- The Broncos are -5.5 point favorites vs the Browns
- Total (Over/Under): 42 points
- Watch this game on ESPN | ESPD
The Cleveland Browns (3-8-0) visit Empower Field at Mile High to take on the Denver Broncos (7-5-0) on Dec. 2. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EST in Denver, CO.
The Broncos are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Browns vs. Broncos Over/Under is 42 total points for the game.
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Browns vs. Broncos Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Browns | +5.5 -110 | 42 -110 | +200 |
| Broncos | -5.5 -110 | 42 -110 | -250 |
Browns vs. Broncos Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Browns will win this game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Browns vs Broncos Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Browns will cover the spread with 55.4.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Browns players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Browns Player Prop Bets Today
- Jerome Ford has hit the Carries Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.80 Units / 61% ROI)
- Deshaun Watson has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- David Njoku has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Deshaun Watson has hit the Interceptions Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.40 Units / 70% ROI)
- David Njoku has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.25 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Broncos players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Broncos Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Javonte Williams has hit the Receptions Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.65 Units / 88% ROI)
- Bo Nix has hit the Interceptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.85 Units / 62% ROI)
- Bo Nix has hit the Passing Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.65 Units / 52% ROI)
- Courtland Sutton has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- Bo Nix has hit the Completions Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.45 Units / 38% ROI)
Browns Best Bets:
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+4.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games (+3.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.67 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games (+2.30 Units / 11% ROI)
Broncos Best Bets:
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+8.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.75 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+5.50 Units / 15% ROI)
Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns art 4-7 (-3.75 Units / -30.61% ROI).
- Browns are 3-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.85 Units / -35.14% ROI
- Browns are 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
- Browns are 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / ROI
Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Broncos are 9-3 (+5.75 Units / 43.56% ROI).
- Broncos are 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.35 Units / 25.85% ROI
- Broncos are 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
- Broncos are 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos
The Browns were 3-1 (.750) when not forcing a turnover last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .265.
The Browns are 2-8 (.200) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — T-3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .438.
The Browns were undefeated (5-0) when leading at the end of first quarter last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .737.
The Browns are 7-1 (.875) when within 3 points at the two minute warning since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns
The Broncos are 15-5 (.750) when forcing 1 or more turnovers since the 2023 season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Browns have turned the ball over 54 times since the 2023 season — most in NFL.
The Broncos were 1-7 (.125) when not forcing a fumble last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .422.
The Broncos are 1-9 (.100) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .382.
The Broncos are winless (0-4) when throwing 2 or more interceptions since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .188.
Additional Matchup Notes for Cleveland Browns vs. Denver Broncos
The Broncos have run successful plays on just 24.6% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Browns have pressured opposing QBs on 30.7% of passing plays this season — best in NFL.
The Broncos have run successful plays on just 41.9% of pass attempts on play action passes since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Browns have allowed successful plays on just 46.1% of pass attempts on play action passes since the 2023 season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Broncos have scored on 16.7% of their drives in the first quarter this season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Browns defense has allowed scores on 15.6% of opponent drives in the first quarter this season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Browns have scored on 26.2% of their drives this season — worst in NFL. The Broncos defense has allowed scores on 31.3% of opponent drives this season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Browns have run successful plays on just 39.0% of pass attempts this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Broncos have allowed successful plays on just 42.6% of pass attempts this season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Browns have been successful on just 28.0% of plays they have run against a light front this season — worst in NFL. The Broncos have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 26.9% of plays with a light front this season — best in NFL.
Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats
The Browns have averaged 0.00 epa per play against open coverage this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.40.
The Browns have averaged -0.36 epa per play on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.00.
The Browns have averaged -0.25 epa per play on motion plays since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.01.
The Browns have averaged -0.50 epa per play on motion plays since Week 9 — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.02.
Denver Broncos Offense: Important Stats
The Broncos targeted RBs 29% of the time (150 Pass Attempts/513 plays) last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Broncos have targeted RBs 24% of the time (222 Pass Attempts/915 plays) since the 2023 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Broncos have run successful plays on 11% of pass attempts against a light rush this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Broncos have gone three and out 26 times in the 3rd quarter since the 2023 season — most in NFL.
Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats
The Browns defense allowed -0.11 epa per play first read passes last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.20.
The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 38% of pass attempts first read passes last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 11% of pass attempts on contested throws last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 33%.
The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 35% of pass attempts last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
Denver Broncos Defense: Important Stats
The Broncos defense allowed a passer rating of 135.6 against play action passes (123 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 101.1.
The Broncos defense has allowed successful plays on 24% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Broncos defense has allowed successful plays on 36% of plays on motion plays this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Broncos defense have allowed -0.23 epa per play with a light front this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: -0.00.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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