Washington Nationals 2024 Betting Preview: Futures Odds & Prediction

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Washington Nationals' CJ Abrams bats during the first inning of a spring training baseball game against the New York Mets in West Palm Beach, Fla.
(AP Photo/Jeff Roberson)
Shane Jackson @Sjacksonmgm Mar 26, 2024, 1:32 PM
  • The Nationals went 71-91 in 2023 for another fifth-place finish in the NL East.
  • Washington is +750 to record the fewest wins in MLB during the 2024 season.

Since winning the World Series in 2019, the Washington Nationals havenโ€™t been able to escape the bottom of the National League East. They have placed fifth in their division for the last four years.

MLB betting markets expect more of the same, with the Nationals having some of the longest preseason odds entering the 2024 season.

Nationals Futures Odds

Win Total: 66.5
NL East: +10000
NL Pennant: +12500
World Series: +25000

Every MLB odds market rates the Nationals a long shot. Only the Chicago White Sox, Colorado Rockies, and Oakland Athletics have worse odds of winning the World Series or their respective pennants.

Interestingly enough, Washingtonโ€™s win total increased by seven games after it won 71 contests to clear a preseason win total of 59.5 last year.ย 

The Nationals have finished below their preseason win total in three of the past four seasons since winning it all.

Nationals Offseason Moves

The Nationals had a relatively quiet offseason following last yearโ€™s 71-91 campaign, finishing 33 games behind the Atlanta Braves.

Additions

PlayerPos.
Dylan FloroRHP
Joey Gallo1B/OF
Nick Senzel3B

Departures

PlayerPos.
Andrรฉs MachadoRHP
Dominic Smith1B

Gallo is the main addition from the winter, as he signed for one year in late January. Gallo spent last season with the Minnesota Twins, hitting .301 in 111 games. He adds a veteran lefty bat with positional versatility for a young team.

Nationalsย 2024 Betting Prediction

Prediction: Nationals to record fewest wins in MLB (+750)

The Athletics (+140) and Rockies (+220) are solid favorites to finish the 2024 season with the fewest wins, but the Nationals are closer to that group than these odds might indicate.

Washington is focused on the future, meaning promising prospects like Dylan Crews and James Wood could taste the big leagues this season. That could also put veterans on the block before the deadline.

PECOTA projects Washington to post the second-worst record in baseball this year with 58.1 wins, besting only Coloradoโ€™s 57.3 victories. FanGraphs also has the Nationals finishing 29th with 64.8 wins, just two games better than the Rockies.

It could be a competitive last-place race, and Washington offers the best odds in the preseason.

