Seahawks vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 14

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Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray throws a pass against the Philadelphia Eagles during the second half of an NFL football game, Sunday, Dec. 31, 2023, in Philadelphia. (AP Photo/Derik Hamilton)

(AP Photo/Derik Hamilton)

BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 04, 2024, 3:05 PM

The Cardinals are -2.5 point favorites vs the Seahawks
Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points
Watch this game on CBS

The Seattle Seahawks (7-5-0) visit State Farm Stadium to take on the Arizona Cardinals (6-6-0) on Dec. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EST in Glendale, AZ.

The Cardinals are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Seahawks vs. Cardinals Over/Under is 44.5 total points for the game.

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Seahawks vs. Cardinals Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Seahawks	+2.5 -105	44.5 -110	+120
Cardinals	-2.5 -115	44.5 -110	-145

Seahawks vs. Cardinals Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Cardinals will win this game with 61.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Seahawks vs Cardinals Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cardinals will cover the spread with 57.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Seahawks players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Seahawks Player Prop Bets Today

Noah Fant has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.10 Units / 40% ROI)
Geno Smith has hit the TD Passes Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+5.95 Units / 30% ROI)
Geno Smith has hit the Carries Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+5.65 Units / 36% ROI)
DK Metcalf has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+3.95 Units / 22% ROI)
Jason Myers has hit the Field Goals Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+3.90 Units / 42% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Cardinals players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today

Marvin Harrison Jr. has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.30 Units / 45% ROI)
Kyler Murray has hit the Carries Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.60 Units / 28% ROI)
James Conner has hit the Carries Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.00 Units / 26% ROI)
Greg Dortch has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 59% ROI)
Matt Prater has hit the Field Goals Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.85 Units / 56% ROI)

Seahawks Best Bets:

The Seattle Seahawks have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 away games (+5.35 Units / 42% ROI)
The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.17 Units / 20% ROI)
The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.15 Units / 21% ROI)
The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.40 Units / 29% ROI)
The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.19 Units / 18% ROI)

Cardinals Best Bets:

The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+8.15 Units / 48% ROI)
The Arizona Cardinals have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.60 Units / 30% ROI)
The Arizona Cardinals have covered the 2H Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.28 Units / 46% ROI)
The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 games (+3.45 Units / 20% ROI)
The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 2H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.08 Units / 24% ROI)

Seahawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Seahawks art 5-6 (-1.6 Units / -12.12% ROI).

Seahawks are 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 8.86% ROI
Seahawks are 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
Seahawks are 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Cardinals are 8-4 (+3.5 Units / 26.12% ROI).

Cardinals are 6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 14.23% ROI
Cardinals are 4-7 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -28.03% ROI
Cardinals are 7-4 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / 19.7% ROI

Seattle Seahawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Arizona Cardinals

The Seahawks are 5-1 (.833) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season — T-best in NFL. The Cardinals have allowed an average of 133.2 rushing yards per game since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL.

The Seahawks were 1-4 (.200) when allowing 3 or more sacks last season — 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .350.

The Seahawks were 4-3 (.571) when not forcing a turnover last season — 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .265.

The Seahawks were 8-4 (.667) when allowing less than 3 sacks last season — T-10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .637.

Arizona Cardinals: Keys to the Game vs. the Seattle Seahawks

The Cardinals were winless (0-3) when forcing 2 or more turnovers last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .707.

The Cardinals were 1-6 (.143) when sacking the QB 3 or more times last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .650.

The Cardinals were winless (0-10) when scoring less than 22 points last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .253.

The Cardinals were winless (0-5) when allowing 250 or more passing yards last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .414.

Additional Matchup Notes for Seattle Seahawks vs. Arizona Cardinals

Cardinals RBs have averaged 10.0 yards after the catch this season — 5th-best in NFL. The Seahawks have allowed 9.5 yards after catch per reception to RBs this season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.

Cardinals RBs have averaged 2.3 yards after contact per carry since the 2023 season — T-best in NFL. The Seahawks have allowed 2.1 yards after contact per carry to RBs since the 2023 season — T-5th-worst in NFL.

Cardinals RBs have gained 445 yards on 49 receptions (9.1 YPR) this season — 4th-best in NFL. The Seahawks have allowed 8.9 Yards Per Reception to RBs this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Seahawks have averaged -0.37 epa per play against tight coverage since the 2023 season — T-5th-best in NFL. The Cardinals have allowed -0.31 epa per play with tight coverage since the 2023 season — worst in NFL.

The Seahawks have been successful on 51.5% of plays they have run against a light rush since the 2023 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Cardinals have allowed their opponents to be successful on 51.9% of plays with a light rush since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL.

The Seahawks have run successful plays on 55.2% of pass attempts against a light rush since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best in NFL. The Cardinals have allowed successful plays on 54.4% of pass attempts with a light rush since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.

Seattle Seahawks Offense: Important Stats

The Seahawks ran successful plays on 68% of plays against a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

The Seahawks averaged 0.63 epa per play against a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.

The Seahawks ran successful plays on 71% of pass attempts against a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

The Seahawks have run 6% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

Arizona Cardinals Offense: Important Stats

The Cardinals had 23 rushes of 20+ yards last season — most in NFL.

The Cardinals went for two on 36% of PATs last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 10%.

The Cardinals have targeted TEs 32% of the time (293 Pass Attempts/913 plays) since the 2023 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

The Cardinals have averaged -0.41 epa per play against a heavy rush since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.05.

Seattle Seahawks Defense: Important Stats

The Seahawks defense forced three and outs on 7% of opponent drives in the 2nd half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Seahawks defense forced 4 fumbles in Week 13 — most in NFL.

The Seahawks defense has allowed 3 TD passes in close and late situations since the 2023 season — T-most in NFL.

The Seahawks defense forced three and outs on 2% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

Arizona Cardinals Defense: Important Stats

19% of the plays ran against the Cardinals were in the red zone last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Cardinals defense allowed scores on 50% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 33%.

The Cardinals defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 32% on 3rd and long since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 24%.

51% of the plays run against the Cardinals have been in their own territory since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

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