- Philadelphia's preseason win total (89.5) its its highest mark since 2012.
- The Phillies are -105 to finish second behind the Braves in the NL East.
The Philadelphia Phillies have become used to playing deep into October.
Philadelphia finished one win shy of a second straight National League pennant last season, falling to the Arizona Diamondbacks in Game 7 of the NLCS. Last year’s impressive run came after the Phillies fell in the 2022 World Series.
As a result, Philadelphia remains a serious Major League Baseball odds contender entering the upcoming season.
Phillies Futures Odds
Win Total: 89.5
NL East: +325
NL Pennant: +800
World Series: +1500
After two deep playoff runs from the wild-card position, Philadelphia is getting more credit from MLB betting markets.
The Phillies were +1600 to win the World Series last preseason and +2500 ahead of 2022. Their odds to win the NL were +750 and +1300, respectively.
As for the win total, this year’s mark is the highest since Philadelphia had an over/under of 93.5 in 2012. The Phillies have finished over their win total for three straight seasons.
- 2023 win total: 88.5 (90 wins)
- 2022 win total: 86.5 (87 wins)
- 2021 win total: 80.5 (82 wins)
Phillies Offseason Moves
The Phillies focused on pitching this past offseason, which began when they re-signed Aaron Nola to a seven-year, $172 million deal in November and ended by extending Zack Wheeler to a three-year contract worth $126 million.
Additions
| Player | Pos. |
|---|---|
| Kolby Allard | LHP |
| Max Castillo | RHP |
| Michael Rucker | RHP |
| Spencer Turnbull | RHP |
Departures
| Player | Pos. |
|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | RHP |
| Rhys Hoskins | 1B |
Paying both Nola and Wheeler was a huge offseason victory for the Phillies to lock up the top of their rotation during a contending window.
Nola posted a 2.55 ERA and 23 strikeouts in 23 innings last postseason. He has a 90-71 record with a 3.72 ERA in nine years with the Phillies.
Wheeler’s deal now has the highest average annual value ($42 million) for a contract extension in MLB history. A reasonable price to pay for a pitcher who has led the league with a 19.3 fWAR over the past four years.
The rest of Philadelphia’s additions help provide depth to a strong staff. The Phillies led the league in pitching WAR last year.
Phillies 2024 Betting Prediction
Prediction: Braves 1st/Phillies 2nd exact outcome of NL East (-105)
The Braves and Phillies are -210 to finish in the top two of the NL East in any order, but they are -105 to end up in that exact order for the second straight season.
Atlanta has won the division for six consecutive years and is a vast MLB odds favorite to continue that streak. The Phillies have placed runner-up in the NL East twice over the last three seasons.
FanGraphs projects 98 wins for the Braves this year and 85 for the Phillies. No other NL East team is forecasted to finish above .500. This play is among the safer MLB betting picks.
