NFL Playoff Probabilities & Odds for Each Team

Nick Hennion @nickhennion Nov 18, 2024, 4:01 PM
  • Following Week 11, 10 teams are odds-on to reach the 2024 postseason.
  • Due to their strong starts, Buffalo, Detroit and Kansas City are off the board to reach the playoffs.
  • The San Francisco 49ers and Cincinnati Bengals are currently underdogs to reach the playoffs.

Following Week 11 game results, NFL odds on each team to make or miss the postseason are live at the BetMGM online sportsbook.ย 

Currently, 13 teams are either odds on to reach the postseason or off the board to make the postseason.

Within that 13-team sample, only one team — the Arizona Cardinals — is priced at -200 or shorter to make the playoffs.

Amongst the teams on the outside looking in are the San Francisco 49ers (+185), the Miami Dolphins (+310) and the Cincinnati Bengals (+350).

Before the season, all three of those teams were -150 or higher to make the playoffs.

NFL Playoff Probability & Odds

 

TeamImplied ProbabilityOdds
Buffalo Bills100%OTB
Detroit Lions100%OTB
Kansas City Chiefs100%OTB
Philadelphia Eagles99%-10000
Pittsburgh Steelers98%-5000
Houston Texans96.2%-2500
Baltimore Ravens96.2%-2500
Los Angeles Chargers95.2%-2000
Minnesota Vikings95.2%-2000
Washington Commanders85.7%-600
Green Bay Packers83.3%-500
Atlanta Falcons80%-400
Arizona Cardinals57.4%-135
Denver Broncos51.2%-105
Indianapolis Colts36.4%+175
San Francisco 49ers35.1%+185
Tampa Bay Buccaneers33.3%+200
Miami Dolphins24.4%+310
Los Angeles Rams24.4%+310
Seattle Seahawks24.4%+310
Cincinnati Bengals22.2%+350
New Orleans Saints7.69%+1200
Chicago Bears3.23%+3000
New York Jets3.23%+3000
Dallas Cowboys2.44%+4000
Tennessee Titans1.23%+8000
Carolina Panthers0.99%+10000
New England Patriots0.99%+10000
Jacksonville Jaguars0.99%+10000
New York Giants0.66%+15000
Las Vegas Raiders0.66%+15000
Cleveland Browns0.66%+15000

NFL Playoff Picture: AFC

SeedTeamRecord
1Kansas City Chiefs9-1
2Buffalo Bills9-2
3Pittsburgh Steelers8-2
4Houston Texans6-4
5Los Angeles Chargers7-3
6Baltimore Ravens7-4
7Denver Broncos6-5

NFL Playoff Picture: NFC

SeedTeamRecord
1Detroit Lions9-1
2Philadelphia Eagles8-2
3Arizona Cardinals6-4
4Atlanta Falcons6-5
5Minnesota Vikings8-2
6Green Bay Packers7-3
7Washington Commanders7-4

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.