Tampa Bay Rays 2024 Betting Preview: Futures Odds & Prediction

Tampa Bay Rays' Randy Arozarena bats during a baseball game against the Toronto Blue Jays Monday, May 22, 2023, in St. Petersburg, Fla.
AP Photo/Steve Nesius
  • Tampa Bay's win total of 85.5 is its lowest preseason mark since having an over/under of 84.5 in 2019.
  • Despite five straight postseason berths, the Rays are +120 to return to the playoffs.

The 2024 MLB season will be the biggest test yet for the inevitability of the Tampa Bay Rays.

As is usually the case, the Rays will have to replace plenty of production from last yearโ€™s team, which won 99 games and finished second in the American League East.

MLB odds donโ€™t believe in Tampa Bayโ€™s chances of notching a sixth consecutive postseason berth, but this ballclub is almost always better than it looks on paper in the preseason.

Rays Futures Odds

Win Total: 85.5
AL East: +575
AL Pennant: +1500
World Series: +3500

Even by Tampa Bayโ€™s standards, MLB betting markets aren’t taking this yearโ€™s Rays team seriously.ย 

The Rays have their longest preseason baseball odds to win the World Series, AL, and AL East since 2019 when this postseason streak began. It is also the lowest win total since Tampa Bay had an over/under of 84.5 in 2019.

Tampa Bayโ€™s preseason futures odds:

  • 2023: +2000 World Series, +1000 AL pennant, +350 AL East, 88.5 win total
  • 2022: +1400 WS, +650 AL, +240 East, 89.5 wins
  • 2021: +2500 WS, +1200 AL, +425 East, 86.5 wins
  • 2020: +1500 WS, +750 AL, +230 East, 33.5 wins
  • 2019: +5750 WS, +2350 AL, +1065 East, 84.5 wins

Rays Offseason Moves

The Rays began the offseason by sending Tyler Glasnow and Manuel Margot to the Los Angeles Dodgers in exchange for Ryan Pepiot and Jonny DeLuca.

Additions

PlayerPos.
Tyler AlexanderLHP
Josรฉ CaballeroINF
Jonny DeLucaOF
Phil MatonRHP
Richie PalaciosOF
Ryan PepiotRHP

Departures

PlayerPos.
Christian BethancourtC
Jake DiekmanLHP
Tyler GlasnowRHP
Andrew KittredgeRHP
Manuel MargotOF
Luke RaleyOF/1B
Robert StephensonRHP

Of course, this offseason snapshot has become the Tampa Bay way. The Rays usually lose players when they become too expensive, replacing them with younger and cheaper pieces.

The Rays are counting on 26-year-old Pepiot to stay healthy and make an immediate impact in their rotation. He only walked five of the 159 hitters he faced last year, recording a 2.14 ERA in eight outings.

In addition to losing one of their top pitchers in Glasnow, the Rays will be without Wander Franco, who faces criminal charges.

Rays 2024 Betting Prediction

Prediction: Rays to make the playoffs (+120)

Can Tampa Bay keep getting away with this? Thatโ€™s the question worth asking before the 2024 season when the Rays look more vulnerable than ever.

The thing is, projections are giving them the benefit of the doubt. FanGraphs projects an 87-75 season, while PECOTA has Tampa Bay finishing with 86.6 wins. My best MLB power rankings have the Rays in the top 10.

Trust Tampa Bayโ€™s track record, especially when it is plus-money to do so.

