- The Panthers are -3 point favorites vs the Cowboys
- Total (Over/Under): 43 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Dallas Cowboys (5-8-0) visit Bank of America Stadium to take on the Carolina Panthers (3-10-0) on Dec. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Charlotte, NC.
The Panthers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).
The Cowboys vs. Panthers Over/Under is 43 total points for the game.
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Cowboys vs. Panthers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Cowboys | +3 -125 | 43 -110 | +120 |
| Panthers | -3 -105 | 43 -110 | -145 |
Cowboys vs. Panthers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Cowboys will win this game with 64.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Cowboys vs Panthers Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cowboys will cover the spread with 55.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cowboys Player Prop Bets Today
- Brandon Aubrey has hit the Field Goals Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jonathan Mingo has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- Dak Prescott has hit the Carries Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jake Ferguson has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+4.05 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Panthers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Panthers Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Miles Sanders has hit the Carries Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.10 Units / 65% ROI)
- Chuba Hubbard has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+5.65 Units / 50% ROI)
- Miles Sanders has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- Bryce Young has hit the Interceptions Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+4.10 Units / 48% ROI)
- Chuba Hubbard has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.05 Units / 20% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Panthers vs Cowboys
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Chuba Hubbard (Car) | +400 |
| Rico Dowdle (DAL) | +450 |
| CeeDee Lamb (Dal) | +700 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Panthers vs Cowboys
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| CeeDee Lamb (DAL) | 66.5 -115 | 66.5 -115 |
| Jake Ferguson (DAL) | 36.5 -115 | 36.5 -115 |
| Brandin Cooks (DAL) | 26.5 -115 | 26.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Panthers vs Cowboys
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Young (CAR) | 13.5 -120 | 13.5 -110 |
Cowboys Best Bets:
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+5.75 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+5.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 away games (+4.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 away games (+4.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.40 Units / 19% ROI)
Panthers Best Bets:
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.85 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.70 Units / 18% ROI)
Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys art 4-9 (-5.8 Units / -40.99% ROI).
- Cowboys are 5-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -6.32% ROI
- Cowboys are 8-5 when betting the Over for +2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI
- Cowboys are 5-8 when betting the Under for -3.8 Units / ROI
Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Panthers are 6-7 (-1.6 Units / -11.35% ROI).
- Panthers are 3-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -20.38% ROI
- Panthers are 9-4 when betting the Over for +4.6 Units / 32.17% ROI
- Panthers are 4-9 when betting the Under for -5.9 Units / -41.26% ROI
Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Carolina Panthers
The Cowboys are 3-1 (.750) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent this season — T-10th-best in NFL. The Panthers has allowed an average time of possession of 32 min and 49 s this season — 3rd-highest in NFL.
The Cowboys are 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season — 6th-best in NFL. The Panthers have averaged just 1.7 sacks per game over that time span — worst in NFL.
The Cowboys were undefeated (4-0) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Cowboys are 12-4 (.750) when not throwing an interception since the 2023 season — T-9th-best in NFL. The Panthers have intercepted 15 passes since the 2023 season — T-4th-fewest in NFL.
Carolina Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys
The Panthers were winless (0-4) when sacking the QB 3 or more times last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .650.
The Panthers were winless (0-8) when losing at least one fumble last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .382.
The Panthers are 2-6 (.250) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .746.
The Panthers were 2-15 (.118) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Additional Matchup Notes for Dallas Cowboys vs. Carolina Panthers
The Panthers have averaged just -0.58 epa per play against tight coverage since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst in NFL. The Cowboys have allowed just -0.67 epa per play with tight coverage since the 2023 season — best in NFL.
The Panthers have run successful plays on 53.7% of rush attempts against a light front since the 2023 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Cowboys have allowed successful plays on 51.3% of rush attempts with a light front since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Panthers have averaged just -0.18 epa per play against a base rush since the 2023 season — worst in NFL. The Cowboys have allowed just -0.05 epa per play with a base rush since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best in NFL.
The Cowboys have been successful on just 17.6% of plays they have run against a heavy rush this season — worst in NFL. The Panthers have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 19.0% of plays with a heavy rush this season — best in NFL.
The Cowboys have run successful plays on just 40.0% of pass attempts on play action passes this season — worst in NFL. The Panthers have allowed successful plays on just 43.1% of pass attempts on play action passes this season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Cowboys ran successful plays on 52.0% of rush attempts last week — 5th-best in NFL. The Panthers allowed successful plays on 53.3% of rush attempts last week — 4th-worst in NFL.
Dallas Cowboys Offense: Important Stats
The Cowboys have committed 7 turnovers in the red zone this season — most in NFL.
The Cowboys have run successful plays on 20% of pass attempts against a heavy rush this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Cowboys have averaged -0.20 epa per play on play action passes this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.09.
The Cowboys ran successful plays on 43% of pass attempts on passes when their QB was pressured last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 29%.
Carolina Panthers Offense: Important Stats
The Panthers have averaged -0.23 epa per play on play action passes since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.08.
The Panthers ran successful plays on 37% of pass attempts on motion plays last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Panthers turned the ball over on downs 25 times last season — most in NFL.
The Panthers have averaged -0.26 epa per play on play action passes this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.09.
Dallas Cowboys Defense: Important Stats
The Cowboys defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 13% on 3rd and long this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 24%.
The Cowboys defense has allowed first downs on 43% of plays in the red zone this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 31%.
The Cowboys defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 8% on third and 10+ yards to go this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 18%.
The Cowboys defense allowed a passer rating of just 2.5 with tight coverage (132 Pass Attempts) last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 21.9.
Carolina Panthers Defense: Important Stats
The Panthers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 36.4 with a heavy rush (19 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 104.0.
The Panthers defense has allowed successful plays on 19% of plays with a heavy rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Panthers defense has allowed an average of 2.3 yards after contact per carry (900 carries) since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.9.
The Panthers defense has allowed successful plays on 21% of pass attempts with a heavy rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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