Giants vs Seahawks Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 5

(AP Photo/Abbie Parr)
  • The Seahawks are -6 point favorites vs the Giants
  • Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
  • Watch this game on CBS

The New York Giants (1-3-0) visit Lumen Field to take on the Seattle Seahawks (3-1-0) on Oct. 6. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EDT in Seattle, WA.

The Seahawks are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -6 (-115).

The Giants vs. Seahawks Over/Under is 43.5 total points for the game.

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Giants vs. Seahawks Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Giants+6 -10543.5 -110+220
Seahawks -6 -11543.5 -110-275

Giants vs. Seahawks Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Seahawks will win this game with 70.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Giants vs Seahawks Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Seahawks will cover the spread with 61.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Giants players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

  • Wan’Dale Robinson has hit the Receptions Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+8.10 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Devin Singletary has hit the Longest Rush Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Tommy DeVito has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 5 games (+6.00 Units / 120% ROI)
  • Darius Slayton has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+6.00 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Devin Singletary has hit the Carries Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+5.00 Units / 65% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Seahawks players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Seahawks Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Sam Howell has hit the Interceptions Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.40 Units / 50% ROI)
  • DK Metcalf has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Tyler Lockett has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba has hit the Longest Reception Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+5.15 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Sam Howell has hit the Pass Attempts Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI)

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Seahawks vs Giants

Player Name Over Under
DK Metcalf (SEA) 65.5 -115 65.5 -115
Tyler Lockett (SEA) 41.5 -115 41.5 -115
  • The New York Giants have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 games (+7.85 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have scored last in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.10 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have scored last in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.85 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 21 games (+2.75 Units / 9% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Giants art 2-2 (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Giants are 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units / -17.07% ROI
  • Giants are 0-4 when betting the Over for -4.4 Units / -100% ROI
  • Giants are 4-0 when betting the Under for +4 Units / ROI

Seahawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Seahawks are 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -27.27% ROI).

  • Seahawks are 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 27.03% ROI
  • Seahawks are 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
  • Seahawks are 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI

New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Seattle Seahawks

The Giants were 3-6 (.333) when forcing 2 or more turnovers last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .707.

The Giants are 1-3 (.250) this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Giants were 1-5 (.167) when allowing 250 or more passing yards last season — T-3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .414.

The Giants are winless (0-3) when having a TO margin of -2 or worse since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .136.

Seattle Seahawks: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants

The Seahawks were undefeated (7-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .622.

The Seahawks are 3-1 (.750) this season — T-3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Seahawks were 4-3 (.571) after a win last season — T-8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .496.

The Seahawks are 7-3 (.700) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .587.

Additional Matchup Notes for New York Giants vs. Seattle Seahawks

Seahawks RBs have averaged 2.6 yards after contact per carry this season — T-3rd-best in NFL. The Giants have allowed 2.4 yards after contact per carry this season — T-4th-worst in NFL.

Seahawks RBs have rushed for 10 or more yards on 15.6% of 77 carries this season — T-3rd-best in NFL. The Giants have allowed 10+ yards on 16.7% of carries to RBs this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

Seahawks WRs have 304 receptions in 21 games (14.5 per game) since the 2023 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Giants have allowed 13.6 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst in NFL.

The Giants scored on 55.6% of their drives last week — 3rd-best in NFL. The Seahawks defense allowed scores on 54.5% of opponent drives last week — 4th-worst in NFL.

The Giants have run successful plays on just 32.4% of pass attempts against a light front this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Seahawks have allowed successful plays on just 14.3% of pass attempts with a light front this season — best in NFL.

The Giants threw the ball 61.5% of the time last week — 5th-highest in NFL. The Seahawks allowed 14.4 yards per dropback last week — worst in NFL.

New York Giants Offense: Important Stats

The Giants averaged -0.26 epa per play against a stacked front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.

The Giants were sacked on 14% of pass attempts (85/603) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.

The Giants have been sacked on 12% of pass attempts (94/757) since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.

The Giants went three and out on 30% of their drives last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 22%.

Seattle Seahawks Offense: Important Stats

The Seahawks have averaged 0.57 epa per play against a light rush since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.02.

The Seahawks averaged 0.63 epa per play against a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.

The Seahawks have run successful plays on 65% of plays against a light rush since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

The Seahawks ran successful plays on 68% of plays against a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

New York Giants Defense: Important Stats

The Giants defense allowed 6.8 yards per dropback (1,053 yards/156 attempts) when targeted at a depth of 1-5 yards last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.5.

The Giants defense allowed successful plays on 50% of plays on motion plays last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Giants defense blitzed on 25% of plays last season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The Giants were flagged 0 times on defense in Week 4 — T-fewest in NFL.

Seattle Seahawks Defense: Important Stats

The Seahawks defense allowed successful plays on 100% of pass attempts in the 2nd half in Week 4 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Seahawks defense forced three and outs on 2% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Seahawks defense allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (19 completions/19 attempts) in Week 4 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 66%.

The Seahawks defense allowed a passer rating of 158.3 (19 Pass Attempts) in Week 4 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 91.7.

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.