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2024 Phillies Schedule
Date Matchup 3/28/24 Braves at Phillies 3/30/24 Braves at Phillies 3/31/24 Braves at Phillies 4/1/24 Reds at Phillies 4/2/24 Reds at Phillies 4/3/24 Reds at Phillies 4/5/24 Phillies at Nationals 4/6/24 Phillies at Nationals 4/7/24 Phillies at Nationals 4/8/24 Phillies at Cardinals 4/9/24 Phillies at Cardinals 4/10/24 Phillies at Cardinals 4/11/24 Pirates at Phillies 4/12/24 Pirates at Phillies 4/13/24 Pirates at Phillies 4/14/24 Pirates at Phillies 4/15/24 Rockies at Phillies 4/16/24 Rockies at Phillies 4/17/24 Rockies at Phillies 4/19/24 White Sox at Phillies 4/20/24 White Sox at Phillies 4/21/24 White Sox at Phillies 4/22/24 Phillies at Reds 4/23/24 Phillies at Reds 4/24/24 Phillies at Reds 4/25/24 Phillies at Reds 4/26/24 Phillies at Padres 4/27/24 Phillies at Padres 4/28/24 Phillies at Padres 4/29/24 Phillies at Angels 4/30/24 Phillies at Angels 5/1/24 Phillies at Angels 5/3/24 Giants at Phillies 5/4/24 Giants at Phillies 5/5/24 Giants at Phillies 5/6/24 Giants at Phillies 5/7/24 Blue Jays at Phillies 5/8/24 Blue Jays at Phillies 5/10/24 Phillies at Marlins 5/11/24 Phillies at Marlins 5/12/24 Phillies at Marlins 5/13/24 Phillies at Mets 5/14/24 Phillies at Mets 5/15/24 Mets at Phillies 5/16/24 Mets at Phillies 5/17/24 Nationals at Phillies 5/18/24 Nationals at Phillies 5/19/24 Nationals at Phillies 5/21/24 Rangers at Phillies 5/22/24 Rangers at Phillies 5/23/24 Rangers at Phillies 5/24/24 Phillies at Rockies 5/25/24 Phillies at Rockies 5/26/24 Phillies at Rockies 5/27/24 Phillies at Giants 5/28/24 Phillies at Giants 5/29/24 Phillies at Giants 5/31/24 Cardinals at Phillies 6/1/24 Cardinals at Phillies 6/2/24 Cardinals at Phillies 6/3/24 Brewers at Phillies 6/4/24 Brewers at Phillies 6/5/24 Brewers at Phillies 6/8/24 Phillies at Mets 6/9/24 Mets at Phillies 6/11/24 Phillies at Red Sox 6/12/24 Phillies at Red Sox 6/13/24 Phillies at Red Sox 6/14/24 Phillies at Orioles 6/15/24 Phillies at Orioles 6/16/24 Phillies at Orioles 6/17/24 Padres at Phillies 6/18/24 Padres at Phillies 6/19/24 Padres at Phillies 6/21/24 D-backs at Phillies 6/22/24 D-backs at Phillies 6/23/24 D-backs at Phillies 6/24/24 Phillies at Tigers 6/25/24 Phillies at Tigers 6/26/24 Phillies at Tigers 6/27/24 Marlins at Phillies 6/28/24 Marlins at Phillies 6/29/24 Marlins at Phillies 6/30/24 Marlins at Phillies 7/2/24 Phillies at Cubs 7/3/24 Phillies at Cubs 7/4/24 Phillies at Cubs 7/5/24 Phillies at Braves 7/6/24 Phillies at Braves 7/7/24 Phillies at Braves 7/9/24 Dodgers at Phillies 7/10/24 Dodgers at Phillies 7/11/24 Dodgers at Phillies 7/12/24 Athletics at Phillies 7/13/24 Athletics at Phillies 7/14/24 Athletics at Phillies 7/19/24 Phillies at Pirates 7/20/24 Phillies at Pirates 7/21/24 Phillies at Pirates 7/22/24 Phillies at Twins 7/23/24 Phillies at Twins 7/24/24 Phillies at Twins 7/26/24 Guardians at Phillies 7/27/24 Guardians at Phillies 7/28/24 Guardians at Phillies 7/29/24 Yankees at Phillies 7/30/24 Yankees at Phillies 7/31/24 Yankees at Phillies 8/2/24 