- The Marlins have a win total of 78.5 after winning 84 games last season.
- MLB betting markets expect Miami to regress after last year's playoff berth.
The Miami Marlins still haven’t won a playoff game since their 2003 World Series run, but they took a step in the right direction last season.
Miami notched its second playoff berth since 2003 before losing 2-0 to the Philadelphia Phillies in last year’s wild-card round. The only other time Miami made the postseason in the previous 20 years was during the COVID-shortened campaign in 2020.
But MLB odds expect the Marlins to take a step back in 2024.
Marlins Futures Odds
Win Total: 77.5
NL East: +2200
NL Pennant: +4000
World Series: +8000
After winning 84 games last year, Miami has a win total of 78.5 as an MLB betting long shot. That’s because the Marlins ran hot with a 33-14 record in one-run games in 2023.
Still, Miami’s preseason win total is up two games from its preseason mark (76.5) the last two years. The Marlins haven’t had a win total this high since they had an over/under of 78.5 in 2016.
Marlins Offseason Moves
Peter Bendix became Miami’s president of baseball operations in early November after serving as vice president of baseball operations for the Tampa Bay Rays since 2021.
Additions
| Player | Pos. |
|---|---|
| Tim Anderson | SS |
| Christian Bethancourt | C |
| Jonah Bride | INF |
| Vidal Bruján | INF/OF |
| Calvin Faucher | RHP |
| Nick Gordon | INF/OF |
Departures
| Player | Pos. |
|---|---|
| Yuli Gurriel | 1B |
| David Robertson | RHP |
| Jorge Soler | DH |
| Jacob Stallings | C |
| Joey Wendle | SS |
The Marlins won’t have their ace from last year, as Sandy Alcántara will spend 2024 rehabbing from Tommy John surgery. Soler signed with the San Francisco Giants after an All-Star campaign last year.
Miami did bring in Anderson in late February to stick the shortstop near the top of the lineup. Anderson led the majors in batting average (.318) between 2019-22, but hit just .245 last season.
Marlins 2024 Betting Prediction
Prediction: Randy Arozarena to record more homers than Jazz Chisholm Jr. (-140)
Take advantage of all the MLB betting lines by exploring home run matchups before the season, where you are betting on one player to finish with more homers than the other.
In this case, Miami’s Jazz Chisholm has a head-to-head market with Tampa Bay’s Randy Arozarena. The favorite is priced at -140, while the underdog is +105.
Arozarena has finished with more homers than Chisholm for three straight seasons, with the former hitting 20-plus bombs every year and the latter having yet to reach that mark in a single campaign.
Chisholm, who was on the cover of last year’s MLB The Show following his lone All-Star campaign, is projected for 19 home runs by ZiPS at FanGraphs. Arozarena is projected for 22.
