Arizona Diamondbacks 2025 Preview: MLB Odds & Prediction

Arizona Diamondbacks center fielder Alek Thomas, left, and right fielder Corbin Carroll joke as they head towards the dugout during the second inning of a baseball game against the San Diego Padres, Friday, Aug. 18, 2023, in San Diego.
(AP Photo/Gregory Bull)
  • Arizona missed the postseason with an 89-73 record last year.
  • I predict the Diamondbacks to finish second in the NL West.

The Arizona Diamondbacks missed the playoffs after an 89-73 campaign in 2024, despite being a better team than when they went 84-78 (and eventually reached the World Series) in 2023.ย 

Thatโ€™s baseball.

But there is reason for optimism in Arizona this season after landing Corbin Burnes to be the teamโ€™s ace to complement an explosive offense.

Hereโ€™s a look at the latest MLB betting odds and my prediction for the Diamondbacks ahead of the 2025 season:

Diamondbacks MLB Odds 2025

Win Total: 85.5
NL West: +1000
NL Pennant: +1500
World Series: +3000

The Diamondbacksโ€™ MLB odds are priced similarly in 2025 compared to last year when they were coming off a World Series appearance.

Arizonaโ€™s win total has climbed one game, marking the teamโ€™s highest preseason win total since 2012. The Diamondbacks are also +3000 to win the World Series after being +4000 long shots last spring.

For comparison, check out this breakdown of Arizonaโ€™s preseason odds in recent years:

YearWin TotalNL WestNL PennantWorld Series
202484.5+1100+2200+4000
202375.5+4000+6000+12500
202266.5+10000+12500+25000
202175.5+5000+6600+10000

Diamondbacks Depth Chart 2025

According to RosterResource, the Diamondbacks improved their depth chart in essential ways this offseason.

They signed Burnes to a six-year, $210 million deal to be their ace for years to come. He went 15-9 with a 2.92 ERA in 32 starts for the Baltimore Orioles last season.

Arizona also traded for Josh Naylor as the teamโ€™s starting first baseman.

Projected lineup

PlayerPositionHand2024 wRC+
Corbin CarrollRFL107
Ketel Marte2BS151
Josh Naylor1BL118
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.LFR108
Jake McCarthyCFL110
Eugenio Suรกrez3BR115
Pavin SmithDHL142
Gabriel MorenoCR107
Geraldo PerdomoSSS101

Projected rotation

PlayerHand2024 ERA2024 IP
Corbin BurnesRHP2.92194.1
Zac GallenRHP3.65148
Merrill KellyRHP4.0373.2
Eduardo RodriguezLHP5.0450
Brandon PfaadtRHP4.71181.2
Jordan MontgomeryLHP6.23117

Diamondbacks Player to Watch in 2025

After an up-and-down campaign in 2024, Corbin Carroll could raise Arizonaโ€™s ceiling if he reaches his potential in 2025.

Carroll was a popular preseason MVP bet last year, but dealt with multiple injuries on his way to slashing .231/.322/.428 with 22 home runs and 35 stolen bases. Heโ€™s led the league in triples for the last two seasons.

Carroll is a +3000 long shot in the latest NL MVP odds, while also being +900 to lead the majors in stolen bases. There are ways to bet on Carroll having his best season yet, and the D-backs could certainly use it.

Diamondbacks 2025 Betting Prediction

Based on the updated MLB odds market, I predict the Diamondbacks will finish second in the NL West behind the Los Angeles Dodgers. The BetMGM online sportsbook offers +225 odds for that exact outcome in the division forecast market.

The San Diego Padres are favorites to finish second in the division, but they havenโ€™t acted like a team thatโ€™s going for it this offseason. The Diamondbacks have been active this winter, and itโ€™s worth remembering they were viewed as the second-place team in this division this time last year.

Most projection systems expect the Diamondbacks to finish comfortably in second place.

PECOTA projects them for 87 wins, with the Dodgers (103.8) in first and the Padres (82.5) in third. Clay Davenport also predicts Los Angeles will win the division with 104 victories, followed by Arizona (91) and San Francisco (82).

The Diamondbacksโ€™ lineup ranked fourth in the majors last season with a wRC+ of 115. And now they have a dependable pitching staff with Burnes leading the way. Itโ€™s easy to be excited about the D-backs in 2025.

Prediction: Diamondbacks to finish second, Dodgers in first (+225)

2025 MLB Team Previews & Predictions

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.