Packers vs Titans Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 3

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Tennessee Titans wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins makes a catch during NFL football practice Tuesday, June 4, 2024, in Nashville, Tenn. (AP Photo/George Walker IV)
(AP Photo/George Walker IV)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 18, 2024, 4:04 PM
  • The Titans are -2 point favorites vs the Packers
  • Total (Over/Under): 37.5 points
  • Watch this game on FOX

The Green Bay Packers (1-1-0) visit Nissan Stadium to take on the Tennessee Titans (0-2-0) on Sep. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Nashville, TN.

The Titans are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2 (-110).

The Packers vs. Titans Over/Under is 37.5 total points for the game.

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Packers vs. Titans Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Packers+2 -11037.5 -110+110
Titans -2 -11037.5 -110-130

Packers vs. Titans Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Titans will win this game with 54.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Packers vs Titans Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Titans will cover the spread with 64.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Packers players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Packers Player Prop Bets Today

  • Jordan Love has hit the Completions Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.75 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Jordan Love has hit the Passing Yards Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.30 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Dontayvion Wicks has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Dontayvion Wicks has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+7.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Jordan Love has hit the TD Passes Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+6.85 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Titans players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Titans Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Chigoziem Okonkwo has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Treylon Burks has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.70 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Nick Westbrook has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Tony Pollard has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.90 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Tony Pollard has hit the Longest Reception Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.70 Units / 53% ROI)

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Titans vs Packers

Player Name Over Under
Josh Jacobs (GB) 74.5 -115 74.5 -115
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 away games (+7.40 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the Team Total Over in their last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.65 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.20 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+9.95 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.70 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+6.20 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have covered the 2Q Spread in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.65 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.40 Units / 23% ROI)

Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers art 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Packers are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 7.5% ROI
  • Packers are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Packers are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / ROI

Titans Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Titans are 0-2 (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Titans are 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -100% ROI
  • Titans are 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -50% ROI
  • Titans are 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 45.45% ROI

Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans

The Packers are 9-2 (.818) when not throwing an interception since the 2023 season — T-7th-best in NFL. The Titans have intercepted 6 passes since the 2023 season — fewest in NFL.

The Packers were 1-6 (.143) when throwing at least 1 interception last season — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .371.

The Packers were 3-2 (.600) when not forcing a turnover last season — 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .265.

The Packers were 2-6 (.250) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .430.

Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers

The Titans were 1-2 (.333) when forcing 2 or more turnovers last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .707.

The Titans are winless (0-5) after a win since the 2022 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Titans were winless (0-8) when trailing at the end of the third quarter last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .148.

The Titans are 1-12 (.077) when scoring less than 22 points since the 2022 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .253.

Additional Matchup Notes for Green Bay Packers vs. Tennessee Titans

The Titans have run successful plays on 55.9% of pass attempts against a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Packers have allowed successful plays on 57.9% of pass attempts with a heavy rush since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.

The Titans ran successful plays on just 34.6% of pass attempts against a base rush last week — 5th-worst in NFL. The Packers allowed successful plays on just 32.1% of pass attempts with a base rush last week — 2nd-best in NFL.

The Titans have run successful plays on just 38.9% of pass attempts against a base rush since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Packers have pressured opposing QBs on 29.4% of pass attempts with a base rush since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best in NFL.

The Packers have thrown the ball just 39.2% of the time this season — T-4th-lowest in NFL. The Titans have allowed just 3.9 yards per dropback this season — 2nd-best in NFL.

The Packers have averaged 0.09 epa per play on passing attempts since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best in NFL. The Titans have allowed 0.04 epa per play on passing attempts since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL.

The Packers are 9-2 (.818) when not throwing an interception since the 2023 season — T-7th-best in NFL. The Titans have intercepted 6 passes since the 2023 season — fewest in NFL.

Green Bay Packers Offense: Important Stats

The Packers have rushed for 20+ yards 5 times this season — T-most in NFL.

The Packers ran 36% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Packers ran 53% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Packers ran 21% of their plays in the red zone in the 2nd half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

Tennessee Titans Offense: Important Stats

The Titans have scored on 17% of their drives in the 4th quarter since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 32%.

The Titans have run 15% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Titans allowed a QB hit on 29% of pass attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Titans have scored on 21% of their drives in the 2nd half since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 34%.

Green Bay Packers Defense: Important Stats

The Packers defense has allowed successful plays on 25% of pass attempts with a stacked front since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 50%.

The Packers defense allowed successful plays on 51% of pass attempts with a light front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Packers defense allowed a passer rating of 99.4 with a light front (201 Pass Attempts) last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 83.2.

The Packers defense has 5 interceptions this season — most in NFL.

Tennessee Titans Defense: Important Stats

The Titans defense has tackled opponents for a loss on 11 of 43 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) this season. — best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

The Titans defense allowed successful plays on 75% of plays in the 4th quarter in Week 2 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 38%.

The Titans defense did not allow a successful play on any play with a stacked front in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Titans defense allowed successful plays on 39% of rush attempts with a base rush last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.