- The Vikings are -5.5 point favorites vs the Colts
- Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
- Watch this game on NBC | UNIV | TELX
The Indianapolis Colts (4-4-0) visit U.S. Bank Stadium to take on the Minnesota Vikings (5-2-0) on Nov. 3. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
The Vikings are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).
The Colts vs. Vikings Over/Under is 46.5 total points for the game.
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Colts vs. Vikings Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Colts | +5.5 -115 | 46.5 -110 | +200 |
| Vikings | -5.5 -105 | 46.5 -110 | -250 |
Colts vs. Vikings Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Vikings will win this game with 70.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Colts vs Vikings Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Vikings will cover the spread with 69.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Colts players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Colts Player Prop Bets Today
- Kylen Granson has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- Joe Flacco has hit the TD Passes Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.40 Units / 68% ROI)
- Joe Flacco has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Joe Flacco has hit the Passing Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 65% ROI)
- Joe Flacco has hit the Interceptions Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.70 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Vikings players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Vikings Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Aaron Jones has hit the Carries Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.35 Units / 44% ROI)
- Sam Darnold has hit the Completions Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Jordan Addison has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Sam Darnold has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.70 Units / 58% ROI)
- Aaron Jones has hit the Longest Reception Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.70 Units / 49% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Vikings vs Colts
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Aaron Jones (MIN) | +475 |
| Justin Jefferson (Min) | +550 |
| Jonathan Taylor (Ind) | +600 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Vikings vs Colts
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Aaron Jones (MIN) | -145 |
| Justin Jefferson (Min) | -120 |
| Jonathan Taylor (Ind) | -125 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Vikings vs Colts
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Jefferson (MIN) | 85.5 -110 | 85.5 -120 |
| Aaron Jones (MIN) | 22.5 -110 | 22.5 -120 |
| Jonathan Taylor (IND) | 11.5 -115 | 11.5 -115 |
| Jordan Addison (MIN) | 38.5 -115 | 38.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Vikings vs Colts
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor (IND) | 70.5 -115 | 70.5 -120 |
| Aaron Jones (MIN) | 74.5 -115 | 74.5 -115 |
Colts Best Bets:
- The Indianapolis Colts have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.80 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.35 Units / 22% ROI)
Vikings Best Bets:
- The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 games (+5.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+4.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+4.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 19 games (+4.45 Units / 21% ROI)
Colts Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Colts art 7-1 (+5.9 Units / 68.21% ROI).
- Colts are 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Colts are 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
- Colts are 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / ROI
Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings are 5-2 (+2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI).
- Vikings are 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.35 Units / 40.61% ROI
- Vikings are 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
- Vikings are 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
Indianapolis Colts: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings
The Colts were winless (0-7) when trailing at the end of the third quarter last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .148.
The Colts were 1-5 (.167) when scoring less than 22 points last season — T-8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .253.
The Colts were 5-3 (.625) when within 7 points at the two minute warning last season — 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Colts were undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 22 points last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .747.
Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Indianapolis Colts
The Vikings were 1-7 (.125) when trailing at the end of quarter 1 last season — T-6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .263.
The Vikings were 1-4 (.200) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season — T-5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .324.
The Vikings were 2-8 (.200) when throwing at least 1 interception last season — 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .371.
The Vikings were 1-8 (.111) when intercepting no passes last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .348.
Additional Matchup Notes for Indianapolis Colts vs. Minnesota Vikings
The Vikings have run successful plays on 62.5% of pass attempts against a heavy rush this season — 4th-best in NFL. The Colts have allowed successful plays on 60.0% of pass attempts with a heavy rush this season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Vikings have run successful plays on 60.0% of pass attempts against a stacked front since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL. The Colts have allowed successful plays on 81.8% of pass attempts with a stacked front since the 2023 season — worst in NFL.
The Vikings ran successful plays on 64.3% of pass attempts against a base front last week — best in NFL. The Colts allowed successful plays on 62.5% of pass attempts with a base front last week — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Colts have run successful plays on just 33.9% of rush attempts with motion since the 2023 season — worst in NFL. The Vikings have allowed successful plays on just 37.9% of rush attempts against motion since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Colts have been successful on just 37.8% of plays they have ran this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Vikings have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 38.7% of plays this season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Colts have run successful plays on just 32.7% of rush attempts with motion this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Vikings have allowed successful plays on just 34.4% of rush attempts against motion this season — 2nd-best in NFL.
Indianapolis Colts Offense: Important Stats
The Colts turned the ball over on downs 6 times in the red zone last season — most in NFL.
The Colts ran successful plays on 27% of plays in close and late situations last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Colts converted first downs on just 61 of 279 plays (22%) in the 4th quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 26%.
The Colts converted first downs on just 6 of 53 plays (11%) in close and late situations last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 27%.
Minnesota Vikings Offense: Important Stats
The Vikings ran successful plays on 34% of rush attempts on motion plays last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Vikings ran the ball on 37% of plays (51 carries/137 plays) in the red zone last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 50%.
The Vikings ran successful plays on 31% of rush attempts in the red zone last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Vikings committed 34 turnovers last season — 2nd-most in NFL.
Indianapolis Colts Defense: Important Stats
The Colts defense allowed successful plays on 88% of pass attempts with a stacked front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 50%.
The Colts defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 41% open coverage last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
The Colts defense blitzed on just 8% of plays last season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Colts defense allowed 7 TDs on first drive of the game last season — T-2nd-most in NFL.
Minnesota Vikings Defense: Important Stats
The Vikings defense allowed successful plays on 29% of rush attempts with a base rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 57%.
The Vikings defense blitzed on 28% of plays last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Vikings defense blitzed on 30% of plays on 1st down last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Vikings defense blitzed on 28% of plays on Early Downs last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 13%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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