- The Bengals are -5.5 point favorites vs the Cowboys
- Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
- Watch this game on ESPN | ABC | ESPN2 | ESPN+
The Cincinnati Bengals (4-8-0) visit AT&T Stadium to take on the Dallas Cowboys (5-7-0) on Dec. 9. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EST in Arlington, TX.
The Bengals are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Bengals vs. Cowboys Over/Under is 49.5 total points for the game.
Bet now on Cowboys vs Bengals & all NFL games with BetMGM
Bengals vs. Cowboys Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Bengals | -5.5 -110 | 49.5 -110 | -250 |
| Cowboys | +5.5 -110 | 49.5 -110 | +200 |
Bengals vs. Cowboys Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Bengals will win this game with 61.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Bengals vs Cowboys Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cowboys will cover the spread with 57.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Cowboys vs Bengals and all NFL games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bengals players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bengals Player Prop Bets Today
- Zack Moss has hit the Carries Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.70 Units / 60% ROI)
- Zack Moss has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.20 Units / 47% ROI)
- Joe Burrow has hit the Carries Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.95 Units / 49% ROI)
- Joe Burrow has hit the TD Passes Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+5.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- Zack Moss has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cowboys Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jonathan Mingo has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.60 Units / 46% ROI)
- Brandon Aubrey has hit the Field Goals Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- Dak Prescott has hit the Carries Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Dak Prescott has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- Rico Dowdle has hit the Receptions Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+3.95 Units / 52% ROI)
Bengals Best Bets:
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 18 games (+13.90 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.45 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+5.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+3.85 Units / 15% ROI)
Cowboys Best Bets:
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+5.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.70 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+4.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+2.50 Units / 11% ROI)
Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bengals art 6-6 (-0.4 Units / -3.08% ROI).
- Bengals are 4-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.3 Units / -41.37% ROI
- Bengals are 9-3 when betting the Over for +5.65 Units / 42.64% ROI
- Bengals are 3-9 when betting the Under for -6.9 Units / ROI
Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys are 4-8 (-4.7 Units / -36.02% ROI).
- Cowboys are 5-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.1 Units / -0.61% ROI
- Cowboys are 8-4 when betting the Over for +3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Cowboys are 4-8 when betting the Under for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI
Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys
The Bengals are winless (0-5) when committing 2 or more turnovers since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .295.
The Bengals are 1-6 (.143) when rushing for less than 100 yards this season — T-9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .284.
The Bengals are 1-5 (.167) when allowing 250 or more passing yards this season — T-6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .430.
The Bengals were 8-3 (.727) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season — T-7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .579.
Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals
The Cowboys are 11-5 (.688) when passing for 250 or more yards since the 2023 season — 10th-best in NFL. The Bengals have allowed 245.2 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Cowboys are undefeated (7-0) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Cowboys are undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 10 rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .703.
The Cowboys were undefeated (4-0) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Additional Matchup Notes for Cincinnati Bengals vs. Dallas Cowboys
The Cowboys went three and out on 9.1% of their drives last week — T-4th-best in NFL. The Bengals forced three and outs on 9.1% of opponent drives last week — T-4th-worst in NFL.
The Cowboys have thrown for 7,671 passing yards in 29 games (264.5 YPG) since the 2023 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Bengals have allowed 245.2 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Cowboys have thrown the ball 57.4% of the time since the 2023 season — T-4th-highest in NFL. The Bengals have allowed 7.4 yards per dropback since the 2023 season — worst in NFL.
The Bengals have averaged just -0.74 epa per play against tight coverage since the 2023 season — worst in NFL. The Cowboys have allowed just -0.67 epa per play with tight coverage since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL.
The Bengals have thrown the ball 60.3% of the time this season — T-2nd-highest in NFL. The Cowboys have allowed 7.3 yards per dropback this season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Bengals allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 42.1% of pass attempts last week — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Cowboys had pressured opposing QBs on 40.6% of passing plays last week — 4th-best in NFL.
Cincinnati Bengals Offense: Important Stats
The Bengals averaged -0.85 epa per play against tight coverage last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.52.
The Bengals have thrown for 30 TDs this season — most in NFL.
The Bengals have averaged -0.74 epa per play against tight coverage since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.47.
The Bengals have run successful plays on 47% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 31%.
Dallas Cowboys Offense: Important Stats
The Cowboys have committed 6 turnovers in the red zone this season — T-most in NFL.
The Cowboys have averaged -0.57 epa per play against a heavy rush this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.01.
The Cowboys have run successful plays on 42% of plays on first read passes this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 51%.
The Cowboys have run successful plays on 20% of pass attempts against a heavy rush this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
Cincinnati Bengals Defense: Important Stats
The Bengals defense has allowed successful plays on 49% of plays in the 1st half since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Bengals defense allowed 9 receptions for 20+ yards in Week 13 — most in NFL.
The Bengals defense has allowed 9.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,365 yards / 147 touches) since Week 10 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7.4.
The Bengals defense allowed a passer rating of just 24.8 when they pressured the QB (91 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 53.5.
Dallas Cowboys Defense: Important Stats
The Cowboys defense allowed just 4.3 yards per dropback (561 yards/131 attempts) when targeted at a depth of 1-5 yards last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.5.
The Cowboys defense has allowed 12.4 yards after the catch (508 RAC / 41 receptions) to RBs this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 8.3.
The Cowboys defense allowed successful plays on 21% of plays on motion plays in Week 13 — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Cowboys defense has allowed 10.2 yards after the catch (976 RAC / 96 receptions) to RBs since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 8.1.
Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Cowboys vs Bengals and all NFL games with BetMGM
More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
More NFL Odds at BetMGM
Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting at the online sportsbook.
From futures like Chiefs Super Bowl odds, Lions odds to win the division, or Ravens playoff odds, to weekly odds like spreads, moneylines, and over/under totals, there’s something for everyone.
And with the best sportsbook promotions, you could land a welcome offer, sports betting Odds Boost, or a Parlay Boost! You can also check out NFL picks and predictions and updated Super Bowl predictions throughout the year.
Log in to your BetMGM account today — or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM iOS app or BetMGM Android app — to start betting!
