- The Lions are -3.5 point favorites vs the Seahawks
- Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
- Watch this game on ABC
The Seattle Seahawks (3-0-0) visit Ford Field to take on the Detroit Lions (2-1-0) on Sep. 30. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
The Lions are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Seahawks vs. Lions Over/Under is 46.5 total points for the game.
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Seahawks vs. Lions Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Seahawks | +3.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 | +155 |
| Lions | -3.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 | -190 |
Seahawks vs. Lions Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Lions will win this game with 58.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Seahawks vs Lions Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Seahawks will cover the spread with 59.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Seahawks players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Seahawks Player Prop Bets Today
- Sam Howell has hit the Interceptions Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- DK Metcalf has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+5.85 Units / 54% ROI)
- Tyler Lockett has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba has hit the Longest Reception Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+5.15 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Lions players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Lions Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Longest Rush Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.95 Units / 70% ROI)
- Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.45 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jared Goff has hit the Passing Yards Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Carries Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 29% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Lions vs Seahawks
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) | 20.5 -115 | 20.5 -115 |
| Tyler Lockett (SEA) | 43.5 -115 | 43.5 -115 |
| Jameson Williams (DET) | 41.5 -115 | 41.5 -115 |
| DK Metcalf (SEA) | 61.5 -115 | 61.5 -115 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) | 75.5 -115 | 75.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Lions vs Seahawks
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| David Montgomery (DET) | 64.5 -110 | 64.5 -120 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) | 52.5 -110 | 52.5 -120 |
Seahawks Best Bets:
- The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 away games (+5.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 away games (+4.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 away games (+4.20 Units / 30% ROI)
Lions Best Bets:
- The Detroit Lions have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.50 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+6.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.25 Units / 27% ROI)
Seahawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Seahawks art 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -3.03% ROI).
- Seahawks are 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 46.88% ROI
- Seahawks are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Seahawks are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / ROI
Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Lions are 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 28.13% ROI).
- Lions are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -21.33% ROI
- Lions are 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.35 Units / -100% ROI
- Lions are 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 92.31% ROI
Seattle Seahawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions
The Seahawks were undefeated (7-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .622.
The Seahawks were 3-7 (.300) when committing 1 or more turnovers last season — 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .406.
The Seahawks were 4-7 (.364) when rushing less than 25 times last season — T-6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .276.
The Seahawks were 1-4 (.200) when allowing 3 or more sacks last season — 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .350.
Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the Seattle Seahawks
The Lions are undefeated (6-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .568.
The Lions were undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .574.
The Lions are 11-3 (.786) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent since the 2023 season — T-8th-best in NFL. The Seahawks has allowed an average time of possession of 32 min and 27 s since the 2023 season — 2nd-highest in NFL.
The Lions are undefeated (5-0) after a loss since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .484.
Additional Matchup Notes for Seattle Seahawks vs. Detroit Lions
The Lions have averaged 0.15 epa per play against a stacked front since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL. The Seahawks have allowed 0.15 epa per play with a stacked front since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.
The Lions have run 16.4% offensive plays in the red zone since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL. The Seahawks have allowed their opponent to run 15.4% of plays in the red zone since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL.
Lions RBs have averaged 6.0 touches per game in the red zone since the 2023 season — highest in NFL. The Seahawks have allowed 18 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone to RBs since the 2023 season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Seahawks have run just 36.1% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Lions have allowed their opponents to run just 36.4% of plays in their territory this season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Seahawks have been successful on 68.2% of plays they have ran against a light rush since the 2023 season — best in NFL. The Lions have allowed their opponents to be successful on 54.5% of plays with a light rush since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Seahawks ran just 29.3% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field last week — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Lions allowed their opponents to runjust 34.0% of plays in their territory last week — 4th-best in NFL.
Seattle Seahawks Offense: Important Stats
The Seahawks ran successful plays on 68% of plays against a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
The Seahawks have 5 TDs that were 20+ yards this season — most in NFL.
The Seahawks averaged 0.63 epa per play against a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.
The Seahawks have run successful plays on 70% of pass attempts against a light rush since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
Detroit Lions Offense: Important Stats
The Lions went for it on fourth down 35% of the time last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 20%.
The Lions averaged 0.43 epa per play on first read passes last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 0.20.
The Lions had a third down conversion rate of 44% against tight coverage last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 19%.
The Lions have faced a blitz 22% of the time since the 2022 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
Seattle Seahawks Defense: Important Stats
The Seahawks defense forced three and outs on 2% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Seahawks defense has forced 5 fumbles this season — most in NFL.
The Seahawks defense has not allowed scores on any opponent drives in the 3rd quarter this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 28%.
The Seahawks defense have forced three and outs on 47% of opponent drives this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
Detroit Lions Defense: Important Stats
Offenses facing the Lions targeted RBs 5% of the time (5 Pass Attempts/102 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 18%.
The Lions defense has allowed successful plays on 17% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Lions defense allowed 28 receptions for 20+ yards in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — most in NFL.
Offenses facing the Lions targeted WRs 79% of the time (81 Pass Attempts/102 plays) this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 58%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
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