- The Colts are -7.5 point favorites vs the Giants
- Total (Over/Under): 40.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Indianapolis Colts (7-8-0) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Giants (2-13-0) on Dec. 29. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in East Rutherford, NJ.
The Colts are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).
The Colts vs. Giants Over/Under is 40.5 total points for the game.
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Colts vs. Giants Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Colts | -7.5 -110 | 40.5 -110 | -400 |
| Giants | +7.5 -110 | 40.5 -110 | +310 |
Colts vs. Giants Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Colts will win this game with 82.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Colts vs Giants Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Colts will cover the spread with 60.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Colts players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Colts Player Prop Bets Today
- Kylen Granson has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Jonathan Taylor has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.45 Units / 48% ROI)
- Adonai Mitchell has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.00 Units / 71% ROI)
- Anthony Richardson has hit the Passing Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 67% ROI)
- Matt Gay has hit the Field Goals Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.55 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Giants players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Theo Johnson has hit the Receptions Over in his last 7 games (+7.50 Units / 92% ROI)
- Theo Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Malik Nabers has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- Tyrone Tracy Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Devin Singletary has hit the Carries Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.75 Units / 58% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Giants vs Colts
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor (IND) | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -120 |
| Malik Nabers (NYG) | 73.5 -110 | 73.5 -120 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Giants vs Colts
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor (IND) | 100.5 -115 | 100.5 -115 |
Colts Best Bets:
- The Indianapolis Colts have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 7 away games (+7.25 Units / 82% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+6.25 Units / 86% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+3.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+2.50 Units / 47% ROI)
Giants Best Bets:
- The New York Giants have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Giants have covered the 4Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games at home (+2.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 20 games (+1.85 Units / 8% ROI)
Colts Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Colts art 9-6 (+2.4 Units / 14.68% ROI).
- Colts are 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -1.42% ROI
- Colts are 7-7 when betting the Over for -0.7 Units / -4.24% ROI
- Colts are 7-7 when betting the Under for -0.7 Units / ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Giants are 4-11 (-8 Units / -48.78% ROI).
- Giants are 2-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -10 Units / -58.82% ROI
- Giants are 5-10 when betting the Over for -6.05 Units / -36.56% ROI
- Giants are 10-5 when betting the Under for +4.5 Units / 27.36% ROI
Indianapolis Colts: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants
The Colts are winless (0-3) vs top 10 pass offenses this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .407.
The Colts are winless (0-5) when having a TO margin of -2 or worse since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .147.
The Colts are winless (0-4) vs top 10 offenses this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .307.
The Colts were 5-3 (.625) when within 7 points at the two minute warning last season — 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Indianapolis Colts
The Giants are winless (0-6) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .429.
The Giants are 0-9 (.000) when throwing at least 1 interception this season — T-worst in NFL. The Colts have intercepted 15 passes this season — T-4th-most in NFL.
The Giants are winless (0-8) at home this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .519.
The Giants were 3-6 (.333) when forcing 2 or more turnovers last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .707.
Additional Matchup Notes for Indianapolis Colts vs. New York Giants
Giants WRs have averaged just 3.3 yards after the catch this season — T-worst in NFL. The Colts have allowed just 4.0 yards after catch per reception to WRs this season — T-4th-best in NFL.
The Giants are 0-9 (.000) when throwing at least 1 interception this season — T-worst in NFL. The Colts have intercepted 15 passes this season — T-4th-most in NFL.
The Giants have a third down conversion rate of just 27.5% against the blitz since the 2023 season — worst in NFL. The Colts defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 30.8% when blitzing since the 2023 season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Colts have averaged just -0.05 epa per play on play action passes since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Giants have allowed just -0.05 epa per play on play action passes since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL.
Colts TEs have just 27.0 receiving yards per game this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Giants have allowed an average ofjust 37.9 receiving yards per game to TEs this season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Colts have rushed the ball on 60.7% of plays from scrimmage in the red zone since the 2023 season — 2nd-highest in NFL. The Giants have allowed 35 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2023 season — 2nd-most in NFL.
Indianapolis Colts Offense: Important Stats
The Colts have averaged -1.67 epa per play against a light front since Week 13 — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.02.
The Colts threw the ball 18% of the time (11 Pass Attempts/62 plays) in Week 16 — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 54%.
The Colts have run successful plays on 20% of pass attempts on play action passes since Week 13 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 54%.
The Colts turned the ball over on downs 6 times in the red zone last season — most in NFL.
New York Giants Offense: Important Stats
The Giants averaged -0.26 epa per play against a stacked front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.
The Giants have run successful plays on 29% of pass attempts against a heavy rush since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Giants have a third down conversion rate of 30% on motion plays since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Giants were sacked on 14% of pass attempts (85/603) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.
Indianapolis Colts Defense: Important Stats
The Colts defense has not allowed a TD on first drive of the game this season — fewest in NFL.
The Colts defense allowed successful plays on 88% of pass attempts with a stacked front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 50%.
The Colts defense missed 23 tackles in Week 16 — most in NFL.
The Colts defense allowed 11 broken tackles in Week 16 — 2nd-most in NFL.
New York Giants Defense: Important Stats
The Giants defense has allowed a passer rating of 60.6 with tight coverage (97 Pass Attempts) this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 26.5.
The Giants defense allowed 6.8 yards per dropback (1,053 yards/156 attempts) when targeted at a depth of 1-5 yards last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.5.
The Giants defense has averaged 0.2 interceptions per game (3/15) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.7.
Offenses facing the Giants targeted RBs 12% of the time (73 Pass Attempts/582 plays) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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