Seattle Mariners 2024 Betting Preview: Futures Odds & Prediction

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Seattle Mariners' Julio Rodriguez reacts after the umpires confirmed a challenged call, ruling him out for fan interference on a foul ball during the eighth inning of the team's baseball game against the Oakland Athletics, Tuesday, May 23, 2023, in Seattle.
(AP Photo/Caean Couto)
Shane Jackson @Sjacksonmgm Mar 26, 2024, 10:43 AM
  • The Mariners have a win total of 86.5 after finishing 88-74 last year.
  • Seattle is -165 to make the American League playoffs in 2024.

After snapping a playoff drought in 2022, the Seattle Mariners went 88-74 last season to finish third in the AL West.

The Mariners were left watching the postseason from home as their division foe, the Texas Rangers, won the World Series. Much like Texas did last fall, Seattle would like to remove itself from the list of MLB teams never to win a World Series.

MLB betting markets expect the Mariners to return to the postseason despite competing in a top-heavy division.

Mariners Futures Odds

Win Total: 87.5
AL West: +280
AL Pennant: +900
World Series: +2000

Fresh off their first postseason berth since 2001, the Mariners entered last year with +1800 odds to win the World Series, +900 to claim the AL pennant, and a win total of 87.5.

Itโ€™s interesting to see Seattleโ€™s preseason stock remain the same this spring. However, the Mariners did record the sixth-most wins in the AL last year, and their Pythagorean record had them winning 91 games.

Seattle has cleared its win total for four straight seasons.

  • 2023: 87.5 (88)
  • 2022: 84.5 (90)
  • 2021: 72.5 (90)
  • 2020: 24.5 (27)

Mariners Offseason Moves

It was a busy offseason for the Mariners, but thatโ€™s nothing new for Jerry Dipoto, president of baseball operations.

Additions

PlayerPos.
Mitch GarverDH
Mitch HanigerRF
Jorge Polanco2B
Luke RaleyOF
Luis Urรญas3B

Departures

PlayerPos.
Josรฉ CaballeroINF
Marco GonzalesLHP
Teoscar HernรกndezRF
Jarred KelenicOF
Tom MurphyC
Robbie RayLHP
Eugenio Suรกrez3B

Seattle bought in several new bats to reinvigorate an offense that ranked 12th in runs per game last year.

Garver hit .270 with 19 home runs and 50 RBI for the Rangers last season, while Haniger is back with the Mariners after one season with the San Francisco Giants.ย 

Polanco was traded to Seattle for the Minnesota Twins to make room for some young talent. In 10 years with the Twins, Polanco generated a .334 on-base percentage and 17.3 WAR.

Mariners 2024 Betting Prediction

Prediction: Mariners to make the playoffs (-165)

The Mariners have a new lineup to support a lethal rotation. They have won 90 games in two of the last three years and should have won 91 last year.ย 

The upside of Seattle is real.

Julio Rodrรญguez is among the more popular 2024 MLB MVP odds picks for a reason. George Kirby is my favorite 2024 AL Cy Young odds prediction.

But the floor is also high for the Mariners, who should return to the postseason. FanGraphs gives Seattle a 59.6% chance of making the playoffs, the second-best mark in the AL West.

