Milwaukee Brewers 2024 Betting Preview: Futures Odds & Prediction

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Milwaukee Brewers' Christian Yelich hits an RBI single during the third inning of a baseball game against the St. Louis Cardinals in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
(AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
Shane Jackson @Sjacksonmgm Mar 26, 2024, 2:44 PM
  • The Brewers enter the season with their lowest win total (76.5) since 2017.
  • Milwaukee has cleared its win total in six of the last seven full seasons.

The Milwaukee Brewers are poised to go through a transition period, beginning with the 2024 season.

After postseason berths in five of the past six seasons, the Brewers lost their manager when Craig Counsell left town to take the same job with the Chicago Cubs. Milwaukee then traded its ace for a pair of promising young players.

Unsurprisingly, MLB betting markets are lower on the Brewers compared to previous years. But will they surprise in a wide-open National League Central?

Brewers Futures Odds

Win Total: 76.5
NL Central: +750
NL Pennant: +5000
World Series: +10000

Milwaukeeโ€™s preseason prices havenโ€™t been this long since 2017, as its World Series odds have typically traded between +1700 and +3500 for the last six years.

In addition, the Brewersโ€™ win total hasnโ€™t been this low since they had an over/under of 70.5 entering the 2017 campaign. They have cleared their win total in six of the last seven full seasons, not counting the COVID-shortened campaign in 2020.

Milwaukeeโ€™s recent win totals:

  • 2023: 85.5 (92 wins)
  • 2022: 90.5 (86 wins)
  • 2021: 83.5 (95 wins)
  • 2019: 86.5 (89 wins)
  • 2018: 83.5 (96 wins)
  • 2017: 70.5 (86 wins)
  • 2016: 70.5 (73 wins)

Brewers Offseason Moves

After losing its manager to a division rival, Milwaukee had a busy offseason that featured plenty of changes all across the roster.

Additions

PlayerPos.
Jake Bauers1B
DL HallLHP
Rhys Hoskins1B
Jakob JunisOF
Joey OrtizSS
Joe RossRHP
Gary SรกnchezC

Departures

PlayerPos.
Corbin BurnesRHP
Mark CanhaOF
Andrew ChafinLHP
Josh Donaldson3B
Adrian HouserRHP
Carlos Santana1B/DH
Tyrone TaylorCF
Rowdy Tellez1B
Jesse WinkerOF

The Brewers sent Burnes to the Orioles in exchange for Hall and Ortiz, a pair of promising young players who had a limited path to playing time in Baltimoreโ€™s loaded farm system.

Hall will get his crack at making the initial starting rotation after being a reliever for the Orioles. He pitched in 29 MLB games over two years, tossing a 4.36 ERA and 42 strikeouts in 33 total innings. Ortiz could crack the starting lineup as an infielder, too.

Hoskins, 31, was an intriguing addition to help solidify first base and provide a veteran presence in the middle of the lineup. His signing came before the trade, indicating the Brewers might still believe in their chances of winning this year.

Brewers 2024 Betting Prediction

Prediction: Brewers over 76.5 wins (-110)

The NL Central is as competitive as it has been in recent years while the Brewers are rebuilding. But this win projection counts them out too much.

FanGraphs projects 80 wins for Milwaukee, while PECOTA has a projection of 79.3. Either way, this number is a touch low for a team that has cleared its win total in six of its last seven full seasons.

The Brewers havenโ€™t had a losing season since 2016, a streak that could end this summer. But donโ€™t be surprised if they hover around .500 for most of the year.

