- Pittsburgh's preseason win total (74.5) is its highest mark since 2018.
- Oneil Cruz is +100 to finish with more home runs than Elly De La Cruz.
The Pittsburgh Pirates haven’t posted a winning season since 2018. They haven’t finished higher than fourth in the National League Central since 2016.
The team’s last playoff berth came in 2015, and its last postseason victory occurred in 2013.
But many of those streaks could fall this season, with Pittsburgh posing as an MLB odds dark horse in a vulnerable division.
Pirates Futures Odds
Win Total: 75.5
NL Central: +1300
NL Pennant: +8000
World Series: +15000
MLB betting markets still view the Pirates as the No. 5 team in the NL Central, but their win total is just 11 games behind the division front-runner in the St. Louis Cardinals.
Pittsburgh’s win total hasn’t been this high since 2018, when the team won 69 games to finish under its preseason over/under of 77.5 games. The Pirates won 76 games to clear last year’s win total by nine victories.
Pirates Offseason Moves
After going 76-86 last year, the Pirates signed a trio of left-handed pitchers to help them make a strong push up the NL Central standings.
Additions
| Player | Pos. |
|---|---|
| Aroldis Chapman | LHP |
| Marco Gonzales | LHP |
| Martín Pérez | LHP |
| Rowdy Tellez | 1B/DH |
Departures
| Player | Pos. |
|---|---|
| Miguel Andújar | INF |
| Jarlín García | LHP |
| Angel Perdomo | LHP |
| Vince Velasquez | RHP |
Pérez and Gonzales will slot in right behind Mitch Keller at the top of the rotation.
Pérez pitched in 67 games for the Texas Rangers over the last two years, recording a 3.54 ERA in 338 total innings. Gonzales joins Cincinnati’s staff after six seasons with the Seattle Mariners, where he made 141 starts and spun a 4.02 ERA.
Chapman is counting on a rebound showing as a high-leverage reliever with the Pirates, following some lackluster playoff results with the Rangers.
Pirates 2024 Betting Prediction
Prediction: Oneil Cruz to finish with more home runs than Elly De La Cruz (+100)
There are many head-to-head home run matchups in the latest MLB betting markets, including a particularly intriguing battle between Pittsburgh’s Oneil Cruz and Elly De La Cruz of the Cincinnati Reds.
Both players have plenty of hype, with the Reds infielder bursting on the scene as a rookie last year.
But De La Cruz hit just 13 homers, and the underlying metrics suggest that the switch hitter is much better as a left-handed hitter than from the right side. The difference in swing speed is 2 miles per hour.
As for Pittsburgh’s Cruz, he played just nine games last year due to injury. He hit 17 home runs in 87 games and offers plenty of power as a 6-foot-7 shortstop. Cruz ranked in the top 9% of the league in average exit velocity in 2023.
There are question marks for both talented young players, but Cruz offers more power upside and is +100 compared to a -130 value for De La Cruz. THE BAT X projects 24 homers for the former and 19 for the latter.