Phillies at Mariners 8/3/24 Phillies at Mariners 8/4/24 Phillies at Mariners 8/5/24 Phillies at Dodgers 8/6/24 Phillies at Dodgers 8/7/24 Phillies at Dodgers 8/8/24 Phillies at D-backs 8/9/24 Phillies at D-backs 8/10/24 Phillies at D-backs 8/11/24 Phillies at D-backs 8/13/24 Marlins at Phillies 8/14/24 Marlins at Phillies 8/15/24 Nationals at Phillies 8/16/24 Nationals at Phillies 8/17/24 Nationals at Phillies 8/18/24 Nationals at Phillies 8/20/24 Phillies at Braves 8/21/24 Phillies at Braves 8/22/24 Phillies at Braves 8/23/24 Phillies at Royals 8/24/24 Phillies at Royals 8/25/24 Phillies at Royals 8/26/24 Astros at Phillies 8/27/24 Astros at Phillies 8/28/24 Astros at Phillies 8/29/24 Braves at Phillies 8/30/24 Braves at Phillies 8/31/24 Braves at Phillies 9/1/24 Braves at Phillies 9/3/24 Phillies at Blue Jays 9/4/24 Phillies at Blue Jays 9/5/24 Phillies at Marlins 9/6/24 Phillies at Marlins 9/7/24 Phillies at Marlins 9/8/24 Phillies at Marlins 9/9/24 Rays at Phillies 9/10/24 Rays at Phillies 9/11/24 Rays at Phillies 9/13/24 Mets at Phillies 9/14/24 Mets at Phillies 9/15/24 Mets at Phillies 9/16/24 Phillies at Brewers 9/17/24 Phillies at Brewers 9/18/24 Phillies at Brewers 9/19/24 Phillies at Mets 9/20/24 Phillies at Mets 9/21/24 Phillies at Mets 9/22/24 Phillies at Mets 9/23/24 Cubs at Phillies 9/24/24 Cubs at Phillies 9/25/24 Cubs at Phillies 9/27/24 Phillies at Nationals 9/28/24 Phillies at Nationals 9/29/24 Phillies at Nationals -
2023 MLB Team ATS Records
Team ATS Record ATS Win Pct. Reds 97-65 .599 Orioles 96-66 .593 Dodgers 92-70 .568 Rangers 88-74 .543 Tigers 87-75 .537 Diamondbacks 86-76 .531 Rays 86-76 .531 Nationals 86-76 .531 Pirates 84-78 .519 Braves 83-79 .512 White Sox 82-80 .506 Twins 82-80 .506 Padres 82-80 .506 Cubs 81-81 .500 Astros 81-81 .500 Guardians 80-82 .494 Rockies 80-82 .494 Brewers 80-82 .494 Yankees 79-83 .488 Red Sox 77-85 .475 Athletics 77-85 .475 Mariners 77-85 .475 Cardinals 77-85 .475 Angels 75-87 .463 Blue Jays 75-87 .463 Marlins 74-88 .457 Mets 74-88 .457 Giants 72-90 .444 Phillies 71-91 .438 Royals 69-93 .426 -
2023 MLB Team Over/Under Records
Team Over-Under Record Over Pct. Under Pct. Braves 94-69-3 .577 .423 Dodgers 90-67-8 .573 .427 Rays 89-69-6 .563 .437 Rangers 93-75-11 .554 .446 Pirates 87-71-4 .551 .449 Athletics 84-70-8 .546 .455 Astros 91-77-5 .542 .458 Angels 82-70-10 .540 .461 Twins 85-78-5 .522 .479 Orioles 80-74-11 .520 .481 Mariners 80-75-7 .516 .484 Red Sox 81-77-4 .513 .487 Cubs 80-77-5 .510 .490 Royals 79-77-6 .506 .494 Tigers 78-78-6 .500 .500 Nationals 77-79-6 .494 .506 Reds 79-82-1 .491 .509 Phillies 79-83-13 .488 .512 Cardinals 76-80-6 .487 .513 Marlins 74-84-6 .468 .532 Brewers 73-85-6 .462 .538 White Sox 71-83-8 .461 .539 Rockies 74-87-1 .460 .540 Yankees 71-84-7 .458 .542 Diamondbacks 78-93-8 .456 .544 Blue Jays 70-84-10 .455 .546 Padres 67-86-9 .438 .562 Mets 67-88-7 .432 .568 Guardians 68-91-3 .428 .572 Giants 67-91-4 .424 .576
2024 MLB Team Previews & Predictions
- Angels Preview & Prediction
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