Ravens vs Chargers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 12

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  • The Ravens are -3 point favorites vs the Chargers
  • Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
  • Watch this game on ESPN | ABC | ESPN2 | ESPD

The Baltimore Ravens (7-4-0) visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Chargers (7-3-0) on Nov. 25. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EST in Inglewood, CA.

The Ravens are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).

The Ravens vs. Chargers Over/Under is 50.5 total points for the game.

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Ravens vs. Chargers Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Ravens-3 -10550.5 -115-155
Chargers +3 -11550.5 -105+130

Ravens vs. Chargers Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Ravens will win this game with 61.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Ravens vs Chargers Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Ravens will cover the spread with 57.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Ravens players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Ravens Player Prop Bets Today

  • Diontae Johnson has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Derrick Henry has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+5.45 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Lamar Jackson has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Isaiah Likely has hit the Longest Reception Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Justice Hill has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.85 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chargers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Chargers Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Will Dissly has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.75 Units / 58% ROI)
  • D.J. Chark has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Justin Herbert has hit the Completions Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.05 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Justin Herbert has hit the Interceptions Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+5.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • J.K. Dobbins has hit the Carries Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2H Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+9.85 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have scored last in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.15 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+6.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 2H Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.55 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 9 games at home (+2.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 20 games (+2.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+1.30 Units / 4% ROI)

Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens art 5-5 (-0.45 Units / -3.69% ROI).

  • Ravens are 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.45 Units / -12.85% ROI
  • Ravens are 9-2 when betting the Over for +6.8 Units / 56.2% ROI
  • Ravens are 2-9 when betting the Under for -7.9 Units / ROI

Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Chargers are 7-2 (+4.8 Units / 43.64% ROI).

  • Chargers are 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.8 Units / 20.6% ROI
  • Chargers are 3-7 when betting the Over for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI
  • Chargers are 7-3 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI

Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers

The Ravens were undefeated (4-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .363.

The Ravens were undefeated (5-0) when passing for more than 250 yards last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .586.

The Ravens were undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .637.

The Ravens were undefeated (4-0) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .513.

Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens

The Chargers were winless (0-9) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .464.

The Chargers are undefeated (5-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .606.

The Chargers are winless (0-11) when trailing at the end of the third quarter since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .151.

The Chargers were 1-8 (.111) when not forcing a fumble last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .422.

Additional Matchup Notes for Baltimore Ravens vs. Los Angeles Chargers

The Chargers have run successful plays on just 38.3% of rush attempts this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Ravens have allowed successful plays on just 37.3% of rush attempts this season — 5th-best in NFL.

The Chargers ran successful plays on just 38.1% of pass attempts with motion last week — 5th-worst in NFL. The Ravens allowed successful plays on just 35.7% of pass attempts against motion last week — 4th-best in NFL.

The Chargers have run successful plays on 50.0% of pass attempts against a light rush since the 2023 season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Ravens have allowed successful plays on 56.5% of pass attempts with a light rush since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.

The Ravens ran successful plays on just 36.4% of pass attempts last week — 5th-worst in NFL. The Chargers allowed successful plays on just 36.0% of pass attempts last week — 3rd-best in NFL.

Ravens RBs have averaged 2.6 yards after contact per carry this season — T-2nd-best in NFL. The Chargers have allowed 2.4 yards after contact per carry this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Ravens have averaged 0.34 epa per play on play action passes since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Chargers have allowed 0.16 epa per play on play action passes since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.

Baltimore Ravens Offense: Important Stats

The Ravens have rushed for 20+ yards 17 times this season — most in NFL.

The Ravens have averaged 0.22 epa per play against a base front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.00.

The Ravens have thrown the ball 16% of the time (4 Pass Attempts/25 plays) on 3rd and short this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Ravens have rushed for 20+ yards 38 times since the 2023 season — most in NFL.

Los Angeles Chargers Offense: Important Stats

The Chargers ran successful plays on 29% of pass attempts against a stacked front last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 50%.

The Chargers have started 17 drives inside their own 10 yard line this season — most in NFL.

The Chargers have started 10 drives inside their own 10 yard line in the 1st half this season — most in NFL.

The Chargers have a third down conversion rate of 9% on third and 10+ yards to go since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

Baltimore Ravens Defense: Important Stats

The Ravens defense has allowed 43 of 206 (21%) first downs on the ground this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 38%.

The Ravens defense allowed successful plays on 27% of plays with a light front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

The Ravens defense allowed -0.34 epa per play with a light front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.05.

The Ravens defense has allowed rushes of 10+ yards on just 13 of 244 carries (5%) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

Los Angeles Chargers Defense: Important Stats

The Chargers defense has allowed successful plays on 19% of pass attempts with a stacked front since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 51%.

The Chargers defense allowed 0.64 epa per play with a light rush last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.

The Chargers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 45.8 with a stacked front (16 Pass Attempts) since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 110.0.

The Chargers defense has allowed first downs on 11% of pass attempts on 3rd and long this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 28%.

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.