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2024 Pirates Schedule
Date Matchup 3/28/24 Pirates at Marlins 3/29/24 Pirates at Marlins 3/30/24 Pirates at Marlins 3/31/24 Pirates at Marlins 4/1/24 Pirates at Nationals 4/3/24 Pirates at Nationals 4/4/24 Pirates at Nationals 4/5/24 Orioles at Pirates 4/6/24 Orioles at Pirates 4/7/24 Orioles at Pirates 4/8/24 Tigers at Pirates 4/9/24 Tigers at Pirates 4/11/24 Pirates at Phillies 4/12/24 Pirates at Phillies 4/13/24 Pirates at Phillies 4/14/24 Pirates at Phillies 4/15/24 Pirates at Mets 4/16/24 Pirates at Mets 4/17/24 Pirates at Mets 4/19/24 Red Sox at Pirates 4/20/24 Red Sox at Pirates 4/21/24 Red Sox at Pirates 4/22/24 Brewers at Pirates 4/23/24 Brewers at Pirates 4/24/24 Brewers at Pirates 4/25/24 Brewers at Pirates 4/26/24 Pirates at Giants 4/27/24 Pirates at Giants 4/28/24 Pirates at Giants 4/29/24 Pirates at Athletics 4/30/24 Pirates at Athletics 5/1/24 Pirates at Athletics 5/3/24 Rockies at Pirates 5/4/24 Rockies at Pirates 5/5/24 Rockies at Pirates 5/6/24 Angels at Pirates 5/7/24 Angels at Pirates 5/8/24 Angels at Pirates 5/10/24 Cubs at Pirates 5/11/24 Cubs at Pirates 5/12/24 Cubs at Pirates 5/13/24 Pirates at Brewers 5/14/24 Pirates at Brewers 5/15/24 Pirates at Brewers 5/16/24 Pirates at Cubs 5/17/24 Pirates at Cubs 5/18/24 Pirates at Cubs 5/19/24 Pirates at Cubs 5/21/24 Giants at Pirates 5/22/24 Giants at Pirates 5/23/24 Giants at Pirates 5/24/24 Braves at Pirates 5/25/24 Braves at Pirates 5/26/24 Braves at Pirates 5/28/24 Pirates at Tigers 5/29/24 Pirates at Tigers 5/31/24 Pirates at Blue Jays 6/1/24 Pirates at Blue Jays 6/2/24 Pirates at Blue Jays 6/4/24 Dodgers at Pirates 6/5/24 Dodgers at Pirates 6/6/24 Dodgers at Pirates 6/7/24 Twins at Pirates 6/8/24 Twins at Pirates 6/9/24 Twins at Pirates 6/11/24 Pirates at Cardinals 6/12/24 Pirates at Cardinals 6/13/24 Pirates at Cardinals 6/14/24 Pirates at Rockies 6/15/24 Pirates at Rockies 6/16/24 Pirates at Rockies 6/17/24 Reds at Pirates 6/18/24 Reds at Pirates 6/19/24 Reds at Pirates 6/21/24 Rays at Pirates 6/22/24 Rays at Pirates 6/23/24 Rays at Pirates 6/24/24 Pirates at Reds 6/25/24 Pirates at Reds 6/26/24 Pirates at Reds 6/28/24 Pirates at Braves 6/29/24 Pirates at Braves 6/30/24 Pirates at Braves 7/2/24 Cardinals at Pirates 7/3/24 Cardinals at Pirates 7/4/24 Cardinals at Pirates 7/5/24 Mets at Pirates 7/6/24 Mets at Pirates 7/7/24 Mets at Pirates 7/8/24 Mets at Pirates 7/9/24 Pirates at Brewers 7/10/24 Pirates at Brewers 7/11/24 Pirates at Brewers 7/12/24 Pirates at White Sox 7/13/24 Pirates at White Sox 7/14/24 Pirates at White Sox 7/19/24 Phillies at Pirates 7/20/24 Phillies at Pirates 7/21/24 Phillies at Pirates 7/22/24 Cardinals at Pirates 7/23/24 Cardinals at Pirates 7/24/24 Cardinals at Pirates 7/26/24 Pirates at D-backs 7/27/24 Pirates at D-backs 7/28/24 Pirates at D-backs 7/29/24 Pirates at Astros 7/30/24 Pirates at Astros 7/31/24 Pirates at Astros 8/2/24 D-backs at Pirates 8/3/24 