Houston Astros 2024 Betting Preview: Futures Odds & Prediction

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Houston Astros' Yordan Alvarez celebrates after hitting a home run against the Oakland Athletics during the eighth inning of a baseball game Saturday, May 20, 2023, in Houston.
(AP Photo/David J. Phillip)
Shane Jackson @Sjacksonmgm Mar 26, 2024, 10:27 AM
  • The Astros are -110 preseason favorites to win their division.
  • Houston has won the AL West in five of the last six years.

While the Houston Astros had to watch a division rival win last yearโ€™s World Series, this franchise has enjoyed plenty of recent postseason success.

Houston has made the playoffs in seven straight seasons, reaching at least the ALCS seven times. Over that span, the Astros have won two World Series rings and four American League pennants.ย 

Needless to say, Major League Baseball odds expect Houston to remain one of the top contenders in 2024.

Astros Futures Odds

Win Total: 92.5
AL West: -110
AL Pennant: +360
World Series: +800

During this seven-year run, the Astros have traded +1000 or shorter to win the World Series five times in the preseason.ย 

The longest odds they have had to win it all at any point since 2017 have been +2200, which occurred in the preseason before the 2021 campaign. They lost in the World Series that year.

Houstonโ€™s win total has been in the 90s in five of the last six full seasons, not counting the COVID-shortened campaign in 2020.ย 

Astrosโ€™ recent win totals:

  • 2023: 95.5 (90 wins)
  • 2022: 91.5 (106 wins)
  • 2021: 87.5 (95 wins)
  • 2019: 96.5 (107 wins)
  • 2018: 97.5 (103 wins)
  • 2017: 90.5 (101 wins)

Astros Offseason Moves

The Astrosโ€™ bullpen featured plenty of change this winter, with a few players leaving and one premier closer being signed.

Additions

PlayerPos.
Vรญctor CaratiniC
Josh HaderLHP

Departures

PlayerPos.
Michael BrantleyOF
Martรญn MaldonadoC
Phil MatonRHP
Hรฉctor NerisRHP
Ryne StanekRHP

Hader and the Astros agreed to a hefty five-year, $95 million deal in January. The signing secured the back end of Houstonโ€™s bullpen, with Hader serving as the closer and Ryan Pressly moving back to the setup role.

Hader has spent seven years in the majors, recording 165 saves and a 2.50 ERA in 349 appearances. Last year, he registered 33 saves and a 1.28 ERA with the San Diego Padres.

With the addition of Hader, the Astros have one of the best bullpens in the league.

Astros 2024 Betting Prediction

Prediction: Astros to win AL West (+115)

Houston’s odds to win the division have gone from +115 to -110 since this MLB betting pick was made.

There isnโ€™t much value on a team that has averaged 100 wins over the last six full campaigns. The Astros will be an MLB playoff odds favorite all season.

Yordan รlvarez is a 2024 AL MVP odds favorite at +900, but winning as a designated hitter is difficult. His +1400 odds to lead the league in home runs are much more appealing.

But betting on Houston to win the AL West has been reliable in recent years. The Astros have won six of the last seven division crowns, with the lone exception being a 60-game season.

PECOTA gives Houston a 77.2% chance of winning the division, meaning this price is worth scooping up before the season.

