IND) | 41.5 -115 | 41.5 -115 |
| CJ Stroud (HOU) | 7.5 -120 | 7.5 -110 |
| Jonathan Taylor (IND) | 74.5 -115 | 74.5 -115 |
| Joe Mixon (HOU) | 53.5 -115 | 53.5 -115 |
Texans Best Bets:
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+9.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+8.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+7.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.10 Units / 21% ROI)
Colts Best Bets:
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.60 Units / 44% ROI)
Texans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Texans went 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Texans are 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 59.41% ROI
- Texans are 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
- Texans are 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / ROI
Colts Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Colts went 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Colts are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 17.14% ROI
- Colts are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Colts are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the Indianapolis Colts
The Texans were winless (0-5) vs top 10 defenses last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .476.
The Texans were 7-1 (.875) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent last season — T-3rd-best in NFL. The Colts allowed an average time of possession of 31 min and 30 s last season — 4th-highest in NFL.
The Texans are 2-11 (.154) vs top 10 pass defenses since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .497.
The Texans are winless (0-9) vs top 10 defenses since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .471.
Indianapolis Colts: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans
The Colts are 3-5-1 (.333) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .725.
The Colts are 1-7-1 (.111) when committing 60 or more yards in penalties since the 2022 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .476.
The Colts were 4-3 (.571) on the road last season — T-6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .442.
The Colts were 5-3 (.625) vs top 10 run defenses last season — 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .488.
Additional Matchup Notes for Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts
The Colts ran successful plays on just 34.5% of rush attempts with motion last season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Texans allowed successful plays on just 34.1% of rush attempts against motion last season — best in NFL.
The Colts ran successful plays on just 33.3% of rush attempts against a light front last season — T-4th-worst in NFL. The Texans allowed successful plays on just 26.3% of rush attempts with a light front last season — 2nd-best in NFL.
The Colts ran successful plays on just 34.5% of rush attempts against a stacked front last season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Texans allowed successful plays on just 30.4% of rush attempts with a stacked front last season — best in NFL.
The Texans have run successful plays on just 36.9% of rush attempts with motion since the 2022 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Colts have allowed successful plays on just 39.3% of rush attempts against motion since the 2022 season — T-5th-best in NFL.
The Texans averaged just -1.10 epa per play against a stacked front in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL. The Colts allowed just -1.03 epa per play with a stacked front in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL.
The Texans were successful on just 12.5% of plays they have run against a stacked front in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL. The Colts allowed their opponents to be successful on just 18.2% of plays with a stacked front in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 3rd-best in NFL.
Houston Texans Offense: Important Stats
The Texans averaged -1.10 epa per play against a stacked front in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.01.
The Texans ran successful plays on 25% of rush attempts against a stacked front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Texans ran successful plays on 0% of rush attempts against a stacked front in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Texans have averaged -0.20 epa per play against a stacked front since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.02.
Indianapolis Colts Offense: Important Stats
The Colts turned the ball over on downs 6 times in the red zone last season — most in NFL.
The Colts ran successful plays on 38% of plays on play action passes last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
The Colts have run successful plays on 34% of rush attempts against a stacked front since the 2022 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Colts ran successful plays on 57% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
Houston Texans Defense: Important Stats
The Texans defense allowed a passer rating of just 64.7 in the red zone (63 Pass Attempts) last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 93.0.
The Texans defense allowed successful plays on 12% of plays with a light front in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Texans defense allowed an average of 4.8 yards after contact per carry (37 carries) in Week 18 — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 2.0.
The Texans defense allowed successful plays on 33% of plays with a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
Indianapolis Colts Defense: Important Stats
The Colts defense allowed -1.03 epa per play with a stacked front in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.01.
The Colts defense allowed successful plays on 88% of pass attempts with a stacked front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 50%.
The Colts defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 41% open coverage last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
Offenses facing the Colts threw deep balls on 23% of pass attempts (6/26) in Week 18 — highest in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
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