Panthers vs Eagles Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 14

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Eagles player number 1 running with NFL ball game in hand.

(AP Photo/Rich Schultz)

BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 04, 2024, 2:05 PM

The Eagles are -12.5 point favorites vs the Panthers
Total (Over/Under): 46 points
Watch this game on FOX

The Carolina Panthers (3-9-0) visit Lincoln Financial Field to take on the Philadelphia Eagles (10-2-0) on Dec. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Philadelphia, PA.

The Eagles are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).

The Panthers vs. Eagles Over/Under is 46 total points for the game.

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Panthers vs. Eagles Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Panthers	+12.5 -110	46 -110	+500
Eagles	-12.5 -110	46 -110	-700

Panthers vs. Eagles Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this game with 87.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Panthers vs Eagles Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Panthers will cover the spread with 58.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Panthers players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Panthers Player Prop Bets Today

Miles Sanders has hit the Carries Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 49% ROI)
Chuba Hubbard has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.15 Units / 31% ROI)
Chuba Hubbard has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.10 Units / 21% ROI)
Bryce Young has hit the TD Passes Under in 7 of his last 12 games (+3.85 Units / 29% ROI)
Ja’Tavion Sanders has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.75 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Eagles players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Eagles Player Prop Best Bets Today

Jahan Dotson has hit the Receptions Under in his last 12 games (+12.10 Units / 68% ROI)
Saquon Barkley has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.00 Units / 29% ROI)
Jalen Hurts has hit the Completions Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.90 Units / 29% ROI)
Jahan Dotson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.30 Units / 33% ROI)
Jalen Hurts has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.10 Units / 20% ROI)

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Eagles vs Panthers

Player Name	Over	Under
Saquon Barkley (PHI)	111.5 -115	111.5 -115

Panthers Best Bets:

The Carolina Panthers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.85 Units / 47% ROI)
The Carolina Panthers have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.25 Units / 30% ROI)
The Carolina Panthers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.90 Units / 29% ROI)
The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.45 Units / 25% ROI)
The Carolina Panthers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.70 Units / 18% ROI)

Eagles Best Bets:

The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+7.90 Units / 26% ROI)
The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 2Q Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.35 Units / 35% ROI)
The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.02 Units / 61% ROI)
The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.85 Units / 18% ROI)
The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.75 Units / 34% ROI)

Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Panthers art 5-7 (-2.6 Units / -20% ROI).

Panthers are 3-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -13.75% ROI
Panthers are 9-3 when betting the Over for +5.7 Units / 43.18% ROI
Panthers are 3-9 when betting the Under for -6.9 Units / ROI

Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles are 8-4 (+3.65 Units / 27.34% ROI).

Eagles are 10-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.2 Units / 30% ROI
Eagles are 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
Eagles are 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI

Carolina Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles

The Panthers were winless (0-4) when sacking the QB 3 or more times last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .650.

The Panthers were winless (0-11) when committing 1 or more turnovers last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .406.

The Panthers were winless (0-7) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .375.

The Panthers are 1-6 (.143) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .657.

Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Carolina Panthers

The Eagles are 15-3 (.833) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season — T-best in NFL. The Panthers have allowed an average of 142.9 rushing yards per game since the 2023 season — worst in NFL.

The Eagles are 8-1 (.889) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent this season — 5th-best in NFL. The Panthers has allowed an average time of possession of 33 min and 19 s this season — 3rd-highest in NFL.

The Eagles are 11-3 (.786) when not throwing an interception since the 2023 season — 6th-best in NFL. The Panthers have intercepted 15 passes since the 2023 season — T-4th-fewest in NFL.

The Eagles are 11-5 (.688) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season — 9th-best in NFL. The Panthers have averaged just 1.7 sacks per game over that time span — worst in NFL.

Additional Matchup Notes for Carolina Panthers vs. Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles have been successful on 45.9% of plays they have run since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL. The Panthers have allowed their opponents to be successful on 45.2% of plays since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.

The Eagles have averaged 0.24 epa per play against a stacked front since the 2023 season — best in NFL. The Panthers have allowed 0.18 epa per play with a stacked front since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.

The Eagles have run successful plays on 59.5% of rush attempts against a base rush this season — 4th-best in NFL. The Panthers have allowed successful plays on 65.5% of rush attempts with a base rush this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Panthers have run successful plays on 55.6% of rush attempts against a light front this season — 4th-best in NFL. The Eagles have allowed successful plays on 52.9% of rush attempts with a light front this season — 4th-worst in NFL.

The Panthers have averaged just 0.15 epa per play against open coverage since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL. The Eagles have allowed just 0.28 epa per play with open coverage since the 2023 season — 3rd-best in NFL.

The Panthers have averaged just -0.26 epa per play on play action passes since the 2023 season — worst in NFL. The Eagles have allowed just -0.01 epa per play on play action passes since the 2023 season — T-4th-best in NFL.

Carolina Panthers Offense: Important Stats

The Panthers averaged 13.6 drives per TD in the 1st half last season — 2nd-worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.9.

The Panthers ran successful plays on 37% of pass attempts on motion plays last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Panthers have averaged -0.30 epa per play on play action passes this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.09.

The Panthers scored on 50% of their drives in close and late situations last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats

The Eagles ran successful plays on 0% of plays in the 3rd quarter in Week 13 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

The Eagles ran successful plays on 59% of plays against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Eagles have run successful plays on 60% of rush attempts against a stacked front since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Eagles ran successful plays on 61% of rush attempts against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

Carolina Panthers Defense: Important Stats

The Panthers defense has allowed successful plays on 19% of pass attempts with a heavy rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Panthers defense has allowed successful plays on 18% of plays with a heavy rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Panthers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 39.6 with a heavy rush (16 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 104.6.

25% of the plays ran against the Panthers were in the red zone in the 4th quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats

The Eagles defense allowed 35 TD passes last season — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Eagles defense has allowed successful plays on 50% of plays open coverage this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 59%.

The Eagles defense allowed 25 touchdown receptions in the red zone last season — T-most in NFL.

The Eagles defense allowed 25 TD passes in the red zone last season — T-most in NFL.

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