  • 2024 Astros Schedule
    Date Matchup
    3/28/24 Yankees at Astros
    3/29/24 Yankees at Astros
    3/30/24 Yankees at Astros
    3/31/24 Yankees at Astros
    4/1/24 Blue Jays at Astros
    4/2/24 Blue Jays at Astros
    4/3/24 Blue Jays at Astros
    4/5/24 Astros at Rangers
    4/6/24 Astros at Rangers
    4/7/24 Astros at Rangers
    4/8/24 Astros at Rangers
    4/9/24 Astros at Royals
    4/10/24 Astros at Royals
    4/11/24 Astros at Royals
    4/12/24 Rangers at Astros
    4/13/24 Rangers at Astros
    4/14/24 Rangers at Astros
    4/15/24 Braves at Astros
    4/16/24 Braves at Astros
    4/17/24 Braves at Astros
    4/19/24 Astros at Nationals
    4/20/24 Astros at Nationals
    4/21/24 Astros at Nationals
    4/23/24 Astros at Cubs
    4/24/24 Astros at Cubs
    4/25/24 Astros at Cubs
    4/27/24 Astros at Rockies
    4/28/24 Astros at Rockies
    4/30/24 Guardians at Astros
    5/1/24 Guardians at Astros
    5/2/24 Guardians at Astros
    5/3/24 Mariners at Astros
    5/4/24 Mariners at Astros
    5/5/24 Mariners at Astros
    5/7/24 Astros at Yankees
    5/8/24 Astros at Yankees
    5/9/24 Astros at Yankees
    5/10/24 Astros at Tigers
    5/11/24 Astros at Tigers
    5/12/24 Astros at Tigers
    5/13/24 Athletics at Astros
    5/14/24 Athletics at Astros
    5/15/24 Athletics at Astros
    5/16/24 Athletics at Astros
    5/17/24 Brewers at Astros
    5/18/24 Brewers at Astros
    5/19/24 Brewers at Astros
    5/20/24 Angels at Astros
    5/21/24 Angels at Astros
    5/22/24 Angels at Astros
    5/24/24 Astros at Athletics
    5/25/24 Astros at Athletics
    5/26/24 Astros at Athletics
    5/27/24 Astros at Mariners
    5/28/24 Astros at Mariners
    5/29/24 Astros at Mariners
    5/30/24 Astros at Mariners
    5/31/24 Twins at Astros
    6/1/24 Twins at Astros
    6/2/24 Twins at Astros
    6/3/24 Cardinals at Astros
    6/4/24 Cardinals at Astros
    6/5/24 Cardinals at Astros
    6/7/24 Astros at Angels
    6/8/24 Astros at Angels
    6/9/24 Astros at Angels
    6/10/24 Astros at Giants
    6/11/24 Astros at Giants
    6/12/24 Astros at Giants
    6/14/24 Tigers at Astros
    6/15/24 Tigers at Astros
    6/16/24 Tigers at Astros
    6/18/24 Astros at White Sox
    6/19/24 Astros at White Sox
    6/20/24 Astros at White Sox
    6/21/24 Orioles at Astros
    6/22/24 Orioles at Astros
    6/23/24 Orioles at Astros
    6/25/24 Rockies at Astros
    6/26/24 Rockies at Astros
    6/28/24 Astros at Mets
    6/29/24 Astros at Mets
    6/30/24 Astros at Mets
    7/1/24 Astros at Blue Jays
    7/2/24 Astros at Blue Jays
    7/3/24 Astros at Blue Jays
    7/4/24 Astros at Blue Jays
    7/5/24 Astros at Twins
    7/6/24 Astros at Twins
    7/7/24 Astros at Twins
    7/9/24 Marlins at Astros
    7/10/24 Marlins at Astros
    7/11/24 Marlins at Astros
    7/12/24 Rangers at Astros
    7/13/24 Rangers at Astros
    7/14/24 Rangers at Astros
    7/19/24 Astros at Mariners
    7/20/24 Astros at Mariners
    7/21/24 Astros at Mariners
    7/22/24 Astros at Athletics
    7/23/24 Astros at Athletics
    7/24/24 Astros at Athletics
    7/26/24 Dodgers at Astros
    7/27/24 Dodgers at Astros
    7/28/24 Dodgers at Astros
    7/29/24 Pirates at Astros
    7/30/24 Pirates at Astros
    7/31/24 Pirates at Astros
    8/2/24 Rays at Astros
    8/3/24 Rays at Astros
    8/4/24 Rays at Astros
