- The Bills are -9 point favorites vs the Titans
- Total (Over/Under): 41 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Tennessee Titans (1-4-0) visit Highmark Stadium to take on the Buffalo Bills (4-2-0) on Oct. 20. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Orchard Park, NY.
The Bills are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -9 (-110).
The Titans vs. Bills Over/Under is 41 total points for the game.
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Titans vs. Bills Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Titans | +9 -110 | 41 -110 | +350 |
| Bills | -9 -110 | 41 -110 | -450 |
Titans vs. Bills Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Bills will win this game with 68.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Titans vs Bills Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bills will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Titans players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Titans Player Prop Bets Today
- Chigoziem Okonkwo has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Will Levis has hit the Completions Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- Tyjae Spears has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- Tony Pollard has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.15 Units / 29% ROI)
- Nick Folk has hit the Field Goals Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+4.10 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bills players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bills Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Khalil Shakir has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+5.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- James Cook has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Curtis Samuel has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+4.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- Khalil Shakir has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- Curtis Samuel has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 16 games (+4.15 Units / 20% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Bills vs Titans
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Josh Allen (Buf) | +500 |
| James Cook (Buf) | +600 |
| Ray Davis (BUF) | +650 |
| Tony Pollard (TEN) | +750 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Bills vs Titans
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Josh Allen (Buf) | -120 |
| Tony Pollard (TEN) | +120 |
| James Cook (Buf) | +120 |
| Ray Davis (BUF) | +135 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Bills vs Titans
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Tony Pollard (TEN) | 63.5 -115 | 63.5 -115 |
| Josh Allen (BUF) | 30.5 -115 | 30.5 -115 |
Titans Best Bets:
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+12.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+6.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 8 away games (+3.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 19 games (+3.20 Units / 14% ROI)
Bills Best Bets:
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games (+11.55 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+7.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+5.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+3.00 Units / 16% ROI)
Titans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Titans art 1-4 (-3.4 Units / -62.96% ROI).
- Titans are 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.6 Units / -60.5% ROI
- Titans are 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -3.64% ROI
- Titans are 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / ROI
Bills Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bills are 3-3 (-0.2 Units / -3.08% ROI).
- Bills are 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / 23.66% ROI
- Bills are 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -5.97% ROI
- Bills are 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.62% ROI
Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the Buffalo Bills
The Titans were 1-2 (.333) when forcing 2 or more turnovers last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .707.
The Titans are 1-9 (.100) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .462.
The Titans were winless (0-5) after a win last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.
The Titans are 1-14 (.067) when scoring less than 22 points since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .251.
Buffalo Bills: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans
The Bills were 3-1 (.750) when not forcing a turnover last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .265.
The Bills are 3-1 (.750) when not forcing a turnover since the 2023 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .261.
The Bills are undefeated (3-0) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Bills were winless (0-4) when rushing less than 25 times last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .276.
Tennessee Titans Offense: Important Stats
The Titans have run 27% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
The Titans have run 34% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 49%.
The Titans allowed a QB hit on 29% of pass attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Titans ran successful plays on 20% of pass attempts against a base rush in Week 6 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
Buffalo Bills Offense: Important Stats
The Bills ran successful plays on 51% of plays in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Bills have averaged 0.53 epa per play against a light front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.01.
The Bills ran successful plays on 57% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Bills ran successful plays on 50% of plays in the 2nd half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
Tennessee Titans Defense: Important Stats
The Titans defense has allowed successful plays on 17% of pass attempts against play action passes this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 51%.
The Titans defense has allowed a passer rating of just 38.4 against play action passes (29 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 101.1.
The Titans defense allowed 9 rushing TDs on 89 carries (9.9 Carries Per TD) in the red zone last season — best Carries Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.
The Titans defense has allowed first downs on 20% of rush attempts in the red zone since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 31%.
Buffalo Bills Defense: Important Stats
The Bills defense have allowed -0.70 epa per play with a light rush since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.02.
The Bills defense allowed successful plays on 11% of plays with a light rush last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
The Bills defense allowed successful plays on 11% of pass attempts with a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Bills defense allowed -0.67 epa per play with a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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