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2024 Marlins Schedule
Date Matchup 3/28/24 Pirates at Marlins 3/29/24 Pirates at Marlins 3/30/24 Pirates at Marlins 3/31/24 Pirates at Marlins 4/1/24 Angels at Marlins 4/2/24 Angels at Marlins 4/3/24 Angels at Marlins 4/4/24 Marlins at Cardinals 4/6/24 Marlins at Cardinals 4/7/24 Marlins at Cardinals 4/8/24 Marlins at Yankees 4/9/24 Marlins at Yankees 4/10/24 Marlins at Yankees 4/12/24 Braves at Marlins 4/13/24 Braves at Marlins 4/14/24 Braves at Marlins 4/15/24 Giants at Marlins 4/16/24 Giants at Marlins 4/17/24 Giants at Marlins 4/18/24 Marlins at Cubs 4/19/24 Marlins at Cubs 4/20/24 Marlins at Cubs 4/21/24 Marlins at Cubs 4/22/24 Marlins at Braves 4/23/24 Marlins at Braves 4/24/24 Marlins at Braves 4/26/24 Nationals at Marlins 4/27/24 Nationals at Marlins 4/28/24 Nationals at Marlins 4/29/24 Nationals at Marlins 4/30/24 Rockies at Marlins 5/1/24 Rockies at Marlins 5/2/24 Rockies at Marlins 5/3/24 Marlins at Athletics 5/4/24 Marlins at Athletics 5/5/24 Marlins at Athletics 5/6/24 Marlins at Dodgers 5/7/24 Marlins at Dodgers 5/8/24 Marlins at Dodgers 5/10/24 Phillies at Marlins 5/11/24 Phillies at Marlins 5/12/24 Phillies at Marlins 5/13/24 Marlins at Tigers 5/14/24 Marlins at Tigers 5/15/24 Marlins at Tigers 5/17/24 Mets at Marlins 5/18/24 Mets at Marlins 5/19/24 Mets at Marlins 5/20/24 Brewers at Marlins 5/21/24 Brewers at Marlins 5/22/24 Brewers at Marlins 5/24/24 Marlins at D-backs 5/25/24 Marlins at D-backs 5/26/24 Marlins at D-backs 5/27/24 Marlins at Padres 5/28/24 Marlins at Padres 5/29/24 Marlins at Padres 5/31/24 Rangers at Marlins 6/1/24 Rangers at Marlins 6/2/24 Rangers at Marlins 6/4/24 Rays at Marlins 6/5/24 Rays at Marlins 6/7/24 Guardians at Marlins 6/8/24 Guardians at Marlins 6/9/24 Guardians at Marlins 6/11/24 Marlins at Mets 6/12/24 Marlins at Mets 6/13/24 Marlins at Mets 6/14/24 Marlins at Nationals 6/15/24 Marlins at Nationals 6/16/24 Marlins at Nationals 6/17/24 Cardinals at Marlins 6/18/24 Cardinals at Marlins 6/19/24 Cardinals at Marlins 6/21/24 Mariners at Marlins 6/22/24 Mariners at Marlins 6/23/24 Mariners at Marlins 6/24/24 Marlins at Royals 6/25/24 Marlins at Royals 6/26/24 Marlins at Royals 6/27/24 Marlins at Phillies 6/28/24 Marlins at Phillies 6/29/24 Marlins at Phillies 6/30/24 Marlins at Phillies 7/2/24 Red Sox at Marlins 7/3/24 Red Sox at Marlins 7/4/24 Red Sox at Marlins 7/5/24 White Sox at Marlins 7/6/24 White Sox at Marlins 7/7/24 White Sox at Marlins 7/9/24 Marlins at Astros 7/10/24 Marlins at Astros 7/11/24 Marlins at Astros 7/12/24 Marlins at Reds 7/13/24 Marlins at Reds 7/14/24 Marlins at Reds 7/19/24 Mets at Marlins 7/20/24 Mets at Marlins 7/21/24 Mets at Marlins 7/22/24 Mets at Marlins 7/23/24 Orioles at Marlins 7/24/24 Orioles at Marlins 7/25/24 Orioles at Marlins 7/26/24 Marlins at Brewers 7/27/24 Marlins at Brewers 7/28/24 Marlins at Brewers 7/30/24 Marlins at Rays 7/31/24 Marlins at Rays 8/1/24 Marlins at Braves 8/2/24 Marlins