New York Mets 2024 Betting Preview: Futures Odds & Prediction

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New York Mets' Pete Alonso (20) hits a two-run home run against the Chicago Cubs during the third inning of a baseball game in New York.
(AP Photo/Rich Schultz)
Shane Jackson @Sjacksonmgm Mar 26, 2024, 1:06 PM
  • New York's win total (81.5) is its lowest preseason mark since the 2014 campaign.
  • The Mets are one of the more popular picks to miss the MLB playoffs despite their -185 price.

The New York Mets made the playoffs in 2022 before following up with a disappointing 75-87 campaign last season. They finished fourth in the National League East, while three of their division foes made the postseason.

Despite being among the top MLB teams with the highest payrolls, New York remains on the outside looking in within a competitive NL East ahead of the 2024 MLB season.

Mets Futures Odds

Win Total: 81.5
NL East: +1200
NL Pennant: +2800
World Series: +5000

MLB betting markets have lower expectations for the Mets compared to recent years.ย 

New York hasnโ€™t had futures odds this long since 2014, when it was +8500 to win the World Series, +4000 to clinch the NL, and +2500 to finish atop the NL East.

The teamโ€™s preseason win total was 74, marking the last time it was expected to finish below .500.

New York finished 79-83 in 2014 before reaching the World Series the following year.

The Mets do have a bright future, with a few promising prospects knocking on the door. Perhaps 2025 is their year to surprise.

Mets Offseason Moves

David Stearns is now president of baseball operations for the Mets after serving the same role with the Milwaukee Brewers between 2015-23. He spent his first offseason making several minor additions.

Additions

PlayerPos.
Harrison BaderOF
Jake DiekmanLHP
Shintaro FujinamiRHP
Adrian HouserRHP
Jorge LรณpezRHP
Sean ManaeaLHP
J.D. MartinezDH
Luis SeverinoRHP
Tyrone TaylorOF
Joey WendleINF

The Mets didnโ€™t have any significant departures after trading away Max Scherzer, Justin Verlander, David Robertson, and Tommy Pham at last yearโ€™s deadline. Their plan is focused on the long-term outlook.

Luis Severino, Sean Manaea, and Adrian Houser are all expected to crack the original rotation to begin the season. Jake Diekman, Shintaro Fujinami, and Jorge Lรณpez will add some depth to the bullpen, which ranked 22nd in ERA last year.

Mets 2024 Betting Prediction

Prediction: Mets to miss the playoffs (-185)

Pitcher Kodai Senga remains sidelined after a promising rookie season, where he posted a 2.98 ERA and 202 strikeouts over 166 1/3 innings. Pete Alonso, who set the rookie home run record with 53 in 2019, could hit free agency next winter.

There is a chance that this season will get away from the Mets as they turn to the future.

Despite the vig, betting on the Mets to miss the playoffs makes the most sense. The -185 price tag has an implied probability of 64.9%, but FanGraphs only gives New York a 27.9% chance of making the postseason.

The Mets are one of the more popular MLB betting picks to miss the playoffs for a reason.

