Giants vs Eagles Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 18

Eagles player number 1 running with NFL ball game in hand.
(AP Photo/Rich Schultz)
  • The Eagles are -3 point favorites vs the Giants
  • Total (Over/Under): 37.5 points
  • Watch this game on CBS

The New York Giants (3-13-0) visit Lincoln Financial Field to take on the Philadelphia Eagles (13-3-0) on Jan. 5. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Philadelphia, PA.

The Eagles are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).

The Giants vs. Eagles Over/Under is 37.5 total points for the game.

Bet now on Eagles vs Giants & all NFL games with BetMGM

Giants vs. Eagles Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Giants+3 -11537.5 -110+130
Eagles -3 -10537.5 -110-155

Giants vs. Eagles Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this game with 54.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Giants vs Eagles Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Giants will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Eagles vs Giants and all NFL games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Giants players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

  • Theo Johnson has hit the Receptions Over in his last 7 games (+7.50 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Theo Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Malik Nabers has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Darius Slayton has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 games (+6.35 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Devin Singletary has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.20 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Eagles players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Eagles Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Saquon Barkley has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Jahan Dotson has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.10 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Jalen Hurts has hit the Interceptions Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Jahan Dotson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Saquon Barkley has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.15 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 17 games (+2.98 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.65 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.90 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 2Q Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.20 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.65 Units / 28% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Giants art 5-11 (-7 Units / -40% ROI).

  • Giants are 3-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -38.33% ROI
  • Giants are 6-10 when betting the Over for -5.05 Units / -28.61% ROI
  • Giants are 10-6 when betting the Under for +3.4 Units / ROI

Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles are 10-6 (+3.45 Units / 19.49% ROI).

  • Eagles are 13-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.1 Units / 19.35% ROI
  • Eagles are 7-9 when betting the Over for -2.9 Units / -16.48% ROI
  • Eagles are 9-7 when betting the Under for +1.3 Units / 7.39% ROI

New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles

The Giants are winless (0-3) vs top 10 pass defenses this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .569.

The Giants were 3-6 (.333) when forcing 2 or more turnovers last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .707.

The Giants are 1-8 (.111) vs top 10 pass defenses since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .527.

The Giants are winless (0-7) vs top 10 offenses this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .313.

Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants

The Eagles are 13-2 (.867) when rushing for 120 or more yards this season — 5th-best in NFL. The Giants have allowed an average of 142.8 rushing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Eagles are 18-4 (.818) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season — 6th-best in NFL. The Giants have allowed an average of 137.6 rushing yards per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Eagles are 10-1 (.909) when not throwing an interception this season — T-3rd-best in NFL. The Giants have intercepted 5 passes this season — T-2nd-fewest in NFL.

The Eagles are undefeated (4-0) when passing for more than 250 yards this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .579.

Additional Matchup Notes for New York Giants vs. Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles have run successful plays on 58.2% of rush attempts against a stacked front since the 2023 season — best in NFL. The Giants have allowed successful plays on 50.4% of rush attempts with a stacked front since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL.

The Eagles ran 65.5% offensive plays on their opponent’s side of the field last week — 2nd-best in NFL. The Giants allowed their opponents to run64.4% of plays in their territory last week — 5th-worst in NFL.

The Eagles have averaged 0.18 epa per play against a light front since the 2023 season — T-best in NFL. The Giants have allowed 0.06 epa per play with a light front since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.

The Giants have been successful on just 39.5% of plays they have run with motion this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Eagles have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 40.2% of plays against motion this season — 3rd-best in NFL.

Giants TEs have just 28.8 receiving yards per game this season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Eagles have allowed an average ofjust 35.4 receiving yards per game to TEs this season — best in NFL.

The Giants have been successful on just 39.3% of plays they have run this season — T-4th-worst in NFL. The Eagles have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 40.1% of plays this season — 3rd-best in NFL.

New York Giants Offense: Important Stats

The Giants ran successful plays on 19% of rush attempts in Week 17 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Giants ran successful plays on 26% of pass attempts against a stacked front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 50%.

The Giants have committed 6 turnovers in the red zone this season — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Giants averaged -0.26 epa per play against a stacked front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.

Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats

The Eagles ran successful plays on 59% of plays against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Eagles have rushed for 20+ yards 25 times this season — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Eagles have averaged 13.8 yards per play against a light rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 6.8.

The Eagles have thrown the ball 39% of the time (407 Pass Attempts/1,046 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

New York Giants Defense: Important Stats

The Giants defense has allowed a passer rating of 67.9 with tight coverage (114 Pass Attempts) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 27.3.

The Giants defense has allowed successful plays on 37% of pass attempts with tight coverage this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 23%.

The Giants defense allowed 6.8 yards per dropback (1,053 yards/156 attempts) when targeted at a depth of 1-5 yards last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.5.

The Giants defense has allowed a passer rating of 43.1 with tight coverage (257 Pass Attempts) since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 24.6.

Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats

The Eagles defense has allowed successful plays on 39% of pass attempts from their own territory this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

The Eagles defense have allowed -0.11 epa per play with a base front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.00.

The Eagles defense forced 4 turnovers in Week 17 — most in NFL.

The Eagles defense allowed 35 TD passes last season — 2nd-most in NFL.

Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Eagles vs Giants and all NFL games with BetMGM

More NFL Betting Predictions:

More NFL Odds at BetMGM

Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting at the online sportsbook.

From futures like Chiefs Super Bowl odds, Lions odds to win the division, or Ravens playoff odds, to weekly odds like spreads, moneylines, and over/under totals, thereโ€™s something for everyone.

And with the best sportsbook promotions, you could land a welcome offer, sports betting Odds Boost, or a Parlay Boost! You can also check out NFL picks and predictions and updated Super Bowl predictions throughout the year.

Log in to your BetMGM account today โ€” or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM iOS app or BetMGM Android app โ€” to start betting!

About the Author

Chase Kiddy

Read More @chaseakiddy

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.