at Braves 8/3/24 Marlins at Braves 8/4/24 Marlins at Braves 8/5/24 Reds at Marlins 8/6/24 Reds at Marlins 8/7/24 Reds at Marlins 8/8/24 Reds at Marlins 8/9/24 Padres at Marlins 8/10/24 Padres at Marlins 8/11/24 Padres at Marlins 8/13/24 Marlins at Phillies 8/14/24 Marlins at Phillies 8/16/24 Marlins at Mets 8/17/24 Marlins at Mets 8/18/24 Marlins at Mets 8/19/24 D-backs at Marlins 8/20/24 D-backs at Marlins 8/21/24 D-backs at Marlins 8/23/24 Cubs at Marlins 8/24/24 Cubs at Marlins 8/25/24 Cubs at Marlins 8/26/24 Marlins at Rockies 8/27/24 Marlins at Rockies 8/28/24 Marlins at Rockies 8/29/24 Marlins at Rockies 8/30/24 Marlins at Giants 8/31/24 Marlins at Giants 9/1/24 Marlins at Giants 9/3/24 Nationals at Marlins 9/4/24 Nationals at Marlins 9/5/24 Phillies at Marlins 9/6/24 Phillies at Marlins 9/7/24 Phillies at Marlins 9/8/24 Phillies at Marlins 9/9/24 Marlins at Pirates 9/10/24 Marlins at Pirates 9/11/24 Marlins at Pirates 9/12/24 Marlins at Nationals 9/13/24 Marlins at Nationals 9/14/24 Marlins at Nationals 9/15/24 Marlins at Nationals 9/17/24 Dodgers at Marlins 9/18/24 Dodgers at Marlins 9/19/24 Dodgers at Marlins 9/20/24 Braves at Marlins 9/21/24 Braves at Marlins 9/22/24 Braves at Marlins 9/24/24 Marlins at Twins 9/25/24 Marlins at Twins 9/26/24 Marlins at Twins 9/27/24 Marlins at Blue Jays 9/28/24 Marlins at Blue Jays 9/29/24 Marlins at Blue Jays -
2023 MLB Team ATS Records
Team ATS Record ATS Win Pct. Reds 97-65 .599 Orioles 96-66 .593 Dodgers 92-70 .568 Rangers 88-74 .543 Tigers 87-75 .537 Diamondbacks 86-76 .531 Rays 86-76 .531 Nationals 86-76 .531 Pirates 84-78 .519 Braves 83-79 .512 White Sox 82-80 .506 Twins 82-80 .506 Padres 82-80 .506 Cubs 81-81 .500 Astros 81-81 .500 Guardians 80-82 .494 Rockies 80-82 .494 Brewers 80-82 .494 Yankees 79-83 .488 Red Sox 77-85 .475 Athletics 77-85 .475 Mariners 77-85 .475 Cardinals 77-85 .475 Angels 75-87 .463 Blue Jays 75-87 .463 Marlins 74-88 .457 Mets 74-88 .457 Giants 72-90 .444 Phillies 71-91 .438 Royals 69-93 .426 -
2023 MLB Team Over/Under Records
Team Over-Under Record Over Pct. Under Pct. Braves 94-69-3 .577 .423 Dodgers 90-67-8 .573 .427 Rays 89-69-6 .563 .437 Rangers 93-75-11 .554 .446 Pirates 87-71-4 .551 .449 Athletics 84-70-8 .546 .455 Astros 91-77-5 .542 .458 Angels 82-70-10 .540 .461 Twins 85-78-5 .522 .479 Orioles 80-74-11 .520 .481 Mariners 80-75-7 .516 .484 Red Sox 81-77-4 .513 .487 Cubs 80-77-5 .510 .490 Royals 79-77-6 .506 .494 Tigers 78-78-6 .500 .500 Nationals 77-79-6 .494 .506 Reds 79-82-1 .491 .509 Phillies 79-83-13 .488 .512 Cardinals 76-80-6 .487 .513 Marlins 74-84-6 .468 .532 Brewers 73-85-6 .462 .538 White Sox 71-83-8 .461 .539 Rockies 74-87-1 .460 .540 Yankees 71-84-7 .458 .542 Diamondbacks 78-93-8 .456 .544 Blue Jays 70-84-10 .455 .546 Padres 67-86-9 .438 .562 Mets 67-88-7 .432 .568 Guardians 68-91-3 .428 .572 Giants 67-91-4 .424 .576
2024 MLB Team Previews & Predictions
- Angels Preview & Prediction
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