D-backs at Pirates 8/4/24 D-backs at Pirates 8/6/24 Padres at Pirates 8/7/24 Padres at Pirates 8/8/24 Padres at Pirates 8/9/24 Pirates at Dodgers 8/10/24 Pirates at Dodgers 8/11/24 Pirates at Dodgers 8/12/24 Pirates at Padres 8/13/24 Pirates at Padres 8/14/24 Pirates at Padres 8/16/24 Mariners at Pirates 8/17/24 Mariners at Pirates 8/18/24 Mariners at Pirates 8/19/24 Pirates at Rangers 8/20/24 Pirates at Rangers 8/21/24 Pirates at Rangers 8/22/24 Reds at Pirates 8/23/24 Reds at Pirates 8/24/24 Reds at Pirates 8/25/24 Reds at Pirates 8/26/24 Cubs at Pirates 8/27/24 Cubs at Pirates 8/28/24 Cubs at Pirates 8/30/24 Pirates at Guardians 8/31/24 Pirates at Guardians 9/1/24 Pirates at Guardians 9/2/24 Pirates at Cubs 9/3/24 Pirates at Cubs 9/4/24 Pirates at Cubs 9/5/24 Nationals at Pirates 9/6/24 Nationals at Pirates 9/7/24 Nationals at Pirates 9/8/24 Nationals at Pirates 9/9/24 Marlins at Pirates 9/10/24 Marlins at Pirates 9/11/24 Marlins at Pirates 9/13/24 Royals at Pirates 9/14/24 Royals at Pirates 9/15/24 Royals at Pirates 9/16/24 Pirates at Cardinals 9/17/24 Pirates at Cardinals 9/18/24 Pirates at Cardinals 9/19/24 Pirates at Cardinals 9/20/24 Pirates at Reds 9/21/24 Pirates at Reds 9/22/24 Pirates at Reds 9/24/24 Brewers at Pirates 9/25/24 Brewers at Pirates 9/26/24 Brewers at Pirates 9/27/24 Pirates at Yankees 9/28/24 Pirates at Yankees 9/29/24 Pirates at Yankees -
2023 MLB Team ATS Records
Team ATS Record ATS Win Pct. Reds 97-65 .599 Orioles 96-66 .593 Dodgers 92-70 .568 Rangers 88-74 .543 Tigers 87-75 .537 Diamondbacks 86-76 .531 Rays 86-76 .531 Nationals 86-76 .531 Pirates 84-78 .519 Braves 83-79 .512 White Sox 82-80 .506 Twins 82-80 .506 Padres 82-80 .506 Cubs 81-81 .500 Astros 81-81 .500 Guardians 80-82 .494 Rockies 80-82 .494 Brewers 80-82 .494 Yankees 79-83 .488 Red Sox 77-85 .475 Athletics 77-85 .475 Mariners 77-85 .475 Cardinals 77-85 .475 Angels 75-87 .463 Blue Jays 75-87 .463 Marlins 74-88 .457 Mets 74-88 .457 Giants 72-90 .444 Phillies 71-91 .438 Royals 69-93 .426 -
2023 MLB Team Over/Under Records
Team Over-Under Record Over Pct. Under Pct. Braves 94-69-3 .577 .423 Dodgers 90-67-8 .573 .427 Rays 89-69-6 .563 .437 Rangers 93-75-11 .554 .446 Pirates 87-71-4 .551 .449 Athletics 84-70-8 .546 .455 Astros 91-77-5 .542 .458 Angels 82-70-10 .540 .461 Twins 85-78-5 .522 .479 Orioles 80-74-11 .520 .481 Mariners 80-75-7 .516 .484 Red Sox 81-77-4 .513 .487 Cubs 80-77-5 .510 .490 Royals 79-77-6 .506 .494 Tigers 78-78-6 .500 .500 Nationals 77-79-6 .494 .506 Reds 79-82-1 .491 .509 Phillies 79-83-13 .488 .512 Cardinals 76-80-6 .487 .513 Marlins 74-84-6 .468 .532 Brewers 73-85-6 .462 .538 White Sox 71-83-8 .461 .539 Rockies 74-87-1 .460 .540 Yankees 71-84-7 .458 .542 Diamondbacks 78-93-8 .456 .544 Blue Jays 70-84-10 .455 .546 Padres 67-86-9 .438 .562 Mets 67-88-7 .432 .568 Guardians 68-91-3 .428 .572 Giants 67-91-4 .424 .576
2024 MLB Team Previews & Predictions
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