Tampa Bayโ€™s preseason playoff odds:ย 

  • 2023: -185
  • 2022: -225
  • 2021: +110
  • 2019: +230
  • 2024 Rays Schedule
    Date Matchup
    3/28/24 Blue Jays at Rays
    3/29/24 Blue Jays at Rays
    3/30/24 Blue Jays at Rays
    3/31/24 Blue Jays at Rays
    4/1/24 Rangers at Rays
    4/2/24 Rangers at Rays
    4/3/24 Rangers at Rays
    4/5/24 Rays at Rockies
    4/6/24 Rays at Rockies
    4/7/24 Rays at Rockies
    4/8/24 Rays at Angels
    4/9/24 Rays at Angels
    4/10/24 Rays at Angels
    4/12/24 Giants at Rays
    4/13/24 Giants at Rays
    4/14/24 Giants at Rays
    4/15/24 Angels at Rays
    4/16/24 Angels at Rays
    4/17/24 Angels at Rays
    4/18/24 Angels at Rays
    4/19/24 Rays at Yankees
    4/20/24 Rays at Yankees
    4/21/24 Rays at Yankees
    4/22/24 Tigers at Rays
    4/23/24 Tigers at Rays
    4/24/24 Tigers at Rays
    4/26/24 Rays at White Sox
    4/27/24 Rays at White Sox
    4/28/24 Rays at White Sox
    4/29/24 Rays at Brewers
    4/30/24 Rays at Brewers
    5/1/24 Rays at Brewers
    5/3/24 Mets at Rays
    5/4/24 Mets at Rays
    5/5/24 Mets at Rays
    5/6/24 White Sox at Rays
    5/7/24 White Sox at Rays
    5/8/24 White Sox at Rays
    5/10/24 Yankees at Rays
    5/11/24 Yankees at Rays
    5/12/24 Yankees at Rays
    5/13/24 Rays at Red Sox
    5/14/24 Rays at Red Sox
    5/15/24 Rays at Red Sox
    5/16/24 Rays at Red Sox
    5/17/24 Rays at Blue Jays
    5/18/24 Rays at Blue Jays
    5/19/24 Rays at Blue Jays
    5/20/24 Red Sox at Rays
    5/21/24 Red Sox at Rays
    5/22/24 Red Sox at Rays
    5/24/24 Royals at Rays
    5/25/24 Royals at Rays
    5/26/24 Royals at Rays
    5/28/24 Athletics at Rays
    5/29/24 Athletics at Rays
    5/30/24 Athletics at Rays
    5/31/24 Rays at Orioles
    6/1/24 Rays at Orioles
    6/2/24 Rays at Orioles
    6/4/24 Rays at Marlins
    6/5/24 Rays at Marlins
    6/7/24 Orioles at Rays
    6/8/24 Orioles at Rays
    6/9/24 Orioles at Rays
    6/10/24 Orioles at Rays
    6/11/24 Cubs at Rays
    6/12/24 Cubs at Rays
    6/13/24 Cubs at Rays
    6/14/24 Rays at Braves
    6/15/24 Rays at Braves
    6/16/24 Rays at Braves
    6/18/24 Rays at Twins
    6/19/24 Rays at Twins
    6/20/24 Rays at Twins
    6/21/24 Rays at Pirates
    6/22/24 Rays at Pirates
    6/23/24 Rays at Pirates
    6/24/24 Mariners at Rays
    6/25/24 Mariners at Rays
    6/26/24 Mariners at Rays
    6/28/24 Nationals at Rays
    6/29/24 Nationals at Rays
    6/30/24 Nationals at Rays
    7/2/24 Rays at Royals
    7/3/24 Rays at Royals
    7/4/24 Rays at Royals
    7/5/24 Rays at Rangers
    7/6/24 Rays at Rangers
    7/7/24 Rays at Rangers
    7/9/24 Yankees at Rays
    7/10/24 Yankees at Rays
    7/11/24 Yankees at Rays
    7/12/24 Guardians at Rays
    7/13/24 Guardians at Rays
    7/14/24 Guardians at Rays
    7/19/24 Rays at Yankees
    7/20/24 Rays at Yankees
    7/21/24 Rays at Yankees
    7/22/24 Rays at Yankees
    7/23/24 Rays at Blue Jays
    7/24/24 Rays at Blue Jays
    7/25/24 Rays at Blue Jays
    7/26/24 Reds at Rays
    7/27/24 Reds at Rays
    7/28/24 Reds at Rays
    7/30/24 Marlins at Rays
    7/31/24 Marlins at Rays
    8/2/24 Rays at Astros
    8/3/24 Rays at Astros
    8/4/24 Rays at Astros
    8/6/24 Rays at Cardinals