  • 2024 Mariners Schedule
    Date Matchup
    3/28/24 Red Sox at Mariners
    3/29/24 Red Sox at Mariners
    3/30/24 Red Sox at Mariners
    3/31/24 Red Sox at Mariners
    4/1/24 Guardians at Mariners
    4/2/24 Guardians at Mariners
    4/3/24 Guardians at Mariners
    4/5/24 Mariners at Brewers
    4/6/24 Mariners at Brewers
    4/7/24 Mariners at Brewers
    4/8/24 Mariners at Blue Jays
    4/9/24 Mariners at Blue Jays
    4/10/24 Mariners at Blue Jays
    4/12/24 Cubs at Mariners
    4/13/24 Cubs at Mariners
    4/14/24 Cubs at Mariners
    4/15/24 Reds at Mariners
    4/16/24 Reds at Mariners
    4/17/24 Reds at Mariners
    4/19/24 Mariners at Rockies
    4/20/24 Mariners at Rockies
    4/21/24 Mariners at Rockies
    4/23/24 Mariners at Rangers
    4/24/24 Mariners at Rangers
    4/25/24 Mariners at Rangers
    4/26/24 D-backs at Mariners
    4/27/24 D-backs at Mariners
    4/28/24 D-backs at Mariners
    4/29/24 Braves at Mariners
    4/30/24 Braves at Mariners
    5/1/24 Braves at Mariners
    5/3/24 Mariners at Astros
    5/4/24 Mariners at Astros
    5/5/24 Mariners at Astros
    5/6/24 Mariners at Twins
    5/7/24 Mariners at Twins
    5/8/24 Mariners at Twins
    5/9/24 Mariners at Twins
    5/10/24 Athletics at Mariners
    5/11/24 Athletics at Mariners
    5/12/24 Athletics at Mariners
    5/13/24 Royals at Mariners
    5/14/24 Royals at Mariners
    5/15/24 Royals at Mariners
    5/17/24 Mariners at Orioles
    5/18/24 Mariners at Orioles
    5/19/24 Mariners at Orioles
    5/20/24 Mariners at Yankees
    5/21/24 Mariners at Yankees
    5/22/24 Mariners at Yankees
    5/23/24 Mariners at Yankees
    5/24/24 Mariners at Nationals
    5/25/24 Mariners at Nationals
    5/26/24 Mariners at Nationals
    5/27/24 Astros at Mariners
    5/28/24 Astros at Mariners
    5/29/24 Astros at Mariners
    5/30/24 Astros at Mariners
    5/31/24 Angels at Mariners
    6/1/24 Angels at Mariners
    6/2/24 Angels at Mariners
    6/4/24 Mariners at Athletics
    6/5/24 Mariners at Athletics
    6/6/24 Mariners at Athletics
    6/7/24 Mariners at Royals
    6/8/24 Mariners at Royals
    6/9/24 Mariners at Royals
    6/10/24 White Sox at Mariners
    6/11/24 White Sox at Mariners
    6/12/24 White Sox at Mariners
    6/13/24 White Sox at Mariners
    6/14/24 Rangers at Mariners
    6/15/24 Rangers at Mariners
    6/16/24 Rangers at Mariners
    6/18/24 Mariners at Guardians
    6/19/24 Mariners at Guardians
    6/20/24 Mariners at Guardians
    6/21/24 Mariners at Marlins
    6/22/24 Mariners at Marlins
    6/23/24 Mariners at Marlins
    6/24/24 Mariners at Rays
    6/25/24 Mariners at Rays
    6/26/24 Mariners at Rays
    6/28/24 Twins at Mariners
    6/29/24 Twins at Mariners
    6/30/24 Twins at Mariners
    7/2/24 Orioles at Mariners
    7/3/24 Orioles at Mariners
    7/4/24 Orioles at Mariners
    7/5/24 Blue Jays at Mariners
    7/6/24 Blue Jays at Mariners
    7/7/24 Blue Jays at Mariners
    7/9/24 Mariners at Padres
    7/10/24 Mariners at Padres
    7/11/24 Mariners at Angels
    7/12/24 Mariners at Angels
    7/13/24 Mariners at Angels
    7/14/24 Mariners at Angels
    7/19/24 Astros at Mariners
    7/20/24 Astros at Mariners
    7/21/24 Astros at Mariners
    7/22/24 Angels at Mariners
    7/23/24 Angels at Mariners
    7/24/24 Angels at Mariners
    7/26/24 Mariners at White Sox
    7/27/24 Mariners at White Sox
    7/28/24 Mariners at White Sox
    7/29/24 Mariners at Red Sox
    7/30/24 Mariners at Red Sox