  • 2024 Mets Schedule
    Date Matchup
    3/28/24 Brewers at Mets
    3/30/24 Brewers at Mets
    3/31/24 Brewers at Mets
    4/1/24 Tigers at Mets
    4/2/24 Tigers at Mets
    4/3/24 Tigers at Mets
    4/5/24 Mets at Reds
    4/6/24 Mets at Reds
    4/7/24 Mets at Reds
    4/8/24 Mets at Braves
    4/9/24 Mets at Braves
    4/10/24 Mets at Braves
    4/11/24 Mets at Braves
    4/12/24 Royals at Mets
    4/13/24 Royals at Mets
    4/14/24 Royals at Mets
    4/15/24 Pirates at Mets
    4/16/24 Pirates at Mets
    4/17/24 Pirates at Mets
    4/19/24 Mets at Dodgers
    4/20/24 Mets at Dodgers
    4/21/24 Mets at Dodgers
    4/22/24 Mets at Giants
    4/23/24 Mets at Giants
    4/24/24 Mets at Giants
    4/26/24 Cardinals at Mets
    4/27/24 Cardinals at Mets
    4/28/24 Cardinals at Mets
    4/29/24 Cubs at Mets
    4/30/24 Cubs at Mets
    5/1/24 Cubs at Mets
    5/2/24 Cubs at Mets
    5/3/24 Mets at Rays
    5/4/24 Mets at Rays
    5/5/24 Mets at Rays
    5/6/24 Mets at Cardinals
    5/7/24 Mets at Cardinals
    5/8/24 Mets at Cardinals
    5/10/24 Braves at Mets
    5/11/24 Braves at Mets
    5/12/24 Braves at Mets
    5/13/24 Phillies at Mets
    5/14/24 Phillies at Mets
    5/15/24 Mets at Phillies
    5/16/24 Mets at Phillies
    5/17/24 Mets at Marlins
    5/18/24 Mets at Marlins
    5/19/24 Mets at Marlins
    5/20/24 Mets at Guardians
    5/21/24 Mets at Guardians
    5/22/24 Mets at Guardians
    5/24/24 Giants at Mets
    5/25/24 Giants at Mets
    5/26/24 Giants at Mets
    5/27/24 Dodgers at Mets
    5/28/24 Dodgers at Mets
    5/29/24 Dodgers at Mets
    5/30/24 D-backs at Mets
    5/31/24 D-backs at Mets
    6/1/24 D-backs at Mets
    6/2/24 D-backs at Mets
    6/3/24 Mets at Nationals
    6/4/24 Mets at Nationals
    6/5/24 Mets at Nationals
    6/8/24 Phillies at Mets
    6/9/24 Mets at Phillies
    6/11/24 Marlins at Mets
    6/12/24 Marlins at Mets
    6/13/24 Marlins at Mets
    6/14/24 Padres at Mets
    6/15/24 Padres at Mets
    6/16/24 Padres at Mets
    6/17/24 Mets at Rangers
    6/18/24 Mets at Rangers
    6/19/24 Mets at Rangers
    6/21/24 Mets at Cubs
    6/22/24 Mets at Cubs
    6/23/24 Mets at Cubs
    6/25/24 Yankees at Mets
    6/26/24 Yankees at Mets
    6/28/24 Astros at Mets
    6/29/24 Astros at Mets
    6/30/24 Astros at Mets
    7/1/24 Mets at Nationals
    7/2/24 Mets at Nationals
    7/3/24 Mets at Nationals
    7/4/24 Mets at Nationals
    7/5/24 Mets at Pirates
    7/6/24 Mets at Pirates
    7/7/24 Mets at Pirates
    7/8/24 Mets at Pirates
    7/9/24 Nationals at Mets
    7/10/24 Nationals at Mets
    7/11/24 Nationals at Mets
    7/12/24 Rockies at Mets
    7/13/24 Rockies at Mets
    7/14/24 Rockies at Mets
    7/19/24 Mets at Marlins
    7/20/24 Mets at Marlins
    7/21/24 Mets at Marlins
    7/22/24 Mets at Marlins
    7/23/24 Mets at Yankees
    7/24/24 Mets at Yankees
    7/25/24 Braves at Mets
    7/26/24 Braves at Mets
    7/27/24 Braves at Mets
    7/28/24 Braves at Mets
    7/29/24 Twins at Mets
    7/30/24 Twins at Mets
    7/31/24 Twins at Mets
    8/2/24 Mets at Angels
    8/3/24 Mets at Angels
    8/4/24 Mets at Angels
    8/6/24 Mets at Rockies
