- The Ravens are -1 point favorites vs the Bills
- Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
- Watch this game on CBS | PAR+
The Baltimore Ravens visit Highmark Stadium to take on the Buffalo Bills on Jan. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in Orchard Park, NY.
The Ravens are betting favorites in this AFC Divisional Playoff matchup, with the spread sitting at -1 (-110).
The Ravens vs. Bills Over/Under is 51.5 total points for the game.
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Ravens vs. Bills Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Ravens | -1 -110 | 51.5 -110 | -120 |
| Bills | +1 -110 | 51.5 -110 | +100 |
Ravens vs. Bills Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Ravens will win this game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Ravens vs Bills Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Ravens will cover the spread with 63.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Ravens players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Ravens Player Prop Bets Today
- Lamar Jackson has hit the TD Passes Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Lamar Jackson has hit the Interceptions Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+7.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- Derrick Henry has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- Derrick Henry has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+6.15 Units / 52% ROI)
- Lamar Jackson has hit the Carries Under in his last 6 away games (+6.05 Units / 85% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bills players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bills Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Josh Allen has hit the Interceptions Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- Ray Davis has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 65% ROI)
- Mack Hollins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 65% ROI)
- Josh Allen has hit the TD Passes Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+5.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- Dalton Kincaid has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+4.40 Units / 38% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Bills vs Ravens
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Derrick Henry (BAL) | +450 |
| Josh Allen (Buf) | +750 |
| James Cook (Buf) | +750 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Bills vs Ravens
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Andrews (BAL) | 37.5 -115 | 37.5 -115 |
| Derrick Henry (BAL) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| James Cook (BUF) | 13.5 -120 | 13.5 -110 |
| Dalton Kincaid (BUF) | 31.5 -115 | 31.5 -115 |
| Keon Coleman (BUF) | 25.5 -115 | 25.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Bills vs Ravens
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Derrick Henry (BAL) | 95.5 -115 | 95.5 -115 |
| James Cook (BUF) | 55.5 -115 | 55.5 -115 |
| Josh Allen (BUF) | 47.5 -115 | 47.5 -115 |
| Lamar Jackson (BAL) | 50.5 -145 | 50.5 +110 |
Ravens Best Bets:
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2H Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.27 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 2H Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.68 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+6.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 2Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.05 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
Bills Best Bets:
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have covered the 2H Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.64 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 2H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.90 Units / 27% ROI)
Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens art 11-6 (+4.45 Units / 22.36% ROI).
- Ravens are 13-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 1.16% ROI
- Ravens are 13-5 when betting the Over for +7.5 Units / 37.88% ROI
- Ravens are 5-13 when betting the Under for -9.3 Units / ROI
Bills Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bills are 11-7 (+3.4 Units / 17.17% ROI).
- Bills are 14-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.8 Units / 17.9% ROI
- Bills are 11-7 when betting the Over for +3.15 Units / 15.79% ROI
- Bills are 7-11 when betting the Under for -5.1 Units / -25.95% ROI
Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Buffalo Bills
The Ravens were undefeated (4-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .363.
The Ravens are 10-1 (.909) vs top 10 offenses since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .338.
The Ravens were 5-1 (.833) vs top 10 offenses this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .318.
The Ravens were undefeated (4-0) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .513.
Buffalo Bills: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens
The Bills were undefeated (8-0) at home this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .524.
The Bills were winless (0-4) when rushing for less than 100 yards last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .336.
The Bills were 3-2 (.600) when rushing less than 25 times this season — 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .278.
The Bills were 13-1 (.929) when scoring 22 or more points this season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .745.
No Matchup notes for this Game
Baltimore Ravens Offense: Important Stats
The Ravens threw the ball 11% of the time (6 Pass Attempts/53 plays) on 3rd and short this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Ravens had 29 rushes of 20+ yards this season — most in NFL.
The Ravens ran the ball on 89% of plays (47 carries/53 plays) on 3rd and short this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
The Ravens averaged 0.25 epa per play on motion plays this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.
Buffalo Bills Offense: Important Stats
The Bills went three and out on 12% of their drives last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
The Bills averaged 0.26 epa per play on motion plays this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.
The Bills ran successful plays on 51% of plays in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Bills ran successful plays on 50% of plays in the 2nd half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
Baltimore Ravens Defense: Important Stats
The Ravens defense allowed rushes of 10+ yards on just 25 of 373 carries (7%) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Ravens defense allowed -0.14 epa per play in the 1st half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.00.
The Ravens defense has allowed 69 of 287 (24%) first downs on the ground this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 38%.
The Ravens defense allowed 80.6 rushing yards per game (1,371/17) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 120.7.
Buffalo Bills Defense: Important Stats
The Bills defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 34% on 3rd and long this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 25%.
The Bills defense allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 1 of 552 attempts (0%) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 1%.
The Bills defense allowed successful plays on 24% of rush attempts with a light front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Bills defense allowed -0.67 epa per play with a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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