    8/7/24 Rays at Cardinals
    8/8/24 Rays at Cardinals
    8/9/24 Orioles at Rays
    8/10/24 Orioles at Rays
    8/11/24 Orioles at Rays
    8/12/24 Astros at Rays
    8/13/24 Astros at Rays
    8/14/24 Astros at Rays
    8/16/24 D-backs at Rays
    8/17/24 D-backs at Rays
    8/18/24 D-backs at Rays
    8/19/24 Rays at Athletics
    8/20/24 Rays at Athletics
    8/21/24 Rays at Athletics
    8/22/24 Rays at Athletics
    8/23/24 Rays at Dodgers
    8/24/24 Rays at Dodgers
    8/25/24 Rays at Dodgers
    8/26/24 Rays at Mariners
    8/27/24 Rays at Mariners
    8/28/24 Rays at Mariners
    8/30/24 Padres at Rays
    8/31/24 Padres at Rays
    9/1/24 Padres at Rays
    9/2/24 Twins at Rays
    9/3/24 Twins at Rays
    9/4/24 Twins at Rays
    9/5/24 Twins at Rays
    9/6/24 Rays at Orioles
    9/7/24 Rays at Orioles
    9/8/24 Rays at Orioles
    9/9/24 Rays at Phillies
    9/10/24 Rays at Phillies
    9/11/24 Rays at Phillies
    9/12/24 Rays at Guardians
    9/13/24 Rays at Guardians
    9/14/24 Rays at Guardians
    9/15/24 Rays at Guardians
    9/17/24 Red Sox at Rays
    9/18/24 Red Sox at Rays
    9/19/24 Red Sox at Rays
    9/20/24 Blue Jays at Rays
    9/21/24 Blue Jays at Rays
    9/22/24 Blue Jays at Rays
    9/24/24 Rays at Tigers
    9/25/24 Rays at Tigers
    9/26/24 Rays at Tigers
    9/27/24 Rays at Red Sox
    9/28/24 Rays at Red Sox
    9/29/24 Rays at Red Sox
  • 2023 MLB Team ATS Records
    Team ATS Record ATS Win Pct.
    Reds 97-65 .599
    Orioles 96-66 .593
    Dodgers 92-70 .568
    Rangers 88-74 .543
    Tigers 87-75 .537
    Diamondbacks 86-76 .531
    Rays 86-76 .531
    Nationals 86-76 .531
    Pirates 84-78 .519
    Braves 83-79 .512
    White Sox 82-80 .506
    Twins 82-80 .506
    Padres 82-80 .506
    Cubs 81-81 .500
    Astros 81-81 .500
    Guardians 80-82 .494
    Rockies 80-82 .494
    Brewers 80-82 .494
    Yankees 79-83 .488
    Red Sox 77-85 .475
    Athletics 77-85 .475
    Mariners 77-85 .475
    Cardinals 77-85 .475
    Angels 75-87 .463
    Blue Jays 75-87 .463
    Marlins 74-88 .457
    Mets 74-88 .457
    Giants 72-90 .444
    Phillies 71-91 .438
    Royals 69-93 .426
  • 2023 MLB Team Over/Under Records
    Team Over-Under Record Over Pct. Under Pct.
    Braves 94-69-3 .577 .423
    Dodgers 90-67-8 .573 .427
    Rays 89-69-6 .563 .437
    Rangers 93-75-11 .554 .446
    Pirates 87-71-4 .551 .449
    Athletics 84-70-8 .546 .455
    Astros 91-77-5 .542 .458
    Angels 82-70-10 .540 .461
    Twins 85-78-5 .522 .479
    Orioles 80-74-11 .520 .481
    Mariners 80-75-7 .516 .484
    Red Sox 81-77-4 .513 .487
    Cubs 80-77-5 .510 .490
    Royals 79-77-6 .506 .494
    Tigers 78-78-6 .500 .500
    Nationals 77-79-6 .494 .506
    Reds 79-82-1 .491 .509
    Phillies 79-83-13 .488 .512
    Cardinals 76-80-6 .487 .513
    Marlins 74-84-6 .468 .532
    Brewers 73-85-6 .462 .538
    White Sox 71-83-8 .461 .539
    Rockies 74-87-1 .460 .540
    Yankees 71-84-7 .458 .542
    Diamondbacks 78-93-8 .456 .544
    Blue Jays 70-84-10 .455 .546
    Padres 67-86-9 .438 .562
    Mets 67-88-7 .432 .568
    Guardians 68-91-3 .428 .572
    Giants 67-91-4 .424 .576

2024 MLB Team Previews & Predictions

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.