Rams vs Jets Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 16

(AP Photo/Adam Hunger)
  • The Rams are -3.5 point favorites vs the Jets
  • Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
  • Watch this game on CBS

The Los Angeles Rams (8-6-0) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Jets (4-10-0) on Dec. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in East Rutherford, NJ.

The Rams are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Rams vs. Jets Over/Under is 46.5 total points for the game.

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Rams vs. Jets Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Rams-3.5 -10546.5 -110-190
Jets +3.5 -11546.5 -110+155

Rams vs. Jets Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Rams will win this game with 54.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Rams vs Jets Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jets will cover the spread with 52.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Rams players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rams Player Prop Bets Today

  • Matthew Stafford has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.65 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Demarcus Robinson has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Kyren Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Matthew Stafford has hit the Passing Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Matthew Stafford has hit the Carries Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.30 Units / 65% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jets players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Jets Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Braelon Allen has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Aaron Rodgers has hit the TD Passes Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Braelon Allen has hit the Carries Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Aaron Rodgers has hit the Carries Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.10 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Aaron Rodgers has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+10.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.30 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.67 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have covered the 2H Spread in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.58 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have covered the 3Q Spread in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.85 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have covered the 2H Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.76 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.55 Units / 28% ROI)

Rams Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Rams art 7-7 (-0.65 Units / -4.22% ROI).

  • Rams are 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 21.39% ROI
  • Rams are 7-7 when betting the Over for -0.75 Units / -4.85% ROI
  • Rams are 7-7 when betting the Under for -0.7 Units / ROI

Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Jets are 5-9 (-5 Units / -31.85% ROI).

  • Jets are 4-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.3 Units / -52.26% ROI
  • Jets are 8-5 when betting the Over for +2.5 Units / 16.23% ROI
  • Jets are 5-8 when betting the Under for -3.8 Units / -24.68% ROI

Los Angeles Rams: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets

The Rams are undefeated (5-0) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Rams are 7-3 (.700) when allowing less than 3 explosive runs this season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .570.

The Rams are undefeated (5-0) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .605.

The Rams were 2-4 (.333) when rushing less than 25 times last season — T-8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .276.

New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Rams

The Jets were winless (0-6) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .421.

The Jets are winless (0-10) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .425.

The Jets are winless (0-5) when throwing at least 1 interception this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .393.

The Jets are winless (0-4) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .429.

Additional Matchup Notes for Los Angeles Rams vs. New York Jets

The Jets have run just 11.0% offensive plays in the red zone since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Rams have allowed their opponent to run just 12.9% of plays in the red zone since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL.

The Jets have thrown the ball 59.9% of the time this season — 3rd-highest in NFL. The Rams have allowed 7.2 yards per dropback this season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.

The Jets ran just 32.1% offensive plays on their opponent’s side of the field last week — 5th-worst in NFL. The Rams allowed their opponents to runjust 28.3% of plays in their territory last week — 3rd-best in NFL.

The Rams have run successful plays on 61.9% of rush attempts against a stacked front this season — best in NFL. The Jets have allowed successful plays on 58.8% of rush attempts with a stacked front this season — 5th-worst in NFL.

The Rams have run successful plays on 50.0% of rush attempts against a stacked front since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best in NFL. The Jets have allowed successful plays on 51.4% of rush attempts with a stacked front since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Rams have scored on 44.2% of their drives in the fourth quarter this season — 5th-best in NFL. The Jets defense has allowed scores on 46.3% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season — 4th-worst in NFL.

Los Angeles Rams Offense: Important Stats

The Rams have run successful plays on 90% of pass attempts against a light rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Rams have run successful plays on 75% of plays against a light rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Rams have averaged 0.84 epa per play against a light rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.02.

The Rams have targeted WRs 71% of the time (741 Pass Attempts/1,050 plays) since the 2023 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

New York Jets Offense: Important Stats

The Jets averaged 11.8 drives per TD last season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.0.

The Jets averaged 13.9 drives per TD in the 1st half last season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.9.

The Jets ran successful plays on 29% of plays in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Jets have run successful plays on 34% of plays in the 1st quarter since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

Los Angeles Rams Defense: Important Stats

The Rams defense has allowed a Completion Pct of just 42% (56 completions/132 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 60%.

The Rams defense allowed successful plays on 59% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Rams defense has allowed 12 TDs on first drive of the game since the 2023 season — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Rams defense has allowed scores on 48% of opponent drives in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 33%.

New York Jets Defense: Important Stats

The Jets defense allowed successful plays on 36% of pass attempts from their own territory last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Jets defense has allowed successful plays on 39% of pass attempts from their own territory since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Jets defense allowed successful plays on 35% of plays with a base front last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Jets defense has allowed successful plays on 12% of pass attempts with tight coverage since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.