  • 2024 Nationals Schedule
    Date Matchup
    3/28/24 Nationals at Reds
    3/30/24 Nationals at Reds
    3/31/24 Nationals at Reds
    4/1/24 Pirates at Nationals
    4/3/24 Pirates at Nationals
    4/4/24 Pirates at Nationals
    4/5/24 Phillies at Nationals
    4/6/24 Phillies at Nationals
    4/7/24 Phillies at Nationals
    4/8/24 Nationals at Giants
    4/9/24 Nationals at Giants
    4/10/24 Nationals at Giants
    4/12/24 Nationals at Athletics
    4/13/24 Nationals at Athletics
    4/14/24 Nationals at Athletics
    4/15/24 Nationals at Dodgers
    4/16/24 Nationals at Dodgers
    4/17/24 Nationals at Dodgers
    4/19/24 Astros at Nationals
    4/20/24 Astros at Nationals
    4/21/24 Astros at Nationals
    4/23/24 Dodgers at Nationals
    4/24/24 Dodgers at Nationals
    4/25/24 Dodgers at Nationals
    4/26/24 Nationals at Marlins
    4/27/24 Nationals at Marlins
    4/28/24 Nationals at Marlins
    4/29/24 Nationals at Marlins
    4/30/24 Nationals at Rangers
    5/1/24 Nationals at Rangers
    5/2/24 Nationals at Rangers
    5/3/24 Blue Jays at Nationals
    5/4/24 Blue Jays at Nationals
    5/5/24 Blue Jays at Nationals
    5/7/24 Orioles at Nationals
    5/8/24 Orioles at Nationals
    5/10/24 Nationals at Red Sox
    5/11/24 Nationals at Red Sox
    5/12/24 Nationals at Red Sox
    5/13/24 Nationals at White Sox
    5/14/24 Nationals at White Sox
    5/15/24 Nationals at White Sox
    5/17/24 Nationals at Phillies
    5/18/24 Nationals at Phillies
    5/19/24 Nationals at Phillies
    5/20/24 Twins at Nationals
    5/21/24 Twins at Nationals
    5/22/24 Twins at Nationals
    5/24/24 Mariners at Nationals
    5/25/24 Mariners at Nationals
    5/26/24 Mariners at Nationals
    5/27/24 Nationals at Braves
    5/28/24 Nationals at Braves
    5/29/24 Nationals at Braves
    5/30/24 Nationals at Braves
    5/31/24 Nationals at Guardians
    6/1/24 Nationals at Guardians
    6/2/24 Nationals at Guardians
    6/3/24 Mets at Nationals
    6/4/24 Mets at Nationals
    6/5/24 Mets at Nationals
    6/6/24 Braves at Nationals
    6/7/24 Braves at Nationals
    6/8/24 Braves at Nationals
    6/9/24 Braves at Nationals
    6/11/24 Nationals at Tigers
    6/12/24 Nationals at Tigers
    6/13/24 Nationals at Tigers
    6/14/24 Marlins at Nationals
    6/15/24 Marlins at Nationals
    6/16/24 Marlins at Nationals
    6/18/24 D-backs at Nationals
    6/19/24 D-backs at Nationals
    6/20/24 D-backs at Nationals
    6/21/24 Nationals at Rockies
    6/22/24 Nationals at Rockies
    6/23/24 Nationals at Rockies
    6/24/24 Nationals at Padres
    6/25/24 Nationals at Padres
    6/26/24 Nationals at Padres
    6/28/24 Nationals at Rays
    6/29/24 Nationals at Rays
    6/30/24 Nationals at Rays
    7/1/24 Mets at Nationals
    7/2/24 Mets at Nationals
    7/3/24 Mets at Nationals
    7/4/24 Mets at Nationals
    7/5/24 Cardinals at Nationals
    7/6/24 Cardinals at Nationals
    7/7/24 Cardinals at Nationals
    7/8/24 Cardinals at Nationals
    7/9/24 Nationals at Mets
    7/10/24 Nationals at Mets
    7/11/24 Nationals at Mets
    7/12/24 Nationals at Brewers
    7/13/24 Nationals at Brewers
    7/14/24 Nationals at Brewers
    7/19/24 Reds at Nationals
    7/20/24 Reds at Nationals
    7/21/24 Reds at Nationals
    7/23/24 Padres at Nationals
    7/24/24 Padres at Nationals
    7/25/24 Padres at Nationals
    7/26/24 Nationals at Cardinals
    7/27/24 Nationals at Cardinals
    7/28/24 Nationals at Cardinals
    7/29/24 Nationals at D-backs
    7/30/24 Nationals at D-backs