    8/7/24 Mets at Rockies
    8/8/24 Mets at Rockies
    8/9/24 Mets at Mariners
    8/10/24 Mets at Mariners
    8/11/24 Mets at Mariners
    8/13/24 Athletics at Mets
    8/14/24 Athletics at Mets
    8/15/24 Athletics at Mets
    8/16/24 Marlins at Mets
    8/17/24 Marlins at Mets
    8/18/24 Marlins at Mets
    8/19/24 Orioles at Mets
    8/20/24 Orioles at Mets
    8/21/24 Orioles at Mets
    8/22/24 Mets at Padres
    8/23/24 Mets at Padres
    8/24/24 Mets at Padres
    8/25/24 Mets at Padres
    8/27/24 Mets at D-backs
    8/28/24 Mets at D-backs
    8/29/24 Mets at D-backs
    8/30/24 Mets at White Sox
    8/31/24 Mets at White Sox
    9/1/24 Mets at White Sox
    9/2/24 Red Sox at Mets
    9/3/24 Red Sox at Mets
    9/4/24 Red Sox at Mets
    9/6/24 Reds at Mets
    9/7/24 Reds at Mets
    9/8/24 Reds at Mets
    9/9/24 Mets at Blue Jays
    9/10/24 Mets at Blue Jays
    9/11/24 Mets at Blue Jays
    9/13/24 Mets at Phillies
    9/14/24 Mets at Phillies
    9/15/24 Mets at Phillies
    9/16/24 Nationals at Mets
    9/17/24 Nationals at Mets
    9/18/24 Nationals at Mets
    9/19/24 Phillies at Mets
    9/20/24 Phillies at Mets
    9/21/24 Phillies at Mets
    9/22/24 Phillies at Mets
    9/24/24 Mets at Braves
    9/25/24 Mets at Braves
    9/27/24 Mets at Brewers
    9/28/24 Mets at Brewers
    9/29/24 Mets at Brewers
  • 2023 MLB Team ATS Records
    Team ATS Record ATS Win Pct.
    Reds 97-65 .599
    Orioles 96-66 .593
    Dodgers 92-70 .568
    Rangers 88-74 .543
    Tigers 87-75 .537
    Diamondbacks 86-76 .531
    Rays 86-76 .531
    Nationals 86-76 .531
    Pirates 84-78 .519
    Braves 83-79 .512
    White Sox 82-80 .506
    Twins 82-80 .506
    Padres 82-80 .506
    Cubs 81-81 .500
    Astros 81-81 .500
    Guardians 80-82 .494
    Rockies 80-82 .494
    Brewers 80-82 .494
    Yankees 79-83 .488
    Red Sox 77-85 .475
    Athletics 77-85 .475
    Mariners 77-85 .475
    Cardinals 77-85 .475
    Angels 75-87 .463
    Blue Jays 75-87 .463
    Marlins 74-88 .457
    Mets 74-88 .457
    Giants 72-90 .444
    Phillies 71-91 .438
    Royals 69-93 .426
  • 2023 MLB Team Over/Under Records
    Team Over-Under Record Over Pct. Under Pct.
    Braves 94-69-3 .577 .423
    Dodgers 90-67-8 .573 .427
    Rays 89-69-6 .563 .437
    Rangers 93-75-11 .554 .446
    Pirates 87-71-4 .551 .449
    Athletics 84-70-8 .546 .455
    Astros 91-77-5 .542 .458
    Angels 82-70-10 .540 .461
    Twins 85-78-5 .522 .479
    Orioles 80-74-11 .520 .481
    Mariners 80-75-7 .516 .484
    Red Sox 81-77-4 .513 .487
    Cubs 80-77-5 .510 .490
    Royals 79-77-6 .506 .494
    Tigers 78-78-6 .500 .500
    Nationals 77-79-6 .494 .506
    Reds 79-82-1 .491 .509
    Phillies 79-83-13 .488 .512
    Cardinals 76-80-6 .487 .513
    Marlins 74-84-6 .468 .532
    Brewers 73-85-6 .462 .538
    White Sox 71-83-8 .461 .539
    Rockies 74-87-1 .460 .540
    Yankees 71-84-7 .458 .542
    Diamondbacks 78-93-8 .456 .544
    Blue Jays 70-84-10 .455 .546
    Padres 67-86-9 .438 .562
    Mets 67-88-7 .432 .568
    Guardians 68-91-3 .428 .572
    Giants 67-91-4 .424 .576

2024 MLB Team Previews & Predictions

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.