- The Falcons are -2.5 point favorites vs the Cowboys
- Total (Over/Under): 52 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Dallas Cowboys (3-4-0) visit Mercedes-Benz Stadium to take on the Atlanta Falcons (5-3-0) on Nov. 3. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
The Falcons are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-115).
The Cowboys vs. Falcons Over/Under is 52 total points for the game.
Bet now on Falcons vs Cowboys & all NFL games with BetMGM
Cowboys vs. Falcons Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Cowboys | +3 -105 | 52 -110 | +145 |
| Falcons | -3 -115 | 52 -110 | -175 |
Cowboys vs. Falcons Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Falcons will win this game with 60.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Cowboys vs Falcons Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Falcons will cover the spread with 54.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Falcons vs Cowboys and all NFL games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cowboys Player Prop Bets Today
- Dak Prescott has hit the Carries Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Dak Prescott has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Rico Dowdle has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Dak Prescott has hit the TD Passes Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.45 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Falcons players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Falcons Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Kyle Pitts has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+5.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- Darnell Mooney has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+5.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- Kirk Cousins has hit the Interceptions Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Kyle Pitts has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- Kirk Cousins has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.25 Units / 43% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Falcons vs Cowboys
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson (Atl) | +500 |
| CeeDee Lamb (Dal) | +700 |
| Drake London (Atl) | +800 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Falcons vs Cowboys
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson (Atl) | -175 |
| CeeDee Lamb (Dal) | -115 |
| Drake London (Atl) | +100 |
| Rico Dowdle (DAL) | +125 |
| Ezekiel Elliott (Dal) | +140 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Falcons vs Cowboys
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson (ATL) | 23.5 -120 | 23.5 -110 |
| CeeDee Lamb (DAL) | 85.5 -115 | 85.5 -115 |
| Jake Ferguson (DAL) | 48.5 -110 | 48.5 -120 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Falcons vs Cowboys
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson (ATL) | 74.5 -120 | 74.5 -110 |
| Dak Prescott (DAL) | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -120 |
| Ezekiel Elliott (DAL) | 19.5 -120 | 19.5 -115 |
Cowboys Best Bets:
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 away games (+8.20 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.15 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+4.05 Units / 35% ROI)
Falcons Best Bets:
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+10.05 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+1.95 Units / 9% ROI)
Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys art 2-5 (-3.5 Units / -46.05% ROI).
- Cowboys are 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units / -24.51% ROI
- Cowboys are 5-2 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
- Cowboys are 2-5 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / ROI
Falcons Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Falcons are 4-4 (-0.5 Units / -5.62% ROI).
- Falcons are 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 12.15% ROI
- Falcons are 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Falcons are 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Falcons
The Cowboys are 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season — 7th-best in NFL. The Falcons have averaged just 1.9 sacks per game over that time span — T-2nd-worst in NFL.
The Cowboys were 12-1 (.923) when forcing 1 or more turnovers last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .594.
The Cowboys are 10-1 (.909) when the opposing team converts less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .544.
The Cowboys were winless (0-3) when trailing at the end of quarter 1 last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .263.
Atlanta Falcons: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys
The Falcons are 5-1 (.833) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Cowboys have turned the ball over 13 times this season — T-4th-most in NFL.
The Falcons were 1-5 (.167) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .440.
The Falcons were 2-9 (.182) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season — T-3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .378.
The Falcons were 2-5 (.286) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game last season — T-7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .443.
Additional Matchup Notes for Dallas Cowboys vs. Atlanta Falcons
The Falcons have run successful plays on 49.4% of rush attempts against a base front this season — 4th-best in NFL. The Cowboys have allowed successful plays on 47.5% of rush attempts with a base front this season — 4th-worst in NFL.
Falcons RBs have gained 1,052 yards on 127 receptions (8.3 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-5th-best in NFL. The Cowboys have allowed 8.5 Yards Per Reception to RBs since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
Falcons TEs have gained 1,816 yards on 145 receptions (12.5 YPR) since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL. The Cowboys have allowed 12.0 Yards Per Reception to TEs since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Cowboys have run 52.0% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Falcons have allowed their opponents to run 48.3% of plays in their territory since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst in NFL.
The Cowboys are averaging just 3.6 yards per carry on first down since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst in NFL. The Falcons have allowed just 4.1 yards per carry on first down since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Cowboys have thrown the ball 63.8% of the time in the red zone this season — 2nd-highest in NFL. The Falcons have allowed a completion rate of 70.0% when defending in the red zone this season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
Dallas Cowboys Offense: Important Stats
The Cowboys have committed 5 turnovers in the red zone this season — most in NFL.
The Cowboys have run successful plays on 21% of plays in the red zone this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Cowboys converted first downs on 25 of 60 plays (42%) when their QB was scrambling last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 23%.
The Cowboys have committed 9 turnovers in the red zone since the 2023 season — most in NFL.
Atlanta Falcons Offense: Important Stats
The Falcons targeted WRs 39% of the time (209 Pass Attempts/530 plays) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.
The Falcons have targeted WRs 47% of the time (381 Pass Attempts/803 plays) since the 2023 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.
The Falcons committed 6 turnovers in the red zone last season — most in NFL.
The Falcons have gone three and out on 5% of their drives in the 1st half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 23%.
Dallas Cowboys Defense: Important Stats
The Cowboys defense have allowed 0.25 epa per play on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.
The Cowboys defense has allowed successful plays on 33% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Cowboys defense allowed just 4.3 yards per dropback (561 yards/131 attempts) when targeted at a depth of 1-5 yards last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.5.
The Cowboys defense has allowed successful plays on 19% of pass attempts with a light front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
Atlanta Falcons Defense: Important Stats
The Falcons defense has averaged a sack every 45.8 pass attempts (275 Pass Attempts/6 Sacks) this season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 14.2.
The Falcons defense allowed successful plays on 32% of rush attempts with a stacked front last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Falcons defense has allowed just 9.1 yards per completion (1,768 yards/195 completions) this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 10.9.
The Falcons defense has sacked opposing QBs on just 14% of pass attempts (6/44) when they have pressured the QB this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Falcons vs Cowboys and all NFL games with BetMGM
More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
More NFL Odds at BetMGM
Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting at the online sportsbook.
From futures like Chiefs Super Bowl odds, Lions odds to win the division, or Ravens playoff odds, to weekly odds like spreads, moneylines, and over/under totals, there’s something for everyone.
And with the best sportsbook promotions, you could land a welcome offer, sports betting Odds Boost, or a Parlay Boost! You can also check out NFL picks and predictions and updated Super Bowl predictions throughout the year.
Log in to your BetMGM account today — or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM iOS app or BetMGM Android app — to start betting!