    7/31/24 Mariners at Red Sox
    8/2/24 Phillies at Mariners
    8/3/24 Phillies at Mariners
    8/4/24 Phillies at Mariners
    8/6/24 Tigers at Mariners
    8/7/24 Tigers at Mariners
    8/8/24 Tigers at Mariners
    8/9/24 Mets at Mariners
    8/10/24 Mets at Mariners
    8/11/24 Mets at Mariners
    8/13/24 Mariners at Tigers
    8/14/24 Mariners at Tigers
    8/15/24 Mariners at Tigers
    8/16/24 Mariners at Pirates
    8/17/24 Mariners at Pirates
    8/18/24 Mariners at Pirates
    8/19/24 Mariners at Dodgers
    8/20/24 Mariners at Dodgers
    8/21/24 Mariners at Dodgers
    8/23/24 Giants at Mariners
    8/24/24 Giants at Mariners
    8/25/24 Giants at Mariners
    8/26/24 Rays at Mariners
    8/27/24 Rays at Mariners
    8/28/24 Rays at Mariners
    8/30/24 Mariners at Angels
    8/31/24 Mariners at Angels
    9/1/24 Mariners at Angels
    9/2/24 Mariners at Athletics
    9/3/24 Mariners at Athletics
    9/4/24 Mariners at Athletics
    9/5/24 Mariners at Athletics
    9/6/24 Mariners at Cardinals
    9/7/24 Mariners at Cardinals
    9/8/24 Mariners at Cardinals
    9/10/24 Padres at Mariners
    9/11/24 Padres at Mariners
    9/12/24 Rangers at Mariners
    9/13/24 Rangers at Mariners
    9/14/24 Rangers at Mariners
    9/15/24 Rangers at Mariners
    9/17/24 Yankees at Mariners
    9/18/24 Yankees at Mariners
    9/19/24 Yankees at Mariners
    9/20/24 Mariners at Rangers
    9/21/24 Mariners at Rangers
    9/22/24 Mariners at Rangers
    9/23/24 Mariners at Astros
    9/24/24 Mariners at Astros
    9/25/24 Mariners at Astros
    9/27/24 Athletics at Mariners
    9/28/24 Athletics at Mariners
    9/29/24 Athletics at Mariners
  • 2023 MLB Team ATS Records
    Team ATS Record ATS Win Pct.
    Reds 97-65 .599
    Orioles 96-66 .593
    Dodgers 92-70 .568
    Rangers 88-74 .543
    Tigers 87-75 .537
    Diamondbacks 86-76 .531
    Rays 86-76 .531
    Nationals 86-76 .531
    Pirates 84-78 .519
    Braves 83-79 .512
    White Sox 82-80 .506
    Twins 82-80 .506
    Padres 82-80 .506
    Cubs 81-81 .500
    Astros 81-81 .500
    Guardians 80-82 .494
    Rockies 80-82 .494
    Brewers 80-82 .494
    Yankees 79-83 .488
    Red Sox 77-85 .475
    Athletics 77-85 .475
    Mariners 77-85 .475
    Cardinals 77-85 .475
    Angels 75-87 .463
    Blue Jays 75-87 .463
    Marlins 74-88 .457
    Mets 74-88 .457
    Giants 72-90 .444
    Phillies 71-91 .438
    Royals 69-93 .426
  • 2023 MLB Team Over/Under Records
    Team Over-Under Record Over Pct. Under Pct.
    Braves 94-69-3 .577 .423
    Dodgers 90-67-8 .573 .427
    Rays 89-69-6 .563 .437
    Rangers 93-75-11 .554 .446
    Pirates 87-71-4 .551 .449
    Athletics 84-70-8 .546 .455
    Astros 91-77-5 .542 .458
    Angels 82-70-10 .540 .461
    Twins 85-78-5 .522 .479
    Orioles 80-74-11 .520 .481
    Mariners 80-75-7 .516 .484
    Red Sox 81-77-4 .513 .487
    Cubs 80-77-5 .510 .490
    Royals 79-77-6 .506 .494
    Tigers 78-78-6 .500 .500
    Nationals 77-79-6 .494 .506
    Reds 79-82-1 .491 .509
    Phillies 79-83-13 .488 .512
    Cardinals 76-80-6 .487 .513
    Marlins 74-84-6 .468 .532
    Brewers 73-85-6 .462 .538
    White Sox 71-83-8 .461 .539
    Rockies 74-87-1 .460 .540
    Yankees 71-84-7 .458 .542
    Diamondbacks 78-93-8 .456 .544
    Blue Jays 70-84-10 .455 .546
    Padres 67-86-9 .438 .562
    Mets 67-88-7 .432 .568
    Guardians 68-91-3 .428 .572
    Giants 67-91-4 .424 .576

2024 MLB Team Previews & Predictions

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.