    7/31/24 Nationals at D-backs
    8/2/24 Brewers at Nationals
    8/3/24 Brewers at Nationals
    8/4/24 Brewers at Nationals
    8/5/24 Giants at Nationals
    8/6/24 Giants at Nationals
    8/7/24 Giants at Nationals
    8/8/24 Giants at Nationals
    8/9/24 Angels at Nationals
    8/10/24 Angels at Nationals
    8/11/24 Angels at Nationals
    8/13/24 Nationals at Orioles
    8/14/24 Nationals at Orioles
    8/15/24 Nationals at Phillies
    8/16/24 Nationals at Phillies
    8/17/24 Nationals at Phillies
    8/18/24 Nationals at Phillies
    8/20/24 Rockies at Nationals
    8/21/24 Rockies at Nationals
    8/22/24 Rockies at Nationals
    8/23/24 Nationals at Braves
    8/24/24 Nationals at Braves
    8/25/24 Nationals at Braves
    8/26/24 Yankees at Nationals
    8/27/24 Yankees at Nationals
    8/28/24 Yankees at Nationals
    8/30/24 Cubs at Nationals
    8/31/24 Cubs at Nationals
    9/1/24 Cubs at Nationals
    9/3/24 Nationals at Marlins
    9/4/24 Nationals at Marlins
    9/5/24 Nationals at Pirates
    9/6/24 Nationals at Pirates
    9/7/24 Nationals at Pirates
    9/8/24 Nationals at Pirates
    9/10/24 Braves at Nationals
    9/11/24 Braves at Nationals
    9/12/24 Marlins at Nationals
    9/13/24 Marlins at Nationals
    9/14/24 Marlins at Nationals
    9/15/24 Marlins at Nationals
    9/16/24 Nationals at Mets
    9/17/24 Nationals at Mets
    9/18/24 Nationals at Mets
    9/19/24 Nationals at Cubs
    9/20/24 Nationals at Cubs
    9/21/24 Nationals at Cubs
    9/22/24 Nationals at Cubs
    9/24/24 Royals at Nationals
    9/25/24 Royals at Nationals
    9/26/24 Royals at Nationals
    9/27/24 Phillies at Nationals
    9/28/24 Phillies at Nationals
    9/29/24 Phillies at Nationals
  • 2023 MLB Team ATS Records
    Team ATS Record ATS Win Pct.
    Reds 97-65 .599
    Orioles 96-66 .593
    Dodgers 92-70 .568
    Rangers 88-74 .543
    Tigers 87-75 .537
    Diamondbacks 86-76 .531
    Rays 86-76 .531
    Nationals 86-76 .531
    Pirates 84-78 .519
    Braves 83-79 .512
    White Sox 82-80 .506
    Twins 82-80 .506
    Padres 82-80 .506
    Cubs 81-81 .500
    Astros 81-81 .500
    Guardians 80-82 .494
    Rockies 80-82 .494
    Brewers 80-82 .494
    Yankees 79-83 .488
    Red Sox 77-85 .475
    Athletics 77-85 .475
    Mariners 77-85 .475
    Cardinals 77-85 .475
    Angels 75-87 .463
    Blue Jays 75-87 .463
    Marlins 74-88 .457
    Mets 74-88 .457
    Giants 72-90 .444
    Phillies 71-91 .438
    Royals 69-93 .426
  • 2023 MLB Team Over/Under Records
    Team Over-Under Record Over Pct. Under Pct.
    Braves 94-69-3 .577 .423
    Dodgers 90-67-8 .573 .427
    Rays 89-69-6 .563 .437
    Rangers 93-75-11 .554 .446
    Pirates 87-71-4 .551 .449
    Athletics 84-70-8 .546 .455
    Astros 91-77-5 .542 .458
    Angels 82-70-10 .540 .461
    Twins 85-78-5 .522 .479
    Orioles 80-74-11 .520 .481
    Mariners 80-75-7 .516 .484
    Red Sox 81-77-4 .513 .487
    Cubs 80-77-5 .510 .490
    Royals 79-77-6 .506 .494
    Tigers 78-78-6 .500 .500
    Nationals 77-79-6 .494 .506
    Reds 79-82-1 .491 .509
    Phillies 79-83-13 .488 .512
    Cardinals 76-80-6 .487 .513
    Marlins 74-84-6 .468 .532
    Brewers 73-85-6 .462 .538
    White Sox 71-83-8 .461 .539
    Rockies 74-87-1 .460 .540
    Yankees 71-84-7 .458 .542
    Diamondbacks 78-93-8 .456 .544
    Blue Jays 70-84-10 .455 .546
    Padres 67-86-9 .438 .562
    Mets 67-88-7 .432 .568
    Guardians 68-91-3 .428 .572
    Giants 67-91-4 .424 .576

2024 MLB Team Previews & Predictions

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.