    8/5/24 Astros at Rangers
    8/6/24 Astros at Rangers
    8/7/24 Astros at Rangers
    8/9/24 Astros at Red Sox
    8/10/24 Astros at Red Sox
    8/11/24 Astros at Red Sox
    8/12/24 Astros at Rays
    8/13/24 Astros at Rays
    8/14/24 Astros at Rays
    8/16/24 White Sox at Astros
    8/17/24 White Sox at Astros
    8/18/24 White Sox at Astros
    8/19/24 Red Sox at Astros
    8/20/24 Red Sox at Astros
    8/21/24 Red Sox at Astros
    8/22/24 Astros at Orioles
    8/23/24 Astros at Orioles
    8/24/24 Astros at Orioles
    8/25/24 Astros at Orioles
    8/26/24 Astros at Phillies
    8/27/24 Astros at Phillies
    8/28/24 Astros at Phillies
    8/29/24 Royals at Astros
    8/30/24 Royals at Astros
    8/31/24 Royals at Astros
    9/1/24 Royals at Astros
    9/2/24 Astros at Reds
    9/4/24 Astros at Reds
    9/5/24 Astros at Reds
    9/6/24 D-backs at Astros
    9/7/24 D-backs at Astros
    9/8/24 D-backs at Astros
    9/10/24 Athletics at Astros
    9/11/24 Athletics at Astros
    9/12/24 Athletics at Astros
    9/13/24 Astros at Angels
    9/14/24 Astros at Angels
    9/15/24 Astros at Angels
    9/16/24 Astros at Padres
    9/17/24 Astros at Padres
    9/18/24 Astros at Padres
    9/19/24 Angels at Astros
    9/20/24 Angels at Astros
    9/21/24 Angels at Astros
    9/22/24 Angels at Astros
    9/23/24 Mariners at Astros
    9/24/24 Mariners at Astros
    9/25/24 Mariners at Astros
    9/27/24 Astros at Guardians
    9/28/24 Astros at Guardians
    9/29/24 Astros at Guardians
  • 2023 MLB Team ATS Records
    Team ATS Record ATS Win Pct.
    Reds 97-65 .599
    Orioles 96-66 .593
    Dodgers 92-70 .568
    Rangers 88-74 .543
    Tigers 87-75 .537
    Diamondbacks 86-76 .531
    Rays 86-76 .531
    Nationals 86-76 .531
    Pirates 84-78 .519
    Braves 83-79 .512
    White Sox 82-80 .506
    Twins 82-80 .506
    Padres 82-80 .506
    Cubs 81-81 .500
    Astros 81-81 .500
    Guardians 80-82 .494
    Rockies 80-82 .494
    Brewers 80-82 .494
    Yankees 79-83 .488
    Red Sox 77-85 .475
    Athletics 77-85 .475
    Mariners 77-85 .475
    Cardinals 77-85 .475
    Angels 75-87 .463
    Blue Jays 75-87 .463
    Marlins 74-88 .457
    Mets 74-88 .457
    Giants 72-90 .444
    Phillies 71-91 .438
    Royals 69-93 .426
  • 2023 MLB Team Over/Under Records
    Team Over-Under Record Over Pct. Under Pct.
    Braves 94-69-3 .577 .423
    Dodgers 90-67-8 .573 .427
    Rays 89-69-6 .563 .437
    Rangers 93-75-11 .554 .446
    Pirates 87-71-4 .551 .449
    Athletics 84-70-8 .546 .455
    Astros 91-77-5 .542 .458
    Angels 82-70-10 .540 .461
    Twins 85-78-5 .522 .479
    Orioles 80-74-11 .520 .481
    Mariners 80-75-7 .516 .484
    Red Sox 81-77-4 .513 .487
    Cubs 80-77-5 .510 .490
    Royals 79-77-6 .506 .494
    Tigers 78-78-6 .500 .500
    Nationals 77-79-6 .494 .506
    Reds 79-82-1 .491 .509
    Phillies 79-83-13 .488 .512
    Cardinals 76-80-6 .487 .513
    Marlins 74-84-6 .468 .532
    Brewers 73-85-6 .462 .538
    White Sox 71-83-8 .461 .539
    Rockies 74-87-1 .460 .540
    Yankees 71-84-7 .458 .542
    Diamondbacks 78-93-8 .456 .544
    Blue Jays 70-84-10 .455 .546
    Padres 67-86-9 .438 .562
    Mets 67-88-7 .432 .568
    Guardians 68-91-3 .428 .572
    Giants 67-91-4 .424 .576

2024 MLB Team Previews & Predictions

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.