  • 2024 Brewers Schedule
    Date Matchup
    3/28/24 Brewers at Mets
    3/30/24 Brewers at Mets
    3/31/24 Brewers at Mets
    4/2/24 Twins at Brewers
    4/3/24 Twins at Brewers
    4/5/24 Mariners at Brewers
    4/6/24 Mariners at Brewers
    4/7/24 Mariners at Brewers
    4/8/24 Brewers at Reds
    4/9/24 Brewers at Reds
    4/10/24 Brewers at Reds
    4/11/24 Brewers at Reds
    4/12/24 Brewers at Orioles
    4/13/24 Brewers at Orioles
    4/14/24 Brewers at Orioles
    4/15/24 Padres at Brewers
    4/16/24 Padres at Brewers
    4/17/24 Padres at Brewers
    4/19/24 Brewers at Cardinals
    4/20/24 Brewers at Cardinals
    4/21/24 Brewers at Cardinals
    4/22/24 Brewers at Pirates
    4/23/24 Brewers at Pirates
    4/24/24 Brewers at Pirates
    4/25/24 Brewers at Pirates
    4/26/24 Yankees at Brewers
    4/27/24 Yankees at Brewers
    4/28/24 Yankees at Brewers
    4/29/24 Rays at Brewers
    4/30/24 Rays at Brewers
    5/1/24 Rays at Brewers
    5/3/24 Brewers at Cubs
    5/4/24 Brewers at Cubs
    5/5/24 Brewers at Cubs
    5/6/24 Brewers at Royals
    5/7/24 Brewers at Royals
    5/8/24 Brewers at Royals
    5/9/24 Cardinals at Brewers
    5/10/24 Cardinals at Brewers
    5/11/24 Cardinals at Brewers
    5/12/24 Cardinals at Brewers
    5/13/24 Pirates at Brewers
    5/14/24 Pirates at Brewers
    5/15/24 Pirates at Brewers
    5/17/24 Brewers at Astros
    5/18/24 Brewers at Astros
    5/19/24 Brewers at Astros
    5/20/24 Brewers at Marlins
    5/21/24 Brewers at Marlins
    5/22/24 Brewers at Marlins
    5/24/24 Brewers at Red Sox
    5/25/24 Brewers at Red Sox
    5/26/24 Brewers at Red Sox
    5/27/24 Cubs at Brewers
    5/28/24 Cubs at Brewers
    5/29/24 Cubs at Brewers
    5/30/24 Cubs at Brewers
    5/31/24 White Sox at Brewers
    6/1/24 White Sox at Brewers
    6/2/24 White Sox at Brewers
    6/3/24 Brewers at Phillies
    6/4/24 Brewers at Phillies
    6/5/24 Brewers at Phillies
    6/7/24 Brewers at Tigers
    6/8/24 Brewers at Tigers
    6/9/24 Brewers at Tigers
    6/10/24 Blue Jays at Brewers
    6/11/24 Blue Jays at Brewers
    6/12/24 Blue Jays at Brewers
    6/14/24 Reds at Brewers
    6/15/24 Reds at Brewers
    6/16/24 Reds at Brewers
    6/17/24 Brewers at Angels
    6/18/24 Brewers at Angels
    6/19/24 Brewers at Angels
    6/20/24 Brewers at Padres
    6/21/24 Brewers at Padres
    6/22/24 Brewers at Padres
    6/23/24 Brewers at Padres
    6/24/24 Rangers at Brewers
    6/25/24 Rangers at Brewers
    6/26/24 Rangers at Brewers
    6/28/24 Cubs at Brewers
    6/29/24 Cubs at Brewers
    6/30/24 Cubs at Brewers
    7/1/24 Brewers at Rockies
    7/2/24 Brewers at Rockies
    7/3/24 Brewers at Rockies
    7/4/24 Brewers at Rockies
    7/5/24 Brewers at Dodgers
    7/6/24 Brewers at Dodgers
    7/7/24 Brewers at Dodgers
    7/9/24 Pirates at Brewers
    7/10/24 Pirates at Brewers
    7/11/24 Pirates at Brewers
    7/12/24 Nationals at Brewers
    7/13/24 Nationals at Brewers
    7/14/24 Nationals at Brewers
    7/20/24 Brewers at Twins
    7/21/24 Brewers at Twins
    7/22/24 Brewers at Cubs
    7/23/24 Brewers at Cubs
    7/24/24 Brewers at Cubs
    7/26/24 Marlins at Brewers
    7/27/24 Marlins at Brewers
    7/28/24 Marlins at Brewers
    7/29/24 Braves at Brewers
    7/30/24 Braves at Brewers
    7/31/24 Braves at Brewers
    8/2/24 Brewers at Nationals
    8/3/24 Brewers at Nationals
    8/4/24 Brewers at Nationals
    8/6/24 Brewers at Braves
    8/7/24 Brewers at Braves
    8/8/24 Brewers at Braves
    8/9/24 Reds at Brewers
    8/10/24 Reds at Brewers
    8/11/24 Reds at Brewers
    8/12/24 Dodgers at Brewers
    8/13/24 Dodgers at Brewers
    8/14/24 Dodgers at Brewers
    8/15/24 Dodgers at Brewers
    8/16/24 Guardians at Brewers
    8/17/24 Guardians at Brewers
    8/18/24 Guardians at Brewers
    8/20/24 Brewers at Cardinals
    8/21/24 Brewers at Cardinals
    8/22/24 Brewers at Cardinals
    8/23/24 Brewers at Athletics
    8/24/24 Brewers at Athletics
    8/25/24 Brewers at Athletics
    8/27/24 Giants at Brewers
    8/28/24 Giants at Brewers
    8/29/24 Giants at Brewers
    8/30/24 Brewers at Reds
    8/31/24 Brewers at Reds
    9/1/24 Brewers at Reds
    9/2/24 Cardinals at Brewers
    9/3/24 Cardinals at Brewers
    9/4/24 Cardinals at Brewers
    9/6/24 Rockies at Brewers
    9/7/24 Rockies at Brewers
    9/8/24 Rockies at Brewers
    9/10/24 Brewers at Giants
    9/11/24 Brewers at Giants
    9/12/24 Brewers at Giants
    9/13/24 Brewers at D-backs
    9/14/24 Brewers at D-backs
    9/15/24 Brewers at D-backs
    9/16/24 Phillies at Brewers
    9/17/24 Phillies at Brewers
    9/18/24 Phillies at Brewers
    9/19/24 D-backs at Brewers
    9/20/24 D-backs at Brewers
    9/21/24 D-backs at Brewers
    9/22/24 D-backs at Brewers
    9/24/24 Brewers at Pirates
    9/25/24 Brewers at Pirates
    9/26/24 Brewers at Pirates
    9/27/24 Mets at Brewers
    9/28/24 Mets at Brewers
    9/29/24 Mets at Brewers
  • 2023 MLB Team ATS Records
    Team ATS Record ATS Win Pct.
    Reds 97-65 .599
    Orioles 96-66 .593
    Dodgers 92-70 .568
    Rangers 88-74 .543
    Tigers 87-75 .537
    Diamondbacks 86-76 .531
    Rays 86-76 .531
    Nationals 86-76 .531
    Pirates 84-78 .519
    Braves 83-79 .512
    White Sox 82-80 .506
    Twins 82-80 .506
    Padres 82-80 .506
    Cubs 81-81 .500
    Astros 81-81 .500
    Guardians 80-82 .494
    Rockies 80-82 .494
    Brewers 80-82 .494
    Yankees 79-83 .488
    Red Sox 77-85 .475
    Athletics 77-85 .475
    Mariners 77-85 .475
    Cardinals 77-85 .475
    Angels 75-87 .463
    Blue Jays 75-87 .463
    Marlins 74-88 .457
    Mets 74-88 .457
    Giants 72-90 .444
    Phillies 71-91 .438
    Royals 69-93 .426
  • 2023 MLB Team Over/Under Records
    Team Over-Under Record Over Pct. Under Pct.
    Braves 94-69-3 .577 .423
    Dodgers 90-67-8 .573 .427
    Rays 89-69-6 .563 .437
    Rangers 93-75-11 .554 .446
    Pirates 87-71-4 .551 .449
    Athletics 84-70-8 .546 .455
    Astros 91-77-5 .542 .458
    Angels 82-70-10 .540 .461
    Twins 85-78-5 .522 .479
    Orioles 80-74-11 .520 .481
    Mariners 80-75-7 .516 .484
    Red Sox 81-77-4 .513 .487
    Cubs 80-77-5 .510 .490
    Royals 79-77-6 .506 .494
    Tigers 78-78-6 .500 .500
    Nationals 77-79-6 .494 .506
    Reds 79-82-1 .491 .509
    Phillies 79-83-13 .488 .512
    Cardinals 76-80-6 .487 .513
    Marlins 74-84-6 .468 .532
    Brewers 73-85-6 .462 .538
    White Sox 71-83-8 .461 .539
    Rockies 74-87-1 .460 .540
    Yankees 71-84-7 .458 .542
    Diamondbacks 78-93-8 .456 .544
    Blue Jays 70-84-10 .455 .546
    Padres 67-86-9 .438 .562
    Mets 67-88-7 .432 .568
    Guardians 68-91-3 .428 .572
    Giants 67-91-4 .424 .576

2024 MLB